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Bangor vs Portadown Result & Analysis

Date: 18/11/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Bangor
Bangor
Vs
31%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bangor win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portadown win✗ Miss
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BangorBangor

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W00D21W12L31W51W04L03L11D12LA·BAL09/09A·H&W16/09H·NEW23/09A·DER30/09H·ANN07/10A·KNO15/10A·INS21/10H·BAL28/10H·H&W04/11A·NEW11/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.401.291.291.621.50
vs Stronger (1)3.001.003.001.00--
vs Similar (10)1.501.601.251.001.672.00
vs Weaker (4)1.001.000.502.001.500.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W20W20W21W13L20W52W31W01L41WH·ANN09/09A·KNO16/09H·BAL23/09A·ARD30/09H·DUN07/10A·NEW15/10H·H&W21/10H·KNO28/10A·INS04/11H·DER11/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.572.121.501.211.64
vs Stronger (6)1.172.502.002.330.332.67
vs Similar (23)1.831.392.171.421.451.36
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
Bangor goals ↓
Portadown goals →
01234
09.1%9.4%7.2%3.3%1.1%
18.0%14%8.6%3.9%1.3%
25.5%7.5%5.1%2.3%0.8%
32.2%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bangor goals (down), columns = Portadown goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Portadown
1.87
Institute
1.82
Annagh United
1.79
Bangor
1.79
Dundela
1.76
Ballyclare Comrades
1.61
H&W Welders
1.47
Newington Youth
1.37
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Armagh City
1.00
Ards
0.97
Dergview
0.72
Knockbreda
0.47
Bangor is 0.08 points worse than Portadown in terms of average points per game (1.79 vs 1.87).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bangor
2.03
Dundela
1.95
Portadown
1.95
Ballyclare Comrades
1.92
H&W Welders
1.84
Newington Youth
1.71
Annagh United
1.61
Ards
1.58
Institute
1.58
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Dergview
1.07
Armagh City
1.00
Knockbreda
0.89
Bangor is 0.08 goals better than Portadown in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.95).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Armagh City
1.00
Institute
1.13
Bangor
1.16
Annagh United
1.32
Ballinamallard United
1.34
Portadown
1.39
Dundela
1.58
Ballyclare Comrades
1.58
H&W Welders
1.66
Newington Youth
1.79
Ards
1.82
Dergview
2.02
Knockbreda
2.63
Bangor is 0.24 goals better than Portadown in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D11D20W30W01L02L11D00DA·BAL09/09A·H&W16/09H·NEW23/09A·DER30/09H·ANN07/10A·KNO15/10A·INS21/10H·BAL28/10H·H&W04/11A·NEW11/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.570.861.000.50
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (10)0.800.700.250.751.170.67
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.501.500.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W00D10W02L10W30W21W01L30WH·ANN09/09A·KNO16/09H·BAL23/09A·ARD30/09H·DUN07/10A·NEW15/10H·H&W21/10H·KNO28/10A·INS04/11H·DER11/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.120.560.500.71
vs Stronger (6)0.501.331.001.000.001.67
vs Similar (23)0.960.481.250.500.640.45
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W01L11D21W03L01L00D12LA·BAL09/09A·H&W16/09H·NEW23/09A·DER30/09H·ANN07/10A·KNO15/10A·INS21/10H·BAL28/10H·H&W04/11A·NEW11/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.710.430.621.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (10)0.700.901.000.250.501.33
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W20W11D11D10W22D10W00D11DH·ANN09/09A·KNO16/09H·BAL23/09A·ARD30/09H·DUN07/10A·NEW15/10H·H&W21/10H·KNO28/10A·INS04/11H·DER11/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.931.000.940.710.93
vs Stronger (6)0.671.171.001.330.331.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.910.920.920.820.91
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Bangor and Portadown have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
POR (6)
€1m
BAN (4)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Bangor and Portadown have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (5)
€1m
POR (3)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
Bangor and Portadown have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAN (11)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Bangor and Portadown have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
BAN wins
0
Draws
0
POR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bangor vs Portadown · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23APortadown Vs BAN0-1

BangorBangor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23ANewington Youth Vs BAN2-1
04/11/23HBAN Vs H&W Welders1-1
28/10/23HBAN Vs Ballinamallard United0-3
21/10/23AInstitute Vs BAN4-0
15/10/23AKnockbreda Vs BAN1-5
07/10/23HBAN Vs Annagh United3-1
30/09/23ADergview Vs BAN2-1
23/09/23HBAN Vs Newington Youth2-1
16/09/23AH&W Welders Vs BAN0-0
09/09/23ABallinamallard United Vs BAN0-3

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23HPOR Vs Dergview4-1
04/11/23AInstitute Vs POR1-0
28/10/23HPOR Vs Knockbreda3-1
21/10/23HPOR Vs H&W Welders5-2
15/10/23ANewington Youth Vs POR0-2
07/10/23HPOR Vs Dundela1-3
30/09/23AArds Vs POR1-2
23/09/23HPOR Vs Ballinamallard United2-0
16/09/23AKnockbreda Vs POR0-2
09/09/23HPOR Vs Annagh United4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.40
HomeDWWLD1.57
AwayDLWLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%38%
AVG goals2.872.573.12
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %67%57%75%
Over 3.5 %27%14%38%
Scored1.471.291.62
Conceded1.401.291.50
BTTS60%71%50%
Clean Sheet27%14%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.12
HomeWLWWW1.38
AwayLWWWL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals3.103.153.04
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.221.460.96
Conceded1.881.692.08
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PortadownPortadown3871
58%
1.9
7453+21
3.3
87%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.91.4
-
2InstituteInstitute3869
53%
1.8
6043+17
2.7
71%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
3BangorBangor3868
53%
1.8
7744+33
3.2
87%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.01.2
-
4Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3868
53%
1.8
6150+11
2.9
74%
55%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5DundelaDundela3867
55%
1.8
7460+14
3.5
82%
71%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6Ballyclare ComradesBallyclare Comrades3861
47%
1.6
7360+13
3.5
89%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
7H&W WeldersH&W Welders3856
45%
1.5
7063+7
3.5
89%
76%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.7
-
8Newington YouthNewington Youth3852
42%
1.4
6568-3
3.5
97%
76%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
9Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3851
39%
1.3
5151+0
2.7
71%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10ArdsArds3837
24%
1.0
6069-9
3.4
84%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
11DergviewDergview4029
15%
0.7
4381-38
3.1
85%
57%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12KnockbredaKnockbreda3818
13%
0.5
34100-66
3.5
95%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
13Armagh CityArmagh City22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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