This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.63
1.07
1.33
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.50
0.33
1.67
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.44
1.25
1.25
0.92
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
Baník Ostrava goals ↓
Pardubice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.2%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
1
9.1%
12%
6.0%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.3%
5.7%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava goals (down), columns = Pardubice goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Baník Ostrava is 0.09 points better than Pardubice in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Baník Ostrava is 0.43 goals better than Pardubice in terms of goals scored per game (1.51 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Baník Ostrava is 0.27 goals better than Pardubice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Baník Ostrava is 1.2 percentage points worse than Pardubice in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Baník Ostrava
For 5.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pardubice
For 5.8 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Baník Ostrava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
11.0
10.8
11.2
4.3
4.3
4.3
24.8
25.4
24.2
vs Stronger (6)
9.8
10.0
9.5
3.8
5.3
2.3
23.8
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (19)
10.8
10.0
11.7
4.7
4.3
5.2
25.1
26.3
23.9
vs Weaker (9)
12.1
14.0
11.0
3.7
3.5
3.8
24.8
23.0
25.8
% over line
65%
53%
75%
65%
71%
59%
77%
87%
69%
% under line
35%
47%
25%
35%
29%
41%
23%
13%
31%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
12.1
13.0
11.1
3.6
3.9
3.2
24.0
24.4
23.5
vs Stronger (6)
12.4
14.0
10.0
3.7
4.0
3.3
25.6
25.7
25.5
vs Similar (26)
11.7
12.2
11.2
3.6
3.8
3.5
24.1
24.6
23.7
vs Weaker (2)
15.5
20.0
11.0
3.0
6.0
0.0
18.0
18.0
18.0
% over line
77%
88%
67%
53%
59%
47%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
23%
12%
33%
47%
41%
53%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
12.1
Plzen
11.5
Sigma Olomouc
11.2
Baník Ostrava
11.0
Slavia Praha
11.0
Slovan Liberec
10.7
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
České Budějovice
10.6
Sparta Praha
10.4
Mlada Boleslav
10.3
FK Jablonec
10.2
Teplice
9.8
Slovácko
9.8
Hradec Králové
9.5
Bohemians 1905
9.4
Zlin
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.6
Hradec Králové
5.1
Baník Ostrava
4.7
Slavia Praha
4.5
Slovan Liberec
4.3
Mlada Boleslav
4.2
Plzen
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.1
Teplice
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Bohemians 1905
4.0
Pardubice
3.9
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.8
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
České Budějovice
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mlada Boleslav
28.4
Hradec Králové
28.4
Slovan Liberec
25.8
Teplice
25.8
Slovácko
25.7
Zlin
25.7
Sparta Praha
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.8
Sigma Olomouc
24.7
Slavia Praha
24.6
FK Jablonec
24.1
Pardubice
24.0
Bohemians 1905
23.5
České Budějovice
23.5
Zbrojovka Brno
22.8
Plzen
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
66.4%
Under 9.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.71
0.36
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.41
0.62
0.25
0.33
0.56
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.29
1.33
0.33
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.73
0.47
0.80
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.36
0.64
0.58
0.75
0.15
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.93
0.88
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
1.12
0.47
1.12
0.75
1.11
0.22
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.60
0.53
0.80
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.33
0.67
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.80
0.67
0.50
0.77
1.08
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Baník Ostrava · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kohút33%
Václav Jurečka25%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Jiri Micek20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matěj Chaluš25%
Filip Kubala25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filip Kubala25%
Artúr Musák25%
Roan Nogha20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Michal Kohút0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michal Kohút33%
Dantaye Gilbert20%
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy0%
Martin Jedlička0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Václav Jurečka0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Filip Kubala0%
Abdallah Gning0%
Roan Nogha0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
David Planka0%
Aboubacar Traore0%
Artúr Musák0%
Jiri Micek0%
Abdullahi Bewene0%
Vit Skrkon0%
Pardubice · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Boledovic40%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Godwin40%
Vojtěch Patrák33%
Václav Drchal20%
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jason Noslin20%
Jan Trédl20%
Victor Samuel20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Kahuan0%
Tobias Boledovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jan Trédl20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Jelínek33%
Abdoull Tanko25%
Jason Noslin20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Baník Ostrava's squad is €5m more valuable than Pardubice's (€19m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Baník Ostrava's attack is €1m more valuable than Pardubice's (€5m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Baník Ostrava's midfield is €2m more valuable than Pardubice's (€7m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Baník Ostrava's defence is €2m more valuable than Pardubice's (€7m vs €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Sparta Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Teplice
FK Jablonec
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram