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Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 01/04/2023
Time: 14:15
Final 0-4
Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Vs
28%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balzan FC winâś— Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans winâś“ Hit
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L32W31W10W00D21W32W31W31W00DA·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01H·MAR29/01A·HIB05/02H·PIE12/02A·SIR19/02H·FLO05/03A·VAL10/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.451.051.401.301.500.83
vs Stronger (3)1.000.673.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (15)1.471.131.141.431.750.88
vs Weaker (4)1.751.001.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %32% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W21W30W10W10W00D21W10WA·GUD11/12A·MAR16/12H·HIB08/01A·PIE22/01H·SIR29/01A·FLO04/02H·VAL11/02H·BIR19/02A·MOS05/03H·GZI11/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.671.600.401.470.93
vs Stronger (4)1.502.251.502.001.502.50
vs Similar (10)1.100.201.600.200.600.20
vs Weaker (16)1.810.561.620.122.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
Under 2.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
Balzan FC goals ↓
Hamrun Spartans goals →
01234
09.2%10%8.2%3.9%1.4%
17.4%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
24.8%6.9%4.9%2.4%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Balzan FC goals (down), columns = Hamrun Spartans goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamrun Spartans
2.65
Birkirkara
1.92
Gzira United
1.85
Mosta
1.77
Balzan FC
1.74
Hibernians
1.74
Floriana
1.42
Valletta FC
1.42
Sirens
1.27
Gudja United
1.12
Marsaxlokk
0.96
Santa LucĂ­a
0.58
Zebbug Rangers
0.54
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.46
Balzan FC is 0.91 points worse than Hamrun Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.65).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Birkirkara
1.92
Mosta
1.81
Gzira United
1.77
Hibernians
1.74
Hamrun Spartans
1.73
Balzan FC
1.44
Valletta FC
1.42
Floriana
1.15
Gudja United
1.08
Marsaxlokk
1.08
Sirens
0.96
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.85
Zebbug Rangers
0.81
Santa LucĂ­a
0.77
Balzan FC is 0.29 goals worse than Hamrun Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hamrun Spartans
0.38
Gzira United
0.73
Birkirkara
0.77
Valletta FC
0.88
Floriana
1.00
Sirens
1.23
Balzan FC
1.26
Mosta
1.27
Hibernians
1.44
Marsaxlokk
1.46
Gudja United
1.50
Santa LucĂ­a
1.88
Zebbug Rangers
2.23
PietĂ  Hotspurs
2.50
Balzan FC is 0.87 goals worse than Hamrun Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D21W10W00D00D12L00D30W00DA·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01H·MAR29/01A·HIB05/02H·PIE12/02A·SIR19/02H·FLO05/03A·VAL10/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.550.900.900.580.25
vs Stronger (3)1.000.003.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.600.571.000.620.25
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %55% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W20W00D10W00D20W00DA·GUD11/12A·MAR16/12H·HIB08/01A·PIE22/01H·SIR29/01A·FLO04/02H·VAL11/02H·BIR19/02A·MOS05/03H·GZI11/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.270.670.070.670.47
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.500.500.001.50
vs Similar (10)0.500.100.600.000.400.20
vs Weaker (16)0.880.190.750.001.000.38
Clean sheet %83% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W10W00D00D21W20W31W01L00DA·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01H·MAR29/01A·HIB05/02H·PIE12/02A·SIR19/02H·FLO05/03A·VAL10/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.500.400.920.58
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (15)0.870.530.570.431.120.62
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.001.000.50
Clean sheet %59% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hamrun Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W10W11D10W10W00D00D01L10WA·GUD11/12A·MAR16/12H·HIB08/01A·PIE22/01H·SIR29/01A·FLO04/02H·VAL11/02H·BIR19/02A·MOS05/03H·GZI11/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.400.930.330.800.47
vs Stronger (4)1.251.251.001.501.501.00
vs Similar (10)0.600.101.000.200.200.00
vs Weaker (16)0.940.380.880.121.000.62
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hamrun Spartans over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.9%-------âś— Miss
Over 1.573.3%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hamrun Spartans · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Semir Smajlagić20%
Mouad El Fanis20%
Ante Ćorić17%
N'Dri Koffi17%
Stijn Meijer0%
Ognjen Bjeličić0%
Ederson0%
Henry Bonello0%
Joseph Mbong0%
Jovan Čađenović0%
Domantas Ĺ imkus0%
Emerson0%
Matias Garcia0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Vincenzo Polito0%
Rafael Compri0%
Sven Xerri0%
