This opponent (Union Berlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Berlin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.17
1.81
0.94
1.21
1.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
1.50
2.50
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.23
1.50
1.00
1.43
1.43
vs Weaker (15)
1.60
0.93
2.12
0.50
1.00
1.43
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.41
Borussia Dortmund
2.03
RB Leipzig
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.91
Bayer Leverkusen
1.85
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
VfL Wolfsburg
1.44
SC Freiburg
1.41
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.32
Hertha BSC
1.21
Union Berlin
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.15
FSV Mainz 05
1.09
1. FC Köln
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.06
Werder Bremen
0.91
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.88
SC Paderborn 07
0.59
Bayer Leverkusen is 0.65 points better than Union Berlin in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.94
Borussia Dortmund
2.47
RB Leipzig
2.38
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.94
Bayer Leverkusen
1.79
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.74
1899 Hoffenheim
1.56
1. FC Köln
1.50
VfL Wolfsburg
1.41
Hertha BSC
1.41
SC Freiburg
1.41
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Werder Bremen
1.24
Union Berlin
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.09
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen is 0.59 goals better than Union Berlin in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
0.94
RB Leipzig
1.09
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.18
Borussia Dortmund
1.21
Bayer Leverkusen
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.35
SC Freiburg
1.38
1899 Hoffenheim
1.56
Union Berlin
1.71
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Hertha BSC
1.74
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.85
FSV Mainz 05
1.91
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.97
1. FC Köln
2.03
Werder Bremen
2.03
SC Paderborn 07
2.18
Bayer Leverkusen is 0.41 goals better than Union Berlin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen
For 6.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.5 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Union Berlin
For 5.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayer Leverkusen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
3.8
3.6
4.0
22.2
21.9
22.5
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
11.0
10.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
21.0
26.0
16.0
vs Similar (13)
10.6
9.0
12.0
3.1
3.8
2.4
20.9
21.3
20.6
vs Weaker (35)
9.4
10.4
8.4
4.1
3.4
4.8
22.7
21.8
23.6
% over line
48%
48%
48%
52%
44%
60%
54%
52%
56%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
48%
56%
40%
46%
48%
44%
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Berlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.5
4.2
4.0
4.3
29.0
30.2
27.8
vs Stronger (2)
10.0
10.0
-
0.5
0.5
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (19)
10.1
11.5
8.6
4.8
4.6
5.1
29.6
29.4
29.8
vs Weaker (29)
9.3
8.5
10.1
4.0
4.1
3.9
29.5
32.7
26.5
% over line
44%
42%
46%
54%
50%
58%
88%
92%
83%
% under line
56%
58%
54%
46%
50%
42%
12%
8%
17%
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SC Paderborn 07
11.6
1. FC Köln
10.7
1899 Hoffenheim
10.7
VfL Wolfsburg
10.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.2
FSV Mainz 05
10.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.2
Werder Bremen
10.1
Bayern München
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.8
SC Freiburg
9.7
Borussia Dortmund
9.7
Union Berlin
9.7
RB Leipzig
9.6
Hertha BSC
9.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.5
FC Augsburg
9.3
FC Schalke 04
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SC Paderborn 07
4.8
1. FC Köln
4.4
Union Berlin
4.2
FC Schalke 04
4.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
Bayer Leverkusen
3.8
Werder Bremen
3.8
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
RB Leipzig
3.7
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
FSV Mainz 05
3.5
FC Augsburg
3.4
SC Freiburg
3.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.3
Borussia Dortmund
3.2
Hertha BSC
3.2
Bayern München
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Union Berlin
29.0
1. FC Köln
29.0
SC Paderborn 07
26.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
25.2
RB Leipzig
24.9
FC Schalke 04
24.8
VfL Wolfsburg
24.4
Hertha BSC
24.1
FC Augsburg
24.0
FSV Mainz 05
23.8
Werder Bremen
23.7
SC Freiburg
23.7
1899 Hoffenheim
23.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
22.4
Bayer Leverkusen
22.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
21.8
Borussia Dortmund
20.3
Bayern München
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.0%
Under 21.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bayer Leverkusen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.70
1.07
0.73
1.40
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.88
2.67
0.67
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
1.33
0.62
0.73
0.73
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Berlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.94
0.44
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.31
0.50
0.33
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.40
1.38
0.12
0.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bayer Leverkusen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
0.87
0.47
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.25
0.67
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.62
0.73
0.36
1.30
0.90
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Union Berlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.88
0.50
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.92
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.53
0.75
0.38
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayer Leverkusen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayer Leverkusen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bayer Leverkusen · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Schick36%
Alex Grimaldo24%
Martin Terrier21%
Malik Tillman17%
Christian Kofane16%
Edmond Tapsoba11%
Jarell Quansah11%
Ernest Poku11%
Jonas Hofmann11%
Aleix García10%
Ibrahim Maza9%
Robert Andrich7%
Arthur6%
Montrell Culbreath6%
Lucas Vázquez5%
Nathan Tella5%
Exequiel Palacios0%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Loïc Badé0%
Ezequiel Fernández0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Axel Tape0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmond Tapsoba27%
Jarell Quansah20%
Exequiel Palacios20%
Aleix García20%
Alex Grimaldo17%
Robert Andrich17%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Loïc Badé15%
Eliesse Ben Seghir13%
Axel Tape12%
Christian Kofane11%
Jonas Hofmann11%
Ezequiel Fernández10%
Arthur10%
Malik Tillman10%
Nathan Tella9%
Claudio Echeverri9%
Ibrahim Maza7%
Janis Blaswich6%
Patrik Schick5%
Ernest Poku4%
Martin Terrier4%
Mark Flekken3%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Grimaldo24%
Aleix García20%
Nathan Tella18%
Ernest Poku18%
Lucas Vázquez16%
Ibrahim Maza14%
Christian Kofane14%
Arthur10%
Patrik Schick10%
Jonas Hofmann7%
Edmond Tapsoba5%
Martin Terrier4%
Exequiel Palacios4%
Ezequiel Fernández3%
Robert Andrich2%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Malik Tillman0%
Loïc Badé0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Axel Tape0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik Schick31%
Christian Kofane20%
Ibrahim Maza18%
Nathan Tella14%
Alex Grimaldo13%
Malik Tillman5%
Jarell Quansah5%
Martin Terrier4%
Jonas Hofmann4%
Edmond Tapsoba2%
Ernest Poku2%
Lucas Vázquez0%
Exequiel Palacios0%
Robert Andrich0%
Mark Flekken0%
Janis Blaswich0%
Aleix García0%
Loïc Badé0%
Ezequiel Fernández0%
Jeanuël Belocian0%
Eliesse Ben Seghir0%
Arthur0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Claudio Echeverri0%
Montrell Culbreath0%
Axel Tape0%
Union Berlin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Skov25%
Leopold Querfeld18%
Rani Khedira17%
Woo-Yeong Jeong16%
Andrej Ilić15%
Oliver Burke13%
Ilyas Ansah11%
Danilho