Bangor City 1876 FC’s recent three-game winning streak fuels optimism, while Brickfield Rangers arrive on a five-game run. The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance, a 24% chance of a draw and a 33% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 3.5 goals, centring on a 3-goal total at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10% probability. Bangor’s home form shows 2.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Brickfield’s away form is 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Under 7.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.4%, Under 6.5 at 93.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 91.4% with a 2% edge, and Over 1.5 at 87.7% with a 5% edge.
Bangor City 1876 FC continued their four-game winning streak, beating Brickfield Rangers 2-1 to secure the home win that the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 43% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.5%, Under 6.5 at 93.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 91.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.5%, and Over 1.5 at 87.7%. Each hit reflected the teams’ recent form and the model’s strong odds.
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.60 | 2.03 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.27 | 2.27 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.37 | 1.79 | 2.11 | 1.33 | 0.70 | 2.20 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 2.00 | 2.45 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.88 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 1.86 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 2.05 | 1.10 | 2.18 | 0.91 | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.78 | 2.56 | 1.20 | 2.00 | 0.25 | 3.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Brickfield Rangers goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.58 | 0.79 | 1.11 | 0.44 | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 1.00 | 1.18 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.76 | 0.33 | 0.73 | 0.18 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.22 | 0.89 | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+45pp vs league) | |||||
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 1.10 | 0.93 | 1.13 | 0.80 | 1.07 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.79 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 1.00 | 1.27 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.31 | 0.88 | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.29 | 0.76 | 1.45 | 0.73 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.56 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 7.5 | 97.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 96.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 94.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 6.5 | 93.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 91.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +2.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 90.5% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +2.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 87.7% | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +5.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 87.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 | 85.2% | 1.07 | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | -0.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 84.8% | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +3.4% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 84.0% | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | +1.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Home +2 handicap | 83.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 82.9% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.14 | - | - | +3.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 82.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +1.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 80.9% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.15 | - | - | - | +2.8% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 80.3% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 80.0% | 1.17 | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | +1.6% | ✓ Hit |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 76.9% | 1.20 | 1.22 | 1.18 | - | - | - | +0.9% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 76.9% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.2% | ✗ Miss |
| Home or Away | 76.2% | 1.19 | 1.23 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.18 | -0.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Away +2 handicap | 76.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 74.6% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | -1.5% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 72.0% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +3.6% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 4.5 | 71.8% | 1.23 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | -1.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 70.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | -1.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Bangor City 1876 FC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 31/01/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/12/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 18/10/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 20/09/25 | A | 0-6 |
Brickfield Rangers| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 16/08/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 0-6 | |
| 28/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 17/03/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 14/03/26 | H | 0-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Swansea University | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 4.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Newtown AFC | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | - |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | Bala Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.8 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Porthmadog | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 83% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Caersws | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Carmarthen Town | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | - |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 13 | Treowen Stars | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Guilsfield | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 3.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - |
| 17 | Rhyl | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5.0 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | - |
| 20 | Caerphilly Athletic | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.0 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 21 | Newport City | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 22 | Llanuwchllyn | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4.0 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 23 | Holyhead Hotspur | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 24 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 25 | Denbigh Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | - |
| 26 | Buckley Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 27 | Ruthin Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 28 | Pontardawe Town | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 29 | llanelli AFC | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4.0 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 30 | Penrhyncoch | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | - |
| 31 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 3.8 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | - |
| 32 | Gresford Athletic | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - |