PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 4-1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Vs
37%
26%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen winâś“ Hit
36.6%
Avg Implied 44.4% · @ 2.10
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.98
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig winâś— Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.90
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W33D11D11D02L33D63W10W12L21WA·HAM04/03A·SC 07/03H·ARS11/03H·BAY14/03A·ARS17/03A·1. 21/03H·VFL04/04A·BOR11/04H·FC 18/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.172.141.141.501.19
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.601.201.401.601.800.80
vs Weaker (16)2.121.193.000.861.441.44
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D22D21W21W01L50W21W10W31W31WH·VFL15/02H·BOR21/02A·HAM01/03H·FC 07/03A·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.072.381.191.710.93
vs Stronger (1)1.005.001.005.00--
vs Similar (5)1.401.602.002.000.501.00
vs Weaker (24)2.250.792.580.671.920.92
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.36-10.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
@ 3.02+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
Bayer Leverkusen goals ↓
RB Leipzig goals →
01234
05.9%6.2%5.6%2.8%1.1%
16.2%12%8.4%4.3%1.6%
25.5%8.4%6.4%3.2%1.2%
32.8%4.2%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.0%1.6%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayer Leverkusen goals (down), columns = RB Leipzig goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern MĂĽnchen
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
Bayer Leverkusen is 0.18 points worse than RB Leipzig in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern MĂĽnchen
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Bayer Leverkusen is 0.06 goals better than RB Leipzig in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern MĂĽnchen
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern MĂĽnchen
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
Bayer Leverkusen is 5.3 percentage points better than RB Leipzig in terms of average possession (59% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

For 6.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.7

đźš© Corners

1805211455122528104123257271510147185579A·1. H·FC A·BORH·VFLA·1. A·ARSH·BAYH·ARSA·SC A·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

90212131344136433323334819762A·1. H·FC A·BORH·VFLA·1. A·ARSH·BAYH·ARSA·SC A·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 9.2 · Total 17.6

⚠️ Fouls

2505115865811121184121391087111216131119231225191523A·1. H·FC A·BORH·VFLA·1. A·ARSH·BAYH·ARSA·SC A·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 6.1 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.8

đźš© Corners

1501046411411365689462621410151411141388H·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFBH·FC A·HAMH·BORH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

701114112112122334122153232573H·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFBH·FC A·HAMH·BORH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.1 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