Serigne Saliou Thioune0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ederson40%
Joseph Mbong40%
Vincenzo Polito40%
Matias Garcia25%
Emerson20%
Mouad El Fanis20%
Ognjen Bjeličić17%
Henry Bonello17%
Jovan Čađenović17%
N'Dri Koffi17%
Ante Ćorić0%
Stijn Meijer0%
Domantas Ĺ imkus0%
Semir Smajlagić0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Rafael Compri0%
Sven Xerri0%
Serigne Saliou Thioune0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jovan Čađenović17%
Rafael Compri17%
N'Dri Koffi17%
Ante Ćorić0%
Stijn Meijer0%
Ognjen Bjeličić0%
Ederson0%
Henry Bonello0%
Joseph Mbong0%
Domantas Ĺ imkus0%
Semir Smajlagić0%
Emerson0%
Matias Garcia0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Vincenzo Polito0%
Sven Xerri0%
Serigne Saliou Thioune0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
N'Dri Koffi50%
Matias Garcia25%
Ederson20%
Semir Smajlagić20%
Serigne Saliou Thioune20%
Ante Ćorić0%
Stijn Meijer0%
Ognjen Bjeličić0%
Henry Bonello0%
Joseph Mbong0%
Jovan Čađenović0%
Domantas Ĺ imkus0%
Emerson0%
Ryan Camenzuli0%
Vincenzo Polito0%
Rafael Compri0%
Sven Xerri0%
Mouad El Fanis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
VF (20)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
Balzan FC's squad is €4m less valuable than Hamrun Spartans's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
VF (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
GU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Hamrun Spartans have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
MAR (6)
€2m
VF (5)
€1m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Balzan FC's midfield is €3m less valuable than Hamrun Spartans's (€0m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
FLO (9)
€2m
VF (8)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZR (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Hamrun Spartans have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BF wins
0
Draws
1
HS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/22AHamrun Spartans Vs BF1-0

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/23AValletta FC Vs BF0-0
05/03/23HBF Vs Floriana3-1
19/02/23ASirens Vs BF1-3
12/02/23HBF Vs PietĂ  Hotspurs3-2
05/02/23AHibernians Vs BF1-2
29/01/23HBF Vs Marsaxlokk0-0
21/01/23AGudja United Vs BF0-1
07/01/23HBF Vs Santa LucĂ­a3-1
16/12/22AZebbug Rangers Vs BF2-3
10/12/22ABirkirkara Vs BF2-1

Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HHS Vs Gzira United1-0
05/03/23AMosta Vs HS1-2
19/02/23HHS Vs Birkirkara0-0
11/02/23HHS Vs Valletta FC1-0
04/02/23AFloriana Vs HS0-1
29/01/23HHS Vs Sirens3-0
22/01/23APietĂ  Hotspurs Vs HS1-2
08/01/23HHS Vs Hibernians1-0
16/12/22AMarsaxlokk Vs HS0-1
11/12/22AGudja United Vs HS0-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.82
HomeLWDWW1.40
AwayWWWWD2.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%40%67%
AVG goals2.502.702.33
Over 1.5 %64%70%58%
Over 2.5 %55%60%50%
Over 3.5 %36%50%25%
Scored1.451.401.50
Conceded1.051.300.83
BTTS55%60%50%
Clean Sheet32%20%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.40
HomeWWWDW2.53
AwayWWWWW2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %77%80%73%
AVG goals2.202.002.40
Over 1.5 %50%47%53%
Over 2.5 %37%27%47%
Over 3.5 %17%13%20%
Scored1.531.601.47
Conceded0.670.400.93
BTTS33%20%47%
Clean Sheet60%73%47%
Corners10.6010.3311.00
Cards5.205.005.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans2669
85%
2.7
4510+35
2.1
58%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.70.4
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara2650
54%
1.9
5020+30
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
3Gzira UnitedGzira United2648
54%
1.8
4619+27
2.5
73%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
4HiberniansHibernians2747
52%
1.7
4739+8
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.71.4
-
5Balzan FCBalzan FC2747
52%
1.7
3934+5
2.7
70%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
6MostaMosta2646
54%
1.8
4733+14
3.1
96%
69%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.3
-
7Valletta FCValletta FC2637
35%
1.4
3723+14
2.3
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
8FlorianaFloriana2637
38%
1.4
3026+4
2.2
58%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.0
-
9SirensSirens2633
31%
1.3
2532-7
2.2
58%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Gudja UnitedGudja United2629
31%
1.1
2839-11
2.6
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
11MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk2625
19%
1.0
2838-10
2.5
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.5
-
12Santa LucĂ­aSanta LucĂ­a2615
15%
0.6
2049-29
2.7
81%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2614
15%
0.5
2158-37
3.0
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
14PietĂ  HotspursPietĂ  Hotspurs2612
12%
0.5
2265-43
3.3
85%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Malta: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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