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Balzan FC vs Swieqi United Result & Analysis

Date: 02/11/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 4-0
Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Vs
31%
30%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balzan FC win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United win✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D31W22D11D11D01L31W11D41WA·GZI28/03A·GZI04/04H·MEL13/04A·ZAB19/04A·HIB27/04H·NAX03/05H·GUD14/09A·SIR20/09H·PIE27/09A·MGA26/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.231.381.121.53
vs Stronger (4)0.501.751.001.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.321.441.401.401.271.47
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L32W31W11D12L01L22D11D10W32WA·VAL15/02A·MAR22/02H·ZUR02/03A·TAR08/03H·MGA30/03A·PIE05/04H·SAN13/04H·ST.20/09A·BIR28/09H·VIT25/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.171.861.211.381.12
vs Stronger (19)1.631.261.881.001.451.45
vs Similar (5)1.601.001.671.671.500.00
vs Weaker (6)1.501.002.001.331.000.67
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.8%
Balzan FC goals ↓
Swieqi United goals →
01234
010%10%7.3%3.1%1.0%
18.9%14%8.3%3.5%1.1%
25.8%7.4%4.7%2.0%0.6%
32.2%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Balzan FC goals (down), columns = Swieqi United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Balzan FC
2.18
Swieqi United
2.14
Birzebbuga
2.04
Melita
1.67
Sirens
1.59
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Mgarr United
1.50
Fgura United
1.45
Gudja United
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.36
Zurrieq
1.23
St. Andrews
1.23
Vittoriosa Stars
0.95
Zebbug Rangers
0.91
Marsa
0.86
Mtarfa
0.18
Balzan FC is 0.05 points better than Swieqi United in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sirens
2.27
Balzan FC
2.27
Swieqi United
2.23
Birzebbuga
2.09
Pietà Hotspurs
1.91
Fgura United
1.86
Mgarr United
1.86
Melita
1.86
Santa Lucía
1.82
Zurrieq
1.64
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.32
St. Andrews
1.18
Vittoriosa Stars
1.18
Zebbug Rangers
1.05
Mtarfa
0.45
Balzan FC is 0.05 goals better than Swieqi United in terms of goals scored per game (2.27 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Balzan FC
0.95
Gudja United
1.14
Swieqi United
1.18
Birzebbuga
1.22
Melita
1.33
Santa Lucía
1.41
Sirens
1.50
Mgarr United
1.50
Vittoriosa Stars
1.50
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Fgura United
1.68
Zurrieq
1.73
St. Andrews
1.73
Marsa
1.73
Zebbug Rangers
2.05
Mtarfa
4.27
Balzan FC is 0.23 goals better than Swieqi United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L01L00D00D01L01L20WA·GZI28/03A·GZI04/04H·MEL13/04A·ZAB19/04A·HIB27/04H·NAX03/05H·GUD14/09A·SIR20/09H·PIE27/09A·MGA26/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.500.230.540.350.47
vs Stronger (4)0.000.750.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.360.480.300.500.400.47
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L22D21W10W02L00D01L10W00D12LA·VAL15/02A·MAR22/02H·ZUR02/03A·TAR08/03H·MGA30/03A·PIE05/04H·SAN13/04H·ST.20/09A·BIR28/09H·VIT25/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.710.640.810.44
vs Stronger (19)0.680.580.500.500.820.64
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.331.000.670.670.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W21W10W11D01L30W10W21WA·GZI28/03A·GZI04/04H·MEL13/04A·ZAB19/04A·HIB27/04H·NAX03/05H·GUD14/09A·SIR20/09H·PIE27/09A·MGA26/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.971.000.850.761.06
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.500.001.50
vs Similar (25)0.960.961.100.900.871.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L10W01L21W01L10W20WA·VAL15/02A·MAR22/02H·ZUR02/03A·TAR08/03H·MGA30/03A·PIE05/04H·SAN13/04H·ST.20/09A·BIR28/09H·VIT25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.140.570.560.69
vs Stronger (19)0.950.681.380.500.640.82
vs Similar (5)0.600.400.670.670.500.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.671.000.670.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (14)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Balzan FC's squad is €1m more valuable than Swieqi United's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BF (4)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Swieqi United have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (6)
€2m
BF (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Swieqi United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (4)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Balzan FC and Swieqi United have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BF wins
0
Draws
0
SU wins

Head-to-head

Balzan FC vs Swieqi United · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25AMgarr United Vs BF1-4
27/09/25HBF Vs Pietà Hotspurs1-1
20/09/25ASirens Vs BF1-3
14/09/25HBF Vs Gudja United0-1
03/05/25HBF Vs Naxxar Lions1-1
27/04/25AHibernians Vs BF1-1
19/04/25AZabbar St. Patrick Vs BF2-2
13/04/25HBF Vs Melita3-1
04/04/25AGzira United Vs BF0-0
28/03/25AGzira United Vs BF0-0

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HSU Vs Vittoriosa Stars3-2
28/09/25ABirzebbuga Vs SU0-1
20/09/25HSU Vs St. Andrews1-1
13/04/25HSU Vs Santa Lucía2-2
05/04/25APietà Hotspurs Vs SU1-0
30/03/25HSU Vs Mgarr United1-2
08/03/25ATarxien Rainbows Vs SU1-1
02/03/25HSU Vs Zurrieq3-1
22/02/25AMarsa Vs SU2-3
15/02/25AValletta FC Vs SU2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.06
HomeLWDLD1.17
AwayDDDWW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals2.522.462.58
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.121.081.15
Conceded1.401.381.42
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW1.68
HomeWLDDW1.75
AwayLWDLW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals2.582.542.62
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.481.541.42
Conceded1.101.001.19
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Balzan FCBalzan FC2248
68%
2.2
5021+29
3.2
86%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.0
-
2Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2247
64%
2.1
4926+23
3.4
91%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3BirzebbugaBirzebbuga2347
61%
2.0
4828+20
3.3
78%
65%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1212.11.2
-
4SirensSirens2235
50%
1.6
5033+17
3.8
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.5
-
5MelitaMelita2135
52%
1.7
3928+11
3.2
81%
62%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
6Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
4234+8
3.5
82%
64%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
7Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2233
41%
1.5
4133+8
3.4
82%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.5
-
8Fgura UnitedFgura United2232
45%
1.5
4137+4
3.5
86%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
9Gudja UnitedGudja United2232
36%
1.5
2925+4
2.5
73%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
10Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2230
32%
1.4
4031+9
3.2
82%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
11ZurrieqZurrieq2227
36%
1.2
3638-2
3.4
82%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
12St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2227
36%
1.2
2638-12
2.9
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
13Vittoriosa StarsVittoriosa Stars2221
23%
1.0
2633-7
2.7
68%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2220
23%
0.9
2345-22
3.1
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
15MarsaMarsa2219
18%
0.9
3238-6
3.2
82%
64%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
16MtarfaMtarfa224
5%
0.2
1094-84
4.7
95%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.3
-
Malta: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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