Ballkani is expected to emerge victorious in this Kosovo: Superliga encounter against Prishtina, following a recent win against Bohemians. The home side has been in decent form, scoring an average of 2 goals at home and conceding just 1.15 against weaker opponents. Prishtina, however, has struggled on the road, averaging 0.33 goals scored and 2 conceded against stronger opponents.
The predicted match result is a home win, with a probability of 60%, while a draw is 23% likely and an away win 17%. The expected total number of goals is 3, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11%.
In terms of scoring, Ballkani's home form suggests they will likely score against Prishtina. The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goal line, which has an 80.6% chance of hitting. The model also suggests backing Ballkani to score, but this is not explicitly stated in the provided data.
The suggested picks include an Over 1.5 goal line, with a 80.6% chance of hitting, and a home win, with a 60% chance. There is also a draw, with a 23% chance, and an away win, with a 17% chance.
The upset of the day came when Prishtina defeated Ballkani 2-1, handing the home side their first loss in their recent win-streak. This win extends their run to 3 games, with the last coming off a 3-2 victory over Bohemians. The pre-match favourite, the home win, was the model's selection with a 60% probability, but unfortunately, the model's call was wrong. The model's selection, home win, was not the outcome. The model's selection was correct in suggesting the over 1.5 goals, with an 80.6% probability, and this selection hit. Prishtina's recent form, coming off a defeat, was marked by a 1-2 loss to Drenica Skënderaj, but they managed to turn their fortunes around in this match.
Ballkani| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.73 | 1.17 | 2.07 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (26) | 1.69 | 1.19 | 2.00 | 1.15 | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
Prishtina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 0.87 | 1.33 | 1.87 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (17) | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.33 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| Prishtina goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 11% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ballkani| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 0.47 | 0.67 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (4) | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (26) | 0.69 | 0.46 | 0.85 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+41pp vs league) | |||||
Prishtina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.73 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.33 | 0.83 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (17) | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (7) | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 14/12/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 04/10/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/25 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/03/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/11/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 14/09/24 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/05/24 | H | 2-1 |
Ballkani| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 30/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 4-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 18/03/26 | A | 0-1 |
Prishtina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | H | 3-3 | |
| 06/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 29/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 13/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/03/26 | A | 3-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Drita | 36 | 66 | 56% | 1.8 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 2.4 | 75% | 39% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | Malisheva | 36 | 59 | 50% | 1.6 | 58 | 50 | +8 | 3.0 | 83% | 58% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 3 | Ballkani | 36 | 58 | 47% | 1.6 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 2.8 | 81% | 53% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | - |
| 4 | Llapi | 37 | 52 | 38% | 1.4 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 2.6 | 73% | 49% | 27% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | - |
| 5 | Dukagjini | 36 | 51 | 36% | 1.4 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 2.2 | 69% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Gjilani | 36 | 51 | 39% | 1.4 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 2.6 | 78% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 | Drenica Skënderaj | 35 | 50 | 43% | 1.4 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 2.8 | 66% | 49% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | - |
| 8 | Prishtina | 36 | 49 | 36% | 1.4 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 2.9 | 78% | 53% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | Ferizaj | 36 | 36 | 25% | 1.0 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 2.6 | 78% | 50% | 22% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Prishtina e Re | 35 | 28 | 20% | 0.8 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 2.7 | 74% | 46% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - |
| 11 | Dinamo Ferizaj | 2 | 3 | 50% | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | Liria Prizren | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - |