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Balzan FC vs Marsaxlokk Result & Analysis

Date: 29/01/2023
Time: 10:30
Final 0-0
Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balzan FC winâś— Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk winâś— Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L01L12L10W12L32W31W10WH·SIR16/10A·FLO23/10H·VAL29/10A·HAM06/11H·MOS13/11A·GZI03/12A·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.121.141.431.440.89
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (10)1.401.301.001.601.801.00
vs Weaker (4)1.751.001.501.002.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Marsaxlokk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W11D11D12L11D12L01L12L03LA·GUD17/10H·BIR23/10H·HIB30/10A·PIE05/11H·SIR13/11A·FLO03/12H·VAL11/12H·HAM16/12A·MOS08/01H·GZI22/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.440.891.891.140.86
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (11)0.911.731.002.000.671.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.50--2.500.50
Clean sheet %19% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.7%
0-0 âś“
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
Balzan FC goals ↓
Marsaxlokk goals →
01234
011%11%7.8%3.4%1.1%
18.7%14%8.4%3.7%1.2%
25.4%7.0%4.6%2.0%0.6%
32.0%2.5%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Balzan FC goals (down), columns = Marsaxlokk goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hamrun Spartans
2.65
Birkirkara
1.92
Gzira United
1.85
Mosta
1.77
Balzan FC
1.74
Hibernians
1.74
Floriana
1.42
Valletta FC
1.42
Sirens
1.27
Gudja United
1.12
Marsaxlokk
0.96
Santa LucĂ­a
0.58
Zebbug Rangers
0.54
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.46
Balzan FC is 0.78 points better than Marsaxlokk in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 0.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Birkirkara
1.92
Mosta
1.81
Gzira United
1.77
Hibernians
1.74
Hamrun Spartans
1.73
Balzan FC
1.44
Valletta FC
1.42
Floriana
1.15
Gudja United
1.08
Marsaxlokk
1.08
Sirens
0.96
PietĂ  Hotspurs
0.85
Zebbug Rangers
0.81
Santa LucĂ­a
0.77
Balzan FC is 0.37 goals better than Marsaxlokk in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hamrun Spartans
0.38
Gzira United
0.73
Birkirkara
0.77
Valletta FC
0.88
Floriana
1.00
Sirens
1.23
Balzan FC
1.26
Mosta
1.27
Hibernians
1.44
Marsaxlokk
1.46
Gudja United
1.50
Santa LucĂ­a
1.88
Zebbug Rangers
2.23
PietĂ  Hotspurs
2.50
Balzan FC is 0.20 goals better than Marsaxlokk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D00D01L10W11D11D21W10WH·SIR16/10A·FLO23/10H·VAL29/10A·HAM06/11H·MOS13/11A·GZI03/12A·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.620.711.000.780.33
vs Stronger (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.800.700.601.001.000.40
vs Weaker (4)1.000.751.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %44% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Marsaxlokk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D10W10W00D11D00DA·GUD17/10H·BIR23/10H·HIB30/10A·PIE05/11H·SIR13/11A·FLO03/12H·VAL11/12H·HAM16/12A·MOS08/01H·GZI22/01
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.380.560.440.570.29
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (11)0.550.450.620.500.330.33
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L11D00D01L21W10W00DH·SIR16/10A·FLO23/10H·VAL29/10A·HAM06/11H·MOS13/11A·GZI03/12A·BIR10/12A·ZEB16/12H·SAN07/01A·GUD21/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.500.430.430.670.56
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (10)0.600.600.400.600.800.60
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.001.000.50
Clean sheet %62% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Marsaxlokk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W11D11D12L01L02L01L01L03LA·GUD17/10H·BIR23/10H·HIB30/10A·PIE05/11H·SIR13/11A·FLO03/12H·VAL11/12H·HAM16/12A·MOS08/01H·GZI22/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.060.331.440.570.57
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (11)0.361.270.381.500.330.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
Clean sheet %25% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marsaxlokk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------âś“ Hit
Over 1.570.1%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
VF (20)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
Balzan FC's squad is €2m less valuable than Marsaxlokk's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
VF (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
GU (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Marsaxlokk have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
MAR (6)
€2m
VF (5)
€1m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Balzan FC's midfield is €2m less valuable than Marsaxlokk's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
FLO (9)
€2m
VF (8)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZR (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Marsaxlokk have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
BF wins
0
Draws
0
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Balzan FC vs Marsaxlokk · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22AMarsaxlokk Vs BF1-2

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/01/23AGudja United Vs BF0-1
07/01/23HBF Vs Santa LucĂ­a3-1
16/12/22AZebbug Rangers Vs BF2-3
10/12/22ABirkirkara Vs BF2-1
03/12/22AGzira United Vs BF0-1
13/11/22HBF Vs Mosta1-2
06/11/22AHamrun Spartans Vs BF1-0
29/10/22HBF Vs Valletta FC1-3
23/10/22AFloriana Vs BF0-0
16/10/22HBF Vs Sirens0-0

MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/23HMAR Vs Gzira United0-3
08/01/23AMosta Vs MAR2-1
16/12/22HMAR Vs Hamrun Spartans0-1
11/12/22HMAR Vs Valletta FC1-2
03/12/22AFloriana Vs MAR1-1
13/11/22HMAR Vs Sirens1-2
05/11/22APietĂ  Hotspurs Vs MAR1-1
30/10/22HMAR Vs Hibernians1-1
23/10/22HMAR Vs Birkirkara1-0
17/10/22AGudja United Vs MAR1-2

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.62
HomeLDLLW1.00
AwayLWLWW2.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%29%67%
AVG goals2.442.572.33
Over 1.5 %62%71%56%
Over 2.5 %50%57%44%
Over 3.5 %31%43%22%
Scored1.311.141.44
Conceded1.121.430.89
BTTS50%57%44%
Clean Sheet31%14%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Marsaxlokk
Marsaxlokk
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.88
HomeDLLLL0.56
AwayWWDDL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%11%29%
AVG goals2.442.782.00
Over 1.5 %75%78%71%
Over 2.5 %56%67%43%
Over 3.5 %12%22%0%
Scored1.000.891.14
Conceded1.441.890.86
BTTS62%67%57%
Clean Sheet19%11%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans2669
85%
2.7
4510+35
2.1
58%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.70.4
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara2650
54%
1.9
5020+30
2.7
81%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
3Gzira UnitedGzira United2648
54%
1.8
4619+27
2.5
73%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
4HiberniansHibernians2747
52%
1.7
4739+8
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.71.4
-
5Balzan FCBalzan FC2747
52%
1.7
3934+5
2.7
70%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
6MostaMosta2646
54%
1.8
4733+14
3.1
96%
69%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.3
-
7Valletta FCValletta FC2637
35%
1.4
3723+14
2.3
62%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
8FlorianaFloriana2637
38%
1.4
3026+4
2.2
58%
27%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.0
-
9SirensSirens2633
31%
1.3
2532-7
2.2
58%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
10Gudja UnitedGudja United2629
31%
1.1
2839-11
2.6
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
11MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk2625
19%
1.0
2838-10
2.5
77%
50%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.5
-
12Santa LucĂ­aSanta LucĂ­a2615
15%
0.6
2049-29
2.7
81%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2614
15%
0.5
2158-37
3.0
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
14PietĂ  HotspursPietĂ  Hotspurs2612
12%
0.5
2265-43
3.3
85%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.5
-
Malta: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

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