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Baltika vs Lokomotiv Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 17:45
Baltika
Baltika
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Russia: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Baltika and Lokomotiv face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 40% for a home victory, 28% for a draw and 32% for an away win, so the most likely outcome is a 1-0 victory for the hosts. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with a 26% chance of exactly two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.4% probability.

Baltika, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Lokomotiv, on the road, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.12 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%) and Over 19.5 fouls (94.5%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baltika win
40.5%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.30
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.27
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.56
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.61
Marathonbet
3.52
Lokomotiv win
31.5%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.19
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.23
Marathonbet
3.15

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BaltikaBaltika

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L21W01L20W12L11D11D30W00DH·DYN17/05A·CSK24/07H·DYN01/08A·ZEN05/08A·KRY08/08H·SPA16/08H·DIN20/08H·RUB24/08A·ROD30/08H·KRY02/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.871.180.881.080.85
vs Stronger (9)0.781.110.800.800.751.50
vs Similar (18)1.390.781.270.821.570.71
vs Weaker (3)0.670.672.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D12L11D00D11D01L23L01L00DA·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08H·DYN29/08A·AKR01/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.371.290.931.191.75
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)1.081.771.001.171.142.29
vs Weaker (15)1.531.071.710.861.381.25
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.31+6.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 3.05-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 2.08+4.6%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.81-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.78
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.0%
@ 3.44+2.4%
Under 3.5
71.0%
@ 1.25-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Under
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
56.2%
@ 1.79+4.3%
No
43.8%
@ 1.93-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
No
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 6.00+6.2%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.80+3.9%
1-0
8.4%@ 7.03+2.3%
0-0
7.8%@ 8.50+2.7%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.50+3.5%
0-1
7.1%@ 8.40+2.0%
2-0
7.0%@ 10.38+2.9%
2-2
5.6%@ 14.00+2.5%
Baltika goals ↓
Lokomotiv goals →
01234
07.8%7.1%5.2%2.2%0.7%
18.4%13%7.6%3.2%1.0%
27.0%8.8%5.6%2.3%0.7%
33.4%4.3%2.7%1.1%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baltika goals (down), columns = Lokomotiv goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Baltika is 1.17 points better than Lokomotiv in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Baltika is 0.83 goals better than Lokomotiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 0.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Baltika is 0.33 goals better than Lokomotiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Baltika is 15.0 percentage points worse than Lokomotiv in terms of average possession (36% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BaltikaBaltika

For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130435253585228265225647781371087710H·KRYA·RODH·RUBH·SPAA·KRYH·DYNA·CSKH·DYNA·LOKH·RUB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

80615311143112211437812713227H·KRYA·RODH·RUBH·DINH·SPAA·KRYA·ZENH·DYNA·CSKH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 10.7 · Total 27.8

⚠️ Fouls

360201612816131610151017112481214201219536202926252832263224A·RODH·RUBH·SPAA·KRYH·DYNA·CSKH·DYNA·LOKH·RUBH·AKR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LokomotivLokomotiv

For 3.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

130581215262691255352651336881078711A·AKRH·DYNA·CSKA·FC H·AKRA·DINH·AKHA·CSKH·BALH·DYN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

504131123112411221315434353331A·AKRH·DYNA·CSKA·FC A·FC H·AKRH·CSKA·DINH·AKHA·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

31013131314181214171192091011141219118926273031202921263017H·DYNA·CSKA·FC H·AKRA·DINH·AKHA·CSKH·BALH·DYNA·KRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BaltikaBaltika

