This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.73
1.67
0.93
1.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.79
0.71
1.79
0.93
1.79
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.0%
Under 1.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 1.85-10.1%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.96+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
Başakşehir goals ↓
Fenerbahçe goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
13%
10%
5.0%
1.8%
1
7.2%
14%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
3.7%
5.4%
4.0%
1.9%
0.7%
3
1.1%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Başakşehir goals (down), columns = Fenerbahçe goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Trabzonspor
2.13
Fenerbahçe
1.92
Konyaspor
1.79
Başakşehir
1.71
Alanyaspor
1.68
Beşiktaş
1.55
Antalyaspor
1.55
Fatih Karagümrük
1.50
Adana Demirspor
1.45
Sivasspor
1.42
Hatayspor
1.39
Kasımpaşa
1.39
Galatasaray
1.37
Kayserispor
1.24
Gaziantep FK
1.21
Giresunspor
1.18
Rizespor
0.95
Altay
0.89
Göztepe
0.74
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.53
Başakşehir is 0.21 points worse than Fenerbahçe in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fenerbahçe
1.92
Trabzonspor
1.82
Alanyaspor
1.76
Kasımpaşa
1.76
Konyaspor
1.74
Adana Demirspor
1.58
Beşiktaş
1.47
Başakşehir
1.47
Hatayspor
1.47
Antalyaspor
1.42
Kayserispor
1.42
Sivasspor
1.37
Galatasaray
1.34
Gaziantep FK
1.26
Fatih Karagümrük
1.24
Rizespor
1.16
Giresunspor
1.08
Göztepe
1.05
Altay
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.71
Başakşehir is 0.45 goals worse than Fenerbahçe in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Trabzonspor
0.95
Başakşehir
0.95
Fenerbahçe
1.00
Konyaspor
1.18
Adana Demirspor
1.24
Antalyaspor
1.24
Giresunspor
1.24
Beşiktaş
1.26
Sivasspor
1.32
Fatih Karagümrük
1.37
Galatasaray
1.39
Gaziantep FK
1.47
Altay
1.50
Kasımpaşa
1.50
Alanyaspor
1.53
Hatayspor
1.58
Kayserispor
1.61
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.87
Rizespor
1.87
Göztepe
2.03
Başakşehir is 0.05 goals better than Fenerbahçe in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Başakşehir
For 5.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 8.9 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fenerbahçe
For 7.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Başakşehir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.8
3.9
3.7
4.0
22.5
23.2
21.8
vs Stronger (7)
10.0
7.5
13.3
6.3
6.0
6.7
25.6
27.0
23.7
vs Similar (5)
8.6
9.5
8.0
4.2
4.5
4.0
22.6
21.5
23.3
vs Weaker (38)
9.0
9.7
8.3
3.4
3.2
3.6
21.9
22.5
21.2
% over line
36%
44%
28%
48%
52%
44%
60%
76%
44%
% under line
64%
56%
72%
52%
48%
56%
40%
24%
56%
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.2
10.7
5.1
5.2
4.9
27.9
28.0
27.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
11.4
12.0
11.0
8.4
7.5
9.0
33.2
31.0
34.7
vs Weaker (45)
10.9
11.1
10.6
4.7
5.0
4.3
27.3
27.8
26.8
% over line
72%
73%
71%
62%
65%
58%
86%
77%
96%
% under line
28%
27%
29%
38%
35%
42%
14%
23%
4%
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Galatasaray
10.9
Fenerbahçe
10.9
Adana Demirspor
10.6
Fatih Karagümrük
10.2
Trabzonspor
10.0
Gaziantep FK
9.9
Alanyaspor
9.7
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.6
Giresunspor
9.5
Göztepe
9.4
Kayserispor
9.1
Rizespor
9.1
Başakşehir
9.1
Sivasspor
9.1
Antalyaspor
9.0
Kasımpaşa
8.9
Konyaspor
8.9
Beşiktaş
8.9
Hatayspor
8.8
Altay
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Giresunspor
5.2
Hatayspor
5.1
Galatasaray
5.1
Fenerbahçe
5.1
Alanyaspor
5.0
Fatih Karagümrük
5.0
Antalyaspor
5.0
Gaziantep FK
4.8
Beşiktaş
4.7
Trabzonspor
4.6
Rizespor
4.6
Kayserispor
4.5
Konyaspor
4.5
Sivasspor
4.3
Adana Demirspor
4.2
Kasımpaşa
4.1
Yeni Malatyaspor
4.0
Başakşehir
3.9
Göztepe
3.8
Altay
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Beşiktaş
28.4
Fenerbahçe
27.9
Fatih Karagümrük
27.2
Rizespor
27.1
Hatayspor
27.0
Alanyaspor
26.8
Antalyaspor
26.4
Yeni Malatyaspor
26.2
Sivasspor
26.2
Kasımpaşa
26.1
Göztepe
25.8
Galatasaray
25.6
Gaziantep FK
25.5
Kayserispor
25.4
Altay
25.0
Adana Demirspor
24.6
Konyaspor
24.4
Trabzonspor
24.3
Giresunspor
24.0
Başakşehir
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Başakşehir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.27
0.60
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
0.33
0.54
0.25
0.58
0.42
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
0.87
0.40
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.86
0.39
0.93
0.43
0.79
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Başakşehir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
0.46
0.46
0.58
0.50
0.33
0.42
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Fenerbahçe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fenerbahçe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
0.93
0.32
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.14
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Başakşehir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Başakşehir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Başakşehir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fenerbahçe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Başakşehir · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eldor Shomurodov100%
Christopher Operi33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Olivier Kemen67%
Davie Selke33%
Ömer Ali Şahiner33%
Onur Ergün33%
Jerome Opoku33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Emin Bayram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andreas Skov Olsen33%
Umut Bozok33%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev33%
Christopher Operi0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Eldor Shomurodov0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eldor Shomurodov67%
Andreas Skov Olsen0%
Christopher Operi0%
Umut Bozok0%
Davie Selke0%
Ömer Ali Şahiner0%
Muhammed Şengezer0%
Onur Ergün0%
Olivier Kemen0%
Jerome Opoku0%
Emin Bayram0%
Abbosbek Fayzullaev0%
Fenerbahçe · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi50%
Mason Greenwood38%
Marco Asensio17%
Archie Brown17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fred33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Nélson Semedo25%
Milan Škriniar25%
Romelu Lukaku25%
Mattéo Guendouzi25%
Dorgeles Nene25%
Archie Brown17%
N'Golo Kanté14%
Mason Greenwood12%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Mert Müldür0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Vedat Muriqi0%
Levent Mercan0%
Oğuz Aydın0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Levent Mercan33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İrfan Can Kahveci20%
Marco Asensio17%
Vedat Muriqi17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Talisca0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
Archie Brown0%
İsmail Yüksek0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Talisca67%
Vedat Muriqi33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu33%
Mason Greenwood25%
İsmail Yüksek17%
Oğuz Aydın14%
Nélson Semedo0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Ederson0%
Marco Asensio0%
Fred0%
Romelu Lukaku0%
Mattéo Guendouzi0%
Mert Müldür0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Nathan Aké0%
Mert Günok0%
İrfan Can Kahveci0%
Levent Mercan0%
Archie Brown0%
Dorgeles Nene0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (29)
€345m
FEN (39)
€332m
BEŞ (34)
€202m
TRA (31)
€168m
BAŞ (32)
€77m
GÖZ (26)
€61m
RIZ (24)
€44m
ALA (29)
€38m
KON (26)
€33m
KAS (31)
€31m
GF (28)
€28m
ANT (25)
€16m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
SIV (26)
€10m
HAT (16)
€2m
AD (23)
€2m
Başakşehir's squad is €255m less valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€77m vs €332m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (9)
€173m
FEN (14)
€162m
BEŞ (11)
€70m
TRA (11)
€67m
BAŞ (13)
€40m
GÖZ (10)
€30m
KAS (13)
€14m
GF (14)
€14m
KON (10)
€13m
RIZ (8)
€12m
ALA (11)
€9m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
SIV (10)
€4m
AD (7)
€1m
HAT (4)
€0m
Başakşehir's attack is €122m less valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€40m vs €162m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GAL (7)
€72m
FEN (7)
€62m
BEŞ (9)
€50m
TRA (9)
€38m
GÖZ (7)
€19m
ALA (9)
€18m
BAŞ (6)
€10m
GF (5)
€8m
RIZ (4)
€7m
KAS (7)
€4m
KON (4)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
FK (3)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
KAY (4)
€2m
AD (4)
€0m
HAT (3)
€0m
Başakşehir's midfield is €53m less valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€10m vs €62m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FEN (18)
€108m
GAL (13)
€100m
BEŞ (14)
€82m
TRA (11)
€63m
BAŞ (13)
€28m
RIZ (12)
€25m
KON (12)
€16m
KAS (11)
€12m
GÖZ (9)
€12m
ALA (9)
€11m
ANT (11)
€7m
GF (9)
€6m
KAY (10)
€5m
FK (11)
€4m
SIV (11)
€3m
HAT (9)
€1m
AD (12)
€1m
Başakşehir's defence is €80m less valuable than Fenerbahçe's (€28m vs €108m).
Turkey: Süper Lig 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: Süper Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Beşiktaş
Antalyaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Adana Demirspor
Sivasspor
Kasımpaşa
Hatayspor
Galatasaray
Kayserispor
Gaziantep FK
Giresunspor
Rizespor
Altay
Göztepe
Yeni Malatyaspor