Bangor City 1876 FC are set to dominate the pitch, their home form showing an average of 1.67 goals scored and 2.5 conceded against weaker opposition, while Rhyl’s away record against stronger teams averages 1.25 scored and 1.67 conceded. The model favours a home win, with a 61% chance, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 18%. The expected total is 3.3 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1, a 9.8% probability. The most probable total of goals is three, at 22%. Suggested selections include “Away under 2.5 HT goals” 98.8%, “Under 7.5” 97.9%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” 97.3%, “Away under 3.5 goals” 97.1%, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” 95.2%, “Under 6.5” 94.6%, “Home +2 handicap” 93.0%, and “Away under 1.5 HT goals” 91.0%. The match is primed for a high-scoring home victory.
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.75 | 1.36 | 2.29 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 1.45 | 1.85 | 2.10 | 1.30 | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 2.10 | 2.30 | 1.67 | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-9pp vs league) | |||||
Rhyl| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.70 | 2.06 | 1.47 | 1.15 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (28) | 1.75 | 1.50 | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.50 | 4.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Rhyl goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.55 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Rhyl| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.85 |
| vs Stronger (28) | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.75 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+35pp vs league) | |||||
Bangor City 1876 FC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
Rhyl| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 1.10 | 1.29 | 1.06 | 0.77 | 1.15 |
| vs Stronger (28) | 1.11 | 0.93 | 1.31 | 0.94 | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.50 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 7.5 | 97.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 97.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 97.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 95.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 94.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 93.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 91.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 89.2% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.9% |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 89.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 88.9% | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.05 | - | - | - | +3.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 87.8% | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | +1.4% |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 87.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 86.3% | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | +6.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 85.5% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | +4.4% |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 84.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 82.2% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.15 | 1.13 | +2.9% |
| Home +1 handicap | 82.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 81.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 81.4% | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | -0.2% |
| Home or Away | 78.4% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.15 | +0.4% |
| Under 4.5 | 75.5% | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.21 | - | - | +0.9% |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 74.8% | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.29 | - | - | - | +4.9% |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 70.3% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +4.7% |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Bangor City 1876 FC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 21/08/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 5-0 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 31/01/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/12/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 22/11/25 | H | 2-1 |
Rhyl| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 28/08/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 15/08/26 | H | 4-2 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 07/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 27/03/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 24/03/26 | A | 6-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Swansea University | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 4.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Newtown AFC | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | - |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | Bala Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.8 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Porthmadog | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 83% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Caersws | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Carmarthen Town | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | - |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 13 | Treowen Stars | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Guilsfield | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 3.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - |
| 17 | Rhyl | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5.0 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | - |
| 20 | Caerphilly Athletic | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.0 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 21 | Newport City | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 22 | Llanuwchllyn | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4.0 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 23 | Holyhead Hotspur | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 24 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 25 | Denbigh Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | - |
| 26 | Buckley Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 27 | Ruthin Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 28 | Pontardawe Town | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 29 | llanelli AFC | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4.0 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 30 | Penrhyncoch | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | - |
| 31 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 3.8 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | - |
| 32 | Gresford Athletic | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - |