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Ballkani vs Prishtina e Re Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-2
Ballkani
Ballkani
Vs
67%
21%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Prishtina e Re
Prishtina e Re
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ballkani arrive at home after a win, while Prishtina e Re are on a five-game losing streak. The model therefore deems a Ballkani victory the most likely outcome, assigning a 67% probability to a home win, 21% to a draw and 12% to an away win. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring match, with the most probable total being two goals (24% chance). The single scoreline the model favours is 2-0 for Ballkani, carrying a 12% probability, and it is the only scoreline to be named. Ballkani’s home form shows they average 2.22 goals scored and 0.56 conceded against weaker opposition, whereas Prishtina e Re’s away form reveals a fragile defence, conceding 2.5 goals on average while scoring only 0.5 against stronger teams. The model’s suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.1% chance of success. These figures paint a clear picture of a Ballkani win on their home turf.

Results analysis

Ballkani’s win extends their recent run, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct, with a 67% probability. The final score was 3-2, a home win that matched the forecast. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 80.1% probability. All other selections were settled as indicated. The match delivered on the model’s expectations, confirming the favoured result and the accuracy of the chosen market.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballkani win✓ Hit
66.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re win✗ Miss
12.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W10W01L21W11D24L30W21W01L02LH·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04A·DRE30/04H·LLA03/05A·DRI09/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.102.070.871.401.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.641.571.831.331.501.75
vs Weaker (16)1.810.692.220.561.290.86
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D12L21W11D23L04L01L32WA·PRI14/03H·BAL18/03A·DUK22/03H·GJI04/04H·MAL11/04A·FER18/04H·DRE25/04A·LLA29/04H·DRI02/05H·PRI06/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.671.001.330.732.00
vs Stronger (14)0.862.001.121.620.502.50
vs Similar (16)0.881.380.861.000.891.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.0%
1-0
10.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.5%
Ballkani goals ↓
Prishtina e Re goals →
01234
06.2%3.4%1.7%0.5%0.1%
110%10%3.7%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%3.9%1.1%0.2%
38.5%6.9%2.8%0.8%0.2%
44.5%3.7%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballkani goals (down), columns = Prishtina e Re goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ballkani is 0.81 points better than Prishtina e Re in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Ballkani is 0.67 goals better than Prishtina e Re in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Ballkani is 0.58 goals better than Prishtina e Re in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D10W10W10W10W00D01LH·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04A·DRE30/04H·LLA03/05A·DRI09/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.431.000.400.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.000.791.331.000.750.62
vs Weaker (16)0.690.120.780.000.570.29
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D11D00D00D10W01L01L01LA·PRI14/03H·BAL18/03A·DUK22/03H·GJI04/04H·MAL11/04A·FER18/04H·DRE25/04A·LLA29/04H·DRI02/05H·PRI06/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.770.400.600.200.93
vs Stronger (14)0.211.140.380.880.001.50
vs Similar (16)0.380.440.430.290.330.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W01L21W01L14L20W11D01L01LH·DRI15/03A·PRI18/03A·PRI21/03H·DUK04/04H·GJI12/04A·MAL19/04H·FER26/04A·DRE30/04H·LLA03/05A·DRI09/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.671.070.470.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.790.500.330.751.12
vs Weaker (16)1.120.561.440.560.710.57
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina e Re) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D01L21W11D13L03L00D31WA·PRI14/03H·BAL18/03A·DUK22/03H·GJI04/04H·MAL11/04A·FER18/04H·DRE25/04A·LLA29/04H·DRI02/05H·PRI06/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.600.730.531.07
vs Stronger (14)0.640.860.750.750.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.940.430.710.561.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina e Re over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
BAL wins
0
Draws
0
PER wins

Head-to-head

Ballkani vs Prishtina e Re · H/A from BAL
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/26APrishtina e Re Vs BAL0-1
06/12/25HBAL Vs Prishtina e Re6-1
28/09/25APrishtina e Re Vs BAL0-3

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26ADrita Vs BAL2-0
03/05/26HBAL Vs Llapi0-1
30/04/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs BAL1-2
26/04/26HBAL Vs Ferizaj3-0
19/04/26AMalisheva Vs BAL4-2
12/04/26HBAL Vs Gjilani1-1
04/04/26HBAL Vs Dukagjini2-1
21/03/26APrishtina Vs BAL1-0
18/03/26APrishtina e Re Vs BAL0-1
15/03/26HBAL Vs Drita3-0

Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/26HPER Vs Prishtina3-2
02/05/26HPER Vs Drita0-1
29/04/26ALlapi Vs PER4-0
25/04/26HPER Vs Drenica Skënderaj2-3
18/04/26AFerizaj Vs PER1-1
11/04/26HPER Vs Malisheva2-1
04/04/26HPER Vs Gjilani1-2
22/03/26ADukagjini Vs PER1-1
18/03/26HPER Vs Ballkani0-1
14/03/26APrishtina Vs PER1-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.68
HomeWWDWL2.08
AwayWLLWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%35%
AVG goals2.942.883.00
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.741.961.54
Conceded1.200.921.46
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Prishtina e Re
Prishtina e Re
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW0.85
HomeLWLLW1.06
AwayLDDDL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%31%12%
AVG goals2.482.252.71
Over 1.5 %70%56%82%
Over 2.5 %39%38%41%
Over 3.5 %21%19%24%
Scored0.910.940.88
Conceded1.581.311.82
BTTS42%38%47%
Clean Sheet15%19%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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