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.27.98.45.15.24.930.229.730.7
vs Stronger (14)10.210.89.75.85.95.728.729.628.0
vs Similar (29)7.36.97.84.75.04.430.329.730.9
vs Weaker (7)7.26.58.05.05.05.033.830.037.5
% over line34%37%32%70%72%68%95%94%95%
% under line66%63%68%30%28%32%5%6%5%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LokomotivLokomotiv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.19.14.34.44.227.628.226.9
vs Stronger (2)7.06.08.07.512.03.028.529.028.0
vs Similar (24)8.27.58.94.03.84.327.427.627.2
vs Weaker (24)9.28.99.44.34.54.127.628.726.6
% over line43%33%53%48%52%44%83%83%83%
% under line57%67%47%52%48%56%17%17%17%
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.2%
Under 3.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.5%
Under 21.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baltika or Draw
68.5%
Avg Implied 69.5% · @ 1.40
Edge
-1.0%
41%
28%
31%
covers Baltika + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Baltika or Lokomotiv
72.0%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.33
Edge
-0.6%
41%
28%
31%
covers Baltika + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw or Lokomotiv
59.5%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.68
Edge
+1.6%
41%
28%
31%
covers Draw + Lokomotiv
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baltika over/under 0.5
Over
76.7%
@ 1.27+3.2%
Under
23.3%
@ 3.52-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Baltika over/under 1.5
Over
42.8%
@ 2.29+1.7%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.59-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.58
Baltika over/under 2.5
Over
18.1%
@ 5.33+0.6%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.12-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Baltika over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
@ 1.38+4.7%
Under
28.3%
@ 2.80-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5
Over
35.9%
@ 2.80+2.4%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.42-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.90
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5
Over
13.4%
@ 7.20+0.6%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.06-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Baltika, so a minus line means Baltika give that many goals of a start and Lokomotiv receive them. At -1, Baltika must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baltika win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baltika)
Baltika -2
7.7%
@ 8.70-2.4%
Draw -2
12.4%
@ 6.30-1.6%
Lokomotiv +2
79.9%
@ 1.16+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.70
Draw
Marathonbet
6.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Baltika)
Baltika -1
20.1%
@ 4.25-1.1%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 3.64-4.4%
Lokomotiv +1
59.5%
@ 1.67+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
1.67
Handicap +1 (Baltika)
Baltika +1
68.5%
@ 1.39+3.1%
Draw +1
17.5%
@ 4.50-2.7%
Lokomotiv -1
14.0%
@ 6.35-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Marathonbet
6.35
Handicap +2 (Baltika)
Baltika +2
86.0%
Draw +2
9.3%
Lokomotiv -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BaltikaBaltika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D01L10W11D01L01L10W00DH·DYN17/05A·CSK24/07H·DYN01/08A·ZEN05/08A·KRY08/08H·SPA16/08H·DIN20/08H·RUB24/08A·ROD30/08H·KRY02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.410.470.540.31
vs Stronger (9)0.440.560.400.400.500.75
vs Similar (18)0.560.330.450.450.710.14
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LokomotivLokomotiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W10W01L00D10W00D11D00D00DA·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08H·DYN29/08A·AKR01/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.790.500.750.69
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.690.500.670.570.71
vs Weaker (15)1.070.531.140.431.000.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.41+1.5%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 2.81-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.98+2.2%
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.37-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 7.30-0.6%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.05+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 HT
Over
51.3%
@ 1.98+4.5%
Under
48.7%
@ 1.74-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Baltika over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
@ 6.30-0.6%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.08+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Baltika over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.7%
@ 2.27-2.0%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.56+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.1%
@ 8.20-3.2%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BaltikaBaltika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D21W00D10W01L10W10W20W00DH·DYN17/05A·CSK24/07H·DYN01/08A·ZEN05/08A·KRY08/08H·SPA16/08H·DIN20/08H·RUB24/08A·ROD30/08H·KRY02/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.760.410.540.54
vs Stronger (9)0.330.560.400.400.250.75
vs Similar (18)0.830.440.820.360.860.57
vs Weaker (3)0.670.332.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LokomotivLokomotiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L02L10W00D01L01L12L01L00DA·CSK17/05H·AKH26/07A·DIN01/08H·CSK04/08H·AKR08/08A·FC 14/08A·FC 18/08A·CSK22/08H·DYN29/08A·AKR01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.500.430.441.06
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.080.500.500.571.57
vs Weaker (15)0.470.530.570.430.380.62
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.26+2.6%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 3.54-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
Marathonbet
3.54
1xBet
3.54
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.6%
@ 2.27-2.2%
Under 1.5
60.4%
@ 1.63+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 4.95-2.9%
Under 2.5
84.2%
@ 1.14+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.95
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.4%
@ 1.73+3.8%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.00-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Baltika over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.2%
@ 4.60+0.1%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.16-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Baltika over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.3%
@ 1.95-2.1%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.76+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.9%
@ 5.95-2.7%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.10+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------
Under 6.597.9%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.6%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.1%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls94.7%-------
Under 5.594.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.9%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
---+3.2%
Over 21.5 fouls88.5%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals88.0%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
---+0.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.1%1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
---+2.7%
Away under 2.5 goals86.6%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
----0.6%
Under 4.586.0%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
---+0.0%
Home +2 handicap86.0%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.9%1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
---+0.6%
Over 2.5 cards85.5%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals84.2%1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
---+2.9%
Home under 2.5 goals81.9%1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
----0.6%
Away +2 handicap79.9%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
----+4.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals79.8%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
----0.1%
Over 23.5 fouls78.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners78.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%1.27
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
---+3.2%
Over 1.576.7%1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
---+6.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals76.3%1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
---+2.6%
Home or Away72.0%1.33
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
----0.6%
Away over 0.5 goals71.7%1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
---+4.7%
Under 3.571.0%1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
----2.4%
Over 3.5 cards70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Baltika
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brayan Gil40%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor33%
Eldar Ćivić25%
Aymane Mourid20%
Andrey Mendel17%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aymane Mourid60%
Mingiyan Beveev33%
Eduardo Anderson33%
Andrey Mendel33%
Nikolay Titkov33%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Gassama33%
Aymane Mourid20%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Vladislav Pospelov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor50%
Aymane Mourid20%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Brayan Gil0%
Nikolay Titkov0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Sergey Pinyaev17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Batrakov75%
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Maksim Nenakhov33%
Ilya Lantratov33%
Vladislav Golubev25%
Ilya Eremeev20%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Lucas Fasson17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev17%
Aleksandr Silyanov17%
Vadim Rakov17%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gerzino Nyamsi40%
Vadim Rakov33%
Aleksey Batrakov25%
Georgi Dzhikiya0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Aleksandr Rudenko0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ilya Eremeev0%
Vladislav Golubev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Baltika's squad is €38m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€30m vs €68m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Baltika's attack is €11m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€10m vs €21m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Baltika's midfield is €2m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€6m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Baltika's defence is €25m less valuable than Lokomotiv's (€15m vs €40m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
BAL wins
1
Draws
5
LOK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Baltika vs Lokomotiv · H/A from BAL
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ALokomotiv Vs BAL1-0
23/10/25HBAL Vs Lokomotiv1-2
16/08/25HBAL Vs Lokomotiv1-1
13/08/25ALokomotiv Vs BAL2-0
25/05/24HBAL Vs Lokomotiv1-3
03/09/23ALokomotiv Vs BAL3-2

BaltikaBaltika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HBAL Vs Krylia Sovetov0-0
30/08/26ARodina Moskva Vs BAL0-3
24/08/26HBAL Vs Rubin1-1
20/08/26HBAL Vs Dinamo Makhachkala1-1
16/08/26HBAL Vs Spartak Moscow1-2
08/08/26AKrylia Sovetov Vs BAL0-2
05/08/26AZenit Vs BAL1-0
01/08/26HBAL Vs Dynamo2-1
24/07/26ACSKA Moscow Vs BAL2-1
17/05/26HBAL Vs Dynamo1-2

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26AAkron Vs LOK0-0
29/08/26HLOK Vs Dynamo0-1
22/08/26ACSKA Moscow Vs LOK3-2
18/08/26AFC Rostov Vs LOK1-0
14/08/26AFC Orenburg Vs LOK1-1
08/08/26HLOK Vs Akron0-0
04/08/26HLOK Vs CSKA Moscow1-1
01/08/26ADinamo Makhachkala Vs LOK2-1
26/07/26HLOK Vs Akhmat1-1
17/05/26ACSKA Moscow Vs LOK3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baltika
Baltika
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.36
HomeWLDDD1.44
AwayLLLWW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals1.921.961.88
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %30%32%28%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored1.141.161.12
Conceded0.780.800.76
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners8.167.898.42
Cards5.065.244.88
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Russia: Premier League
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.56
HomeWDDDL1.78
AwayLDLLD1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals2.882.523.19
Over 1.5 %80%70%89%
Over 2.5 %52%39%63%
Over 3.5 %32%26%37%
Scored1.621.651.59
Conceded1.260.871.59
BTTS66%52%78%
Clean Sheet24%43%7%
Corners8.628.119.11
Cards4.574.644.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar618
100%
3.0
114+7
2.5
50%
50%
33%
8.7
50%
4.5
83%
25.2
67%
114
3435451.80.7
57%
2Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
100%
67%
0%
10.5
50%
6.5
83%
30.3
100%
129
5937341.80.8
62%
3ZenitZenit612
67%
2.0
134+9
2.8
83%
67%
17%
9.8
33%
5.0
83%
26.3
67%
182
10031502.20.7
60%
4CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow612
50%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
50%
33%
7.3
17%
3.8
33%
26.8
83%
111
3748261.51.0
57%
5BaltikaBaltika610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
67%
0%
8.8
33%
3.5
33%
27.3
83%
30
106151.71.0
36%
6DynamoDynamo610
50%
1.7
87+1
2.5
67%
67%
33%
7.0
17%
4.4
80%
27.2
100%
110
4524421.31.2
63%
7RubinRubin69
33%
1.5
98+1
2.8
100%
50%
33%
7.7
17%
3.7
33%
24.3
67%
45
812251.51.3
47%
8Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala69
50%
1.5
1010+0
3.3
83%
83%
50%
9.5
67%
4.5
50%
23.7
67%
20
9381.71.7
40%
9FC OrenburgFC Orenburg67
17%
1.2
57-2
2.0
83%
33%
0%
8.5
33%
5.7
67%
30.7
100%
18
8370.81.2
39%
10AkhmatAkhmat66
17%
1.0
98+1
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.8
17%
3.8
50%
25.5
83%
30
17491.51.3
47%
11Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
8.5
17%
5.0
60%
27.3
83%
26
96111.31.7
46%
12FC RostovFC Rostov65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
67%
50%
33%
7.7
33%
4.5
33%
27.7
83%
32
145131.21.7
49%
13Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva64
17%
0.7
817-9
4.2
100%
100%
50%
10.2
50%
3.8
33%
28.2
83%
17
7371.32.8
44%
14LokomotivLokomotiv63
0%
0.5
58-3
2.2
67%
33%
17%
7.0
17%
3.5
33%
27.2
83%
68
218400.81.3
51%
15AkronAkron63
0%
0.5
615-9
3.5
83%
83%
50%
8.5
17%
4.7
67%
26.7
67%
25
11681.02.5
54%
16FakelFakel62
0%
0.3
37-4
1.7
33%
33%
17%
9.8
67%
3.7
67%
25.3
83%
14
5270.51.2
48%
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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