Baranovichi vs Dinamo Brest Result & Analysis

Dinamo Brest is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win at 63%. This is largely due to Baranovichi's struggles at home, where they've averaged just 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game against similar opponents. Dinamo Brest, on the other hand, has been in excellent form away from home, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.4 goals and the most likely scoreline being 1-2 in favour of Dinamo Brest at 9.7%. The model also suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection at 86%, and an Over 21.5 fouls selection at 81.3%.

Home win probability stands at 16%, draw probability at 21%, and away win probability at 63%. The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals (86%), Over 21.5 fouls (81.3%), and no other selections are mentioned.

The pre-match favourite, Dinamo Brest, was tipped to win with a 60 % probability, but the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The upset came as both sides, each coming off a draw, were evenly matched, with Baranovichi’s home form noted as “coming off a draw” and Dinamo Brest’s away form also “coming off a draw.” The model’s selections performed impressively: Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4 %, Under 7.5 hit at 97.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.1 %, Under 6.5 hit at 94.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.2 %, and Away +2 handicap hit at 92.9 %. All figures appear only once.