This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.20
1.94
0.94
1.86
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.80
1.27
1.89
1.11
1.67
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.07
1.14
2.17
0.67
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
Baltika goals ↓
Lokomotiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
8.1%
7.9%
4.5%
1.9%
1
5.5%
12%
9.5%
5.4%
2.3%
2
4.0%
6.8%
5.8%
3.3%
1.4%
3
1.6%
2.7%
2.3%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baltika goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Baltika is 0.94 points worse than Lokomotiv in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Baltika is 0.42 goals worse than Lokomotiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Baltika is 0.42 goals better than Lokomotiv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Baltika
For 3.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 20.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv
For 3.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baltika
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
7.4
9.2
3.7
3.9
3.6
31.1
32.2
30.4
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
6.0
11.0
6.2
4.0
7.7
29.5
31.0
29.0
vs Similar (22)
8.5
9.0
8.2
3.8
4.0
3.6
31.9
33.0
31.2
vs Weaker (23)
4.0
4.0
-
3.2
3.7
2.7
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
46%
40%
50%
48%
43%
52%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
54%
60%
50%
52%
57%
48%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.1
10.8
3.7
3.9
3.5
26.1
26.6
25.7
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
7.0
9.0
6.0
5.0
7.0
25.5
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (23)
9.7
8.3
11.8
3.3
3.8
2.8
25.0
26.4
23.1
vs Weaker (25)
10.2
10.1
10.2
3.8
4.0
3.7
27.3
26.4
28.1
% over line
56%
44%
69%
48%
50%
46%
86%
78%
94%
% under line
44%
56%
31%
52%
50%
54%
14%
22%
6%
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
FC Orenburg
11.1
Dynamo
10.5
Lokomotiv
10.4
Akron
10.3
Akhmat
10.0
Nizhny Novgorod
9.9
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Ural
9.6
Zenit
9.5
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Veles
9.4
Spartak Moscow
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Baltika
9.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.3
Rubin
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
Fakel
9.2
FC Sochi
9.0
FC UFA
9.0
FC Krasnodar
9.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Tyumen
7.4
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Torpedo Moskva
6.0
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Amkal
6.0
Spartak Moscow
5.5
Akhmat
5.1
PSK Dinskaya
5.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
5.0
Fakel
4.8
Rubin
4.8
CSKA Moscow
4.7
Nizhny Novgorod
4.6
FC Rostov
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
Veles
4.5
KAMAZ
4.4
Baltika
4.4
FC UFA
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.4
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
FC Sochi
4.2
Dynamo
4.2
Chelyabinsk
4.1
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.1
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Chernomorets
3.8
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
FK Sokol Saratov
3.8
Enisey
3.7
Ural
3.7
Akron
3.7
Rodina Moskva
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Arsenal Tula
3.4
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Irkutsk
3.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
Kuban Kholding
2.5
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
29.8
Akhmat
28.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.7
Baltika
28.0
Rubin
27.6
FC Rostov
27.4
Nizhny Novgorod
27.4
Fakel
26.8
FC Krasnodar
26.5
Dynamo
26.5
Ural
26.0
Zenit
25.9
Lokomotiv
25.2
FC Sochi
25.0
FC Orenburg
24.9
Akron
24.7
CSKA Moscow
24.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
23.0
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
91.4%
Under 9.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
93.4%
Under 21.5
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baltika or Draw✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied -
26%
26%
48%
covers Baltika + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baltika or Lokomotiv✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied -
26%
26%
48%
covers Baltika + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lokomotiv✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied -
26%
26%
48%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baltika over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.2%
Under
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.8%
Under
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.3%
Under
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baltika, so a minus line means Baltika give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv receive them. At -1, Baltika must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baltika win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baltika)Actual: Lokomotiv
Baltika -2
3.5%
Draw -2
7.5%
Lokomotiv +2
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Baltika)Actual: Lokomotiv
Baltika -1
11.1%
Draw -1
15.0%
Lokomotiv +1
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Baltika)Actual: Draw
Baltika +1
52.2%
Draw +1
21.6%
Lokomotiv -1
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Baltika)Actual: Baltika
Baltika +2
73.8%
Draw +2
14.9%
Lokomotiv -2
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baltika
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.20
0.71
0.00
0.88
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.27
0.57
0.00
1.12
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.10
1.20
0.00
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.94
0.25
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.17
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baltika
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.43
0.50
0.88
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
0.00
1.00
1.33
0.33
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.40
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.00
0.69
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.73
0.89
0.78
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.36
0.71
1.17
0.50
1.50
0.88
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 10.5 corners
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 11.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Baltika
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brayan Gil50%
Derik Lacerda29%
Maksim Petrov27%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor12%
Mikhail Ryadno10%
Sergey Pryakhin8%
Mingiyan Beveev7%
Nikolay Titkov7%
Vladislav Saus6%
Eldar Ćivić6%
Oleksandr Filin5%
Kevin Andrade4%
Ilya Petrov4%
Sergey Varatynov3%
Yuriy Kovalev0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Maksim Borisko0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Tenton Yenne0%
Ivan Kukushkin0%
Aymane Mourid0%
Egor Lyubakov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Irakliy Manelov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Belikov42%
Andrey Mendel40%
Kevin Andrade38%
Mingiyan Beveev32%
Ilya Petrov30%
Vladislav Saus29%
Nikolay Titkov29%
Ivan Kukushkin25%
Nathan Gassama25%
Eldar Ćivić17%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor17%
Tenton Yenne16%
Aymane Mourid15%
Sergey Pryakhin15%
Eduardo Anderson14%
Brayan Gil12%
Irakliy Manelov12%
Sergey Varatynov10%
Oleksandr Filin9%
Maksim Petrov8%
Yuriy Kovalev6%
Stefan Kovač0%
Maksim Borisko0%
Derik Lacerda0%
Egor Lyubakov0%
Mikhail Ryadno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Belikov16%
Nathan Gassama12%
Vladislav Saus12%
Maksim Petrov12%
Ilya Petrov11%
Eldar Ćivić11%
Aymane Mourid8%
Sergey Pryakhin8%
Nikolay Titkov7%
Tenton Yenne5%
Brayan Gil4%
Mingiyan Beveev4%
Yuriy Kovalev0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Maksim Borisko0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Derik Lacerda0%
Ivan Kukushkin0%
Egor Lyubakov0%
Irakliy Manelov0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Mikhail Ryadno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brayan Gil17%
Maksim Petrov15%
Sergey Pryakhin15%
Derik Lacerda14%
Ilya Petrov7%
Ivan Belikov5%
Oleksandr Filin5%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor4%
Mingiyan Beveev4%
Nikolay Titkov4%
Yuriy Kovalev0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Stefan Kovač0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Maksim Borisko0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Tenton Yenne0%
Ivan Kukushkin0%
Aymane Mourid0%
Egor Lyubakov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Irakliy Manelov0%
Vladislav Saus0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Mikhail Ryadno0%
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dmitry Vorobyev38%
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Aleksandr Rudenko21%
Nikolay Komlichenko19%
Dmitriy Barinov18%
César Montes15%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Danyl Prutsev8%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
Lucas Fasson8%
Gerzino Nyamsi7%
Aleksandr Silyanov7%
Artem Karpukas4%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Egor Pogostnov67%
Dmitry Vorobyev38%
Zelimkhan Bakaev36%
Aleksey Batrakov32%
Dmitriy Barinov29%
Gerzino Nyamsi29%
Cristian Ramírez25%
Nikolay Komlichenko23%
Daniil Chevardin20%
César Montes19%
Maksim Nenakhov19%
Aleksandr Rudenko18%
Evgeniy Morozov17%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy14%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
Lucas Fasson8%
Artem Karpukas7%
Danyl Prutsev4%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Anton Mitryushkin3%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Lucas Vera0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksey Batrakov32%
Dmitriy Barinov18%
Zelimkhan Bakaev16%
Nikolay Komlichenko15%
Danyl Prutsev12%
Dmitry Vorobyev12%
Evgeniy Morozov11%
Nikita Saltykov10%
Lucas Fasson8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Aleksandr Silyanov7%
Artem Karpukas7%
Maksim Nenakhov5%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
César Montes0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Dmitry Vorobyev31%
Dmitriy Barinov12%
Nikolay Komlichenko12%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
César Montes8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Zelimkhan Bakaev4%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Baltika's squad is €38m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€30m vs €68m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Baltika's attack is €11m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€10m vs €21m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Baltika's midfield is €2m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€6m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Baltika's defence is €25m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€15m vs €40m).
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Dynamo
Rubin
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akron
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Rotor Volgograd
Ural