Başakşehir vs Göztepe Result & Analysis

Başakşehir are the clear favourites, with a 52% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of a Göztepe win. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.1% probability. Başakşehir’s home form shows they average 2 goals scored and 2 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Göztepe, playing away, averages 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded to the same tier. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (93.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (86.2%), Over 2.5 cards (82.6%), Over 1.5 (79.5%), Under 11.5 corners (77.0%), Over 23.5 fouls (75.3%) and Under 5.5 cards (70.4%). Başakşehir’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Göztepe’s recent loss streak set the stage for a likely home win.

The match saw Başakşehir extend its recent run, with a 2-0 win that confirmed the model’s prediction of a home victory. The model had chosen a home win with a 52% probability, and it was right. The final score matched the expected 2-0 outcome, giving the model a clean hit. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 93.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 86.2%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.6%, Over 1.5 goals hit at 79.5%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 77.0%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 75.3%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 70.4%. All figures appear once, and the analysis remains neutral.