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Bangor vs Limavady United Result & Analysis

Date: 10/01/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Bangor
Bangor
Vs
40%
26%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bangor win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Limavady United win✗ Miss
33.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BangorBangor

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W30W30W10W11D20W13L32W00D34LA·DUN09/11A·LIM12/11H·NEW17/11A·H&W23/11H·ARM30/11A·NEW06/12A·INS14/12H·BAL21/12H·ARD26/12A·ANN30/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.301.861.072.121.50
vs Stronger (4)1.251.502.001.001.001.67
vs Similar (19)2.161.211.671.002.601.40
vs Weaker (7)2.001.432.251.251.671.67
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L21W02L41W30W40W00D11D21WA·BAL09/11H·BAN12/11H·ANN16/11A·ARD22/11H·NEW30/11H·NEW07/12A·BAL14/12H·H&W21/12A·INS26/12H·BAL30/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.911.221.671.252.181.18
vs Stronger (8)2.001.121.751.252.251.00
vs Similar (10)1.801.301.401.402.201.20
vs Weaker (5)2.001.202.001.002.001.50
Clean sheet %26% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0 ✓
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
Bangor goals ↓
Limavady United goals →
01234
06.1%6.0%5.0%2.4%0.8%
16.8%12%7.9%3.7%1.3%
26.2%8.8%6.3%3.0%1.0%
33.3%4.7%3.3%1.6%0.6%
41.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bangor goals (down), columns = Limavady United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bangor
2.00
Annagh United
1.87
Limavady United
1.74
H&W Welders
1.74
Queen's University
1.50
Ards
1.37
Dundela
1.37
Institute
1.34
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Armagh City
1.11
Newington Youth
1.11
Ballyclare Comrades
1.07
Newry City AFC
0.82
Bangor is 0.26 points better than Limavady United in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.16
H&W Welders
2.08
Annagh United
1.84
Limavady United
1.76
Armagh City
1.63
Institute
1.63
Dundela
1.53
Queen's University
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.45
Ards
1.45
Ballyclare Comrades
1.35
Newington Youth
1.34
Newry City AFC
1.21
Bangor is 0.39 goals better than Limavady United in terms of goals scored per game (2.16 vs 1.76).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Annagh United
0.97
Queen's University
1.00
Limavady United
1.16
Bangor
1.21
H&W Welders
1.39
Ards
1.50
Ballinamallard United
1.63
Dundela
1.63
Institute
1.66
Newington Youth
1.95
Armagh City
2.05
Newry City AFC
2.05
Ballyclare Comrades
2.20
Bangor is 0.05 goals worse than Limavady United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.16).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W20W10W00D10W01L21W00D21WA·DUN09/11A·LIM12/11H·NEW17/11A·H&W23/11H·ARM30/11A·NEW06/12A·INS14/12H·BAL21/12H·ARD26/12A·ANN30/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.500.860.211.060.75
vs Stronger (4)0.500.500.001.000.670.33
vs Similar (19)1.000.470.780.111.200.80
vs Weaker (7)1.140.571.250.251.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L21W00D20W10W20W00D00D11DA·BAL09/11H·BAN12/11H·ANN16/11A·ARD22/11H·NEW30/11H·NEW07/12A·BAL14/12H·H&W21/12A·INS26/12H·BAL30/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.830.670.910.45
vs Stronger (8)0.880.621.001.000.750.25
vs Similar (10)0.800.400.600.401.000.40
vs Weaker (5)1.000.801.000.671.001.00
Clean sheet %52% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W10W00D11D10W12L11D00D13LA·DUN09/11A·LIM12/11H·NEW17/11A·H&W23/11H·ARM30/11A·NEW06/12A·INS14/12H·BAL21/12H·ARD26/12A·ANN30/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.801.000.861.060.75
vs Stronger (4)0.751.002.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (19)1.160.740.890.891.400.60
vs Weaker (7)0.860.861.001.000.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Limavady United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L00D02L21W20W20W00D11D10WA·BAL09/11H·BAN12/11H·ANN16/11A·ARD22/11H·NEW30/11H·NEW07/12A·BAL14/12H·H&W21/12A·INS26/12H·BAL30/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.650.830.581.270.73
vs Stronger (8)1.120.500.750.251.500.75
vs Similar (10)1.000.900.801.001.200.80
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.000.331.000.50
Clean sheet %52% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Limavady United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Bangor's squad is €2m more valuable than Limavady United's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Bangor and Limavady United have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
Bangor and Limavady United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Bangor's defence is €1m more valuable than Limavady United's (€1m vs €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
BAN wins
0
Draws
1
LU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bangor vs Limavady United · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/24ALimavady United Vs BAN0-3
31/08/24HBAN Vs Limavady United1-3

BangorBangor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/24AAnnagh United Vs BAN4-3
26/12/24HBAN Vs Ards0-0
21/12/24HBAN Vs Ballinamallard United3-2
14/12/24AInstitute Vs BAN3-1
06/12/24ANewington Youth Vs BAN0-2
30/11/24HBAN Vs Armagh City1-1
23/11/24AH&W Welders Vs BAN0-1
17/11/24HBAN Vs Newry City AFC3-0
12/11/24ALimavady United Vs BAN0-3
09/11/24ADundela Vs BAN1-3

Limavady UnitedLimavady United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/24HLU Vs Ballinamallard United2-1
26/12/24AInstitute Vs LU1-1
21/12/24HLU Vs H&W Welders0-0
14/12/24ABallyclare Comrades Vs LU0-4
07/12/24HLU Vs Newry City AFC3-0
30/11/24HLU Vs Newington Youth4-1
22/11/24AArds Vs LU2-0
16/11/24HLU Vs Annagh United2-1
12/11/24HLU Vs Bangor0-3
09/11/24ABallinamallard United Vs LU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.92
HomeWWDWD2.08
AwayWWWLL1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals3.463.213.69
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %78%79%77%
Over 3.5 %54%46%62%
Scored2.182.212.15
Conceded1.281.001.54
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Limavady United
Limavady United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.83
HomeWWWDW1.83
AwayDWLWD1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%58%45%
AVG goals3.132.923.36
Over 1.5 %87%83%91%
Over 2.5 %74%83%64%
Over 3.5 %35%17%55%
Scored1.911.672.18
Conceded1.221.251.18
BTTS57%50%64%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BangorBangor3876
61%
2.0
8246+36
3.4
79%
71%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.21.2
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3871
58%
1.9
7037+33
2.8
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
53%
1.7
7953+26
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
4Limavady UnitedLimavady United3866
47%
1.7
6744+23
2.9
84%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
5ArdsArds3852
37%
1.4
5557-2
2.9
68%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
6DundelaDundela3852
39%
1.4
5862-4
3.2
82%
61%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
7InstituteInstitute3851
34%
1.3
6263-1
3.3
84%
66%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3844
34%
1.2
5562-7
3.1
79%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades4043
30%
1.1
5488-34
3.5
95%
75%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
10Armagh CityArmagh City3842
26%
1.1
6278-16
3.7
87%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11Newington YouthNewington Youth3842
29%
1.1
5174-23
3.3
82%
61%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
12Newry City AFCNewry City AFC3831
18%
0.8
4678-32
3.3
87%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
13QueenQueen's University23
50%
1.5
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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