2806107796141381616589128111761016141527242117202816H·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFBH·FC A·HAMH·BORH·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.79.14.44.24.519.719.020.3
vs Stronger (6)10.25.714.74.37.01.716.019.312.7
vs Similar (15)9.810.68.94.14.43.718.918.619.3
vs Weaker (29)9.010.18.14.53.55.320.919.222.2
% over line52%58%46%52%54%50%42%33%50%
% under line48%42%54%48%46%50%58%67%50%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.710.23.53.63.520.020.020.1
vs Stronger (3)11.011.510.03.32.55.018.014.026.0
vs Similar (9)11.110.712.53.83.93.521.921.324.0
vs Weaker (38)10.310.610.03.53.63.419.820.219.4
% over line58%54%62%52%46%58%36%38%33%
% under line42%46%38%48%54%42%64%62%67%
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đźš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
11.3
RB Leipzig
10.5
1. FC Köln
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.2
SC Paderborn 07
10.1
Hamburger SV
9.9
FC Augsburg
9.8
VfB Stuttgart
9.7
Union Berlin
9.5
Bayern MĂĽnchen
9.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.5
Bayer Leverkusen
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.3
Werder Bremen
9.2
Borussia Dortmund
9.2
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
1. FC Heidenheim
9.0
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
Werder Bremen
4.7
1. FC Köln
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
FSV Mainz 05
4.6
Bayer Leverkusen
4.4
FC Augsburg
4.2
VfB Stuttgart
4.0
Union Berlin
4.0
Bayern MĂĽnchen
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
1899 Hoffenheim
3.8
SC Freiburg
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.8
VfL Wolfsburg
3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
RB Leipzig
3.5
Borussia Dortmund
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SC Paderborn 07
24.6
Hamburger SV
24.2
SC Freiburg
22.8
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
FC Augsburg
22.2
FSV Mainz 05
22.2
Union Berlin
21.9
Borussia Dortmund
21.7
1. FC Heidenheim
21.6
Werder Bremen
21.1
1. FC Köln
21.1
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
FC St. Pauli
20.3
RB Leipzig
20.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.0
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7
Bayern MĂĽnchen
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
28.7%
Under 21.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D00D10W01L20W23L10W11D10WA·HAM04/03A·SC 07/03H·ARS11/03H·BAY14/03A·ARS17/03A·1. 21/03H·VFL04/04A·BOR11/04H·FC 18/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.070.640.940.69
vs Stronger (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
vs Similar (10)0.800.800.601.001.000.60
vs Weaker (16)1.250.691.570.571.000.78
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W11D01L00D40W10W00D11D20WH·VFL15/02H·BOR21/02A·HAM01/03H·FC 07/03A·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.331.120.310.860.36
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.330.670.500.50
vs Weaker (24)1.000.291.080.250.920.33
Clean sheet %73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D11D01L01L13L40W00D01L11DA·HAM04/03A·SC 07/03H·ARS11/03H·BAY14/03A·ARS17/03A·1. 21/03H·VFL04/04A·BOR11/04H·FC 18/04A·1. 25/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.501.070.500.560.50
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
vs Similar (10)0.800.400.800.600.800.20
vs Weaker (16)0.880.501.430.290.440.67
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D02L10W20W01L10W11D10W20W11DH·VFL15/02H·BOR21/02A·HAM01/03H·FC 07/03A·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.250.880.860.57
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (5)0.401.000.671.330.000.50
vs Weaker (24)1.250.501.500.421.000.58
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls92.1%-------âś“ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls84.0%-------âś“ Hit
Over 1.581.7%-------âś“ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.8%-------âś“ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.9%-------âś“ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.5%-------âś“ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls71.3%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bayer Leverkusen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Schick36%
Alex Grimaldo24%
Martin Terrier21%
Malik Tillman17%
Christian Kofane16%
Edmond Tapsoba11%
Jarell Quansah11%
Ernest Poku11%
Jonas Hofmann11%
Aleix GarcĂ­a10%
Ibrahim Maza9%
Robert Andrich7%
Arthur6%
Montrell Culbreath6%
Lucas Vázquez5%
Nathan Tella5%
Exequiel Palacios0%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Loïc Badé0%
Ezequiel Fernández0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Axel Tape0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmond Tapsoba27%
Jarell Quansah20%
Exequiel Palacios20%
Aleix GarcĂ­a20%
Alex Grimaldo17%
Robert Andrich17%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Loïc Badé15%
Eliesse Ben Seghir13%
Axel Tape12%
Christian Kofane11%
Jonas Hofmann11%
Ezequiel Fernández10%
Arthur10%
Malik Tillman10%
Nathan Tella9%
Claudio Echeverri9%
Ibrahim Maza7%
Janis Blaswich6%
Patrik Schick5%
Ernest Poku4%
Martin Terrier4%
Mark Flekken3%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Grimaldo24%
Aleix GarcĂ­a20%
Nathan Tella18%
Ernest Poku18%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Ibrahim Maza14%
Christian Kofane14%
Arthur10%
Patrik Schick10%
Jonas Hofmann7%
Edmond Tapsoba5%
Martin Terrier4%
Exequiel Palacios4%
Ezequiel Fernández3%
Robert Andrich2%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Malik Tillman0%
Loïc Badé0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Axel Tape0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik Schick31%
Christian Kofane20%
Ibrahim Maza18%
Nathan Tella14%
Alex Grimaldo13%
Malik Tillman5%
Jarell Quansah5%
Martin Terrier4%
Jonas Hofmann4%
Edmond Tapsoba2%
Ernest Poku2%
Lucas Vázquez0%
Exequiel Palacios0%
Robert Andrich0%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Aleix GarcĂ­a0%
Loïc Badé0%
Ezequiel Fernández0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Arthur0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Axel Tape0%
RB Leipzig
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Diomande31%
Christoph Baumgartner30%
RĂ´mulo28%
Assan Ouédraogo20%
Antonio Nusa14%
Brajan Gruda14%
Johan Bakayoko14%
Xaver Schlager10%
Conrad Harder9%
David Raum9%
Willi Orbán8%
Ezechiel Banzuzi7%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Benjamin Henrichs6%
Ridle Baku6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Castello Lukeba3%
LoĂŻs Openda0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christoph Baumgartner30%
David Raum21%
Xaver Schlager20%
Ezechiel Banzuzi18%
Ridle Baku14%
Max Finkgräfe14%
RĂ´mulo12%
Willi Orbán11%
Castello Lukeba10%
Conrad Harder9%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Brajan Gruda7%
Maarten Vandevoordt6%
Yan Diomande6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Johan Bakayoko5%
Péter Gulácsi4%
LoĂŻs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Raum24%
Brajan Gruda21%
Yan Diomande19%
Christoph Baumgartner19%
Assan Ouédraogo15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
RĂ´mulo12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ridle Baku11%
Antonio Nusa11%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Willi Orbán5%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Ezechiel Banzuzi4%
Castello Lukeba3%
Xaver Schlager3%
LoĂŻs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Johan Bakayoko0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoph Baumgartner38%
LoĂŻs Openda33%
Yan Diomande22%
RĂ´mulo22%
Antonio Nusa20%
Conrad Harder16%
Brajan Gruda14%
Assan Ouédraogo10%
Johan Bakayoko9%
David Raum3%
Ridle Baku3%
Nicolas Seiwald3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Willi Orbán0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Ezechiel Banzuzi0%
Max Finkgräfe0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
Bayer Leverkusen's squad is €7m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€499m vs €506m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
Bayer Leverkusen's attack is €33m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€246m vs €212m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
Bayer Leverkusen's midfield is €18m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€91m vs €109m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Bayer Leverkusen's defence is €22m less valuable than RB Leipzig's (€162m vs €185m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BL wins
1
Draws
3
RL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig · H/A from BL
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25ARB Leipzig Vs BL1-3
25/01/25ARB Leipzig Vs BL2-2
31/08/24HBL Vs RB Leipzig2-3
20/01/24ARB Leipzig Vs BL2-3
19/08/23HBL Vs RB Leipzig3-2
23/04/23HBL Vs RB Leipzig2-0
29/10/22ARB Leipzig Vs BL2-0
17/04/22HBL Vs RB Leipzig0-1

Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26A1. FC Köln Vs BL1-2
18/04/26HBL Vs FC Augsburg1-2
11/04/26ABorussia Dortmund Vs BL0-1
04/04/26HBL Vs VfL Wolfsburg6-3
21/03/26A1. FC Heidenheim Vs BL3-3
17/03/26AArsenal Vs BL2-0
14/03/26HBL Vs Bayern MĂĽnchen1-1
11/03/26HBL Vs Arsenal1-1
07/03/26ASC Freiburg Vs BL3-3
04/03/26AHamburger SV Vs BL0-1

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26HRL Vs Union Berlin3-1
18/04/26AEintracht Frankfurt Vs RL1-3
11/04/26HRL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1-0
04/04/26AWerder Bremen Vs RL1-2
20/03/26HRL Vs 1899 Hoffenheim5-0
15/03/26AVfB Stuttgart Vs RL1-0
07/03/26HRL Vs FC Augsburg2-1
01/03/26AHamburger SV Vs RL1-2
21/02/26HRL Vs Borussia Dortmund2-2
15/02/26HRL Vs VfL Wolfsburg2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.64
HomeDDDWL1.58
AwayDLDWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%42%46%
AVG goals3.123.253.00
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.761.921.62
Conceded1.361.331.38
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners9.389.719.08
Cards4.364.254.46
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.72
HomeDWWWW1.96
AwayWWLWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals3.043.542.50
Over 1.5 %78%96%58%
Over 2.5 %62%73%50%
Over 3.5 %44%54%33%
Scored1.762.231.25
Conceded1.281.311.25
BTTS56%69%42%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners10.4810.6910.25
Cards3.543.583.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MĂĽnchenBayern MĂĽnchen3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches