PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Ballkani vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

Date: 01/04/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Ballkani
Ballkani
Vs
38%
33%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballkani win✓ Hit
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D42W21W10W11D22D11D23L00DA·LLA04/12H·PRI11/12A·MAL11/02H·DRE19/02A·TRE23/02H·DUK26/02A·PRI05/03H·DRI09/03A·LLA12/03A·FER19/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.201.231.151.941.24
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (21)1.761.331.221.332.171.33
vs Weaker (7)1.430.571.670.671.250.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D22D21W10W10W00D01L22DA·LLA13/11H·BAL27/11H·FER11/02H·MAL19/02A·DRE22/02H·TRE26/02A·DUK04/03H·PRI09/03A·DRI12/03H·LLA19/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.071.071.000.921.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.001.071.071.000.921.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %39% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.5%
Under 1.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.1%
Under 2.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.5%
Under 3.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
10.6%
2-0 ✓
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.6%
Ballkani goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
01234
014%11%5.6%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.3%2.0%0.5%
28.0%7.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
33.0%2.8%1.3%0.4%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballkani goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Ballkani is 0.53 points better than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ballkani is 0.78 goals better than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Ballkani is 0.06 goals better than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W11D00D01L00D11D01L00DA·LLA04/12H·PRI11/12A·MAL11/02H·DRE19/02A·TRE23/02H·DUK26/02A·PRI05/03H·DRI09/03A·LLA12/03A·FER19/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.430.430.810.50
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.000.002.003.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.470.500.500.910.45
vs Weaker (9)0.330.220.400.400.250.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D11D11D00D10W00D01L11DA·LLA13/11H·BAL27/11H·FER11/02H·MAL19/02A·DRE22/02H·TRE26/02A·DUK04/03H·PRI09/03A·DRI12/03H·LLA19/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.440.360.290.310.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.330.440.360.290.310.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L12L10W10W10W22D00D22D00DA·LLA04/12H·PRI11/12A·MAL11/02H·DRE19/02A·TRE23/02H·DUK26/02A·PRI05/03H·DRI09/03A·LLA12/03A·FER19/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.670.710.571.190.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)1.050.890.620.881.360.91
vs Weaker (9)1.000.221.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D11D10W10W00D00D00D11DA·LLA13/11H·BAL27/11H·FER11/02H·MAL19/02A·DRE22/02H·TRE26/02A·DUK04/03H·PRI09/03A·DRI12/03H·LLA19/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.590.570.640.620.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.590.570.640.620.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ballkani
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armend Thaqi50%
Ermal Krasniqi40%
Meriton Korenica33%
Arber Potoku20%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edvin Kuč67%
Egzon Sinani67%
Lindon Emërllahu50%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Meriton Korenica33%
Leotrim Bekteshi25%
Arber Potoku20%
Qendrim Zyba20%
Bajram Jashanica17%
Albin Berisha17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Armend Thaqi33%
Albion Rrahmani33%
Meriton Korenica17%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ermal Krasniqi40%
Meriton Korenica33%
Arber Potoku20%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Ballkani's squad is €3m more valuable than Gjilani's (€7m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Ballkani and Gjilani have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Ballkani's midfield is €1m more valuable than Gjilani's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Ballkani and Gjilani have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
BAL wins
0
Draws
0
GJI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ballkani vs Gjilani · H/A from BAL
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22AGjilani Vs BAL0-3
02/10/22HBAL Vs Gjilani2-0

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/23AFerizaj Vs BAL0-0
12/03/23ALlapi Vs BAL3-2
09/03/23HBAL Vs Drita1-1
05/03/23APrishtina Vs BAL2-2
26/02/23HBAL Vs Dukagjini1-1
23/02/23ATrepça'89 Vs BAL0-1
19/02/23HBAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj2-1
11/02/23AMalisheva Vs BAL2-4
11/12/22HBAL Vs Prishtina1-1
04/12/22ALlapi Vs BAL0-3

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/03/23HGJI Vs Llapi2-2
12/03/23ADrita Vs GJI1-0
09/03/23HGJI Vs Prishtina0-0
04/03/23ADukagjini Vs GJI0-1
26/02/23HGJI Vs Trepça'891-0
22/02/23ADrenica Skënderaj Vs GJI1-2
19/02/23HGJI Vs Malisheva2-2
11/02/23HGJI Vs Ferizaj0-0
27/11/22HGJI Vs Ballkani0-3
13/11/22ALlapi Vs GJI0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.80
HomeWDWDD1.84
AwayWWDLD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%53%48%
AVG goals2.772.473.05
Over 1.5 %78%79%76%
Over 2.5 %48%32%62%
Over 3.5 %28%16%38%
Scored1.731.531.90
Conceded1.050.951.14
BTTS55%53%57%
Clean Sheet38%37%38%
Corners9.009.178.83
Cards5.505.405.60
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.54
HomeDDWDD1.60
AwayDWWWL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%40%38%
AVG goals2.072.072.08
Over 1.5 %54%53%54%
Over 2.5 %32%33%31%
Over 3.5 %25%27%23%
Scored1.001.070.92
Conceded1.071.001.15
BTTS43%40%46%
Clean Sheet39%40%38%
Corners8.008.008.00
Cards6.004.008.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches