Bangor City 1876 FC are primed for a high-scoring outing, with the model projecting 3.5 goals on average. The most likely result is a 2-1 home win, a 9.6% chance that this scoreline will materialise. Home form shows Bangor scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.22 against similar opposition, while Buckley Town, on the road, averages 1.27 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. The model favours a home victory with a 60% probability, a 21% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4%), Under 6.5 (93.5%), Home +2 handicap (92.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (89.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.5%), Over 1.5 (87.2%) and Under 5.5 (85.8%). Bangor’s recent four-game winning streak and Buckley’s fresh win add momentum to the forecast.
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.75 | 1.36 | 2.29 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.45 | 1.85 | 2.10 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
Buckley Town| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 2.37 | 2.00 | 2.62 | 1.06 | 2.18 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 1.57 | 2.57 | 2.11 | 3.00 | 1.17 | 2.25 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 1.22 | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Buckley Town goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Buckley Town| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.90 | 0.85 | 1.15 | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.67 | 1.14 | 0.89 | 1.67 | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Buckley Town| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 1.47 | 1.15 | 1.46 | 0.53 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (21) | 0.90 | 1.43 | 1.22 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.56 | 1.56 | 1.00 | 1.75 | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 97.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 97.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 94.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 93.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 89.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 88.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 86.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 86.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 82.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +1 handicap | 82.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 80.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Away | 79.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 4.5 | 74.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 30/11/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/12/23 | A | 2-3 | |
| 17/11/23 | H | 3-0 |
Bangor City 1876 FC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 21/08/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 31/01/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/12/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 2-1 |
Buckley Town| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 28/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 21/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 2-4 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 13/04/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 0-6 | |
| 27/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Swansea University | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 4.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Newtown AFC | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | - |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | Bala Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.8 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Porthmadog | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 83% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Caersws | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Carmarthen Town | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | - |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 13 | Treowen Stars | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Guilsfield | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 3.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - |
| 17 | Rhyl | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5.0 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | - |
| 20 | Caerphilly Athletic | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.0 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 21 | Newport City | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 22 | Llanuwchllyn | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4.0 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 23 | Holyhead Hotspur | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 24 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 25 | Denbigh Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | - |
| 26 | Buckley Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 27 | Ruthin Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 28 | Pontardawe Town | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 29 | llanelli AFC | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4.0 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 30 | Penrhyncoch | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | - |
| 31 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 3.8 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | - |
| 32 | Gresford Athletic | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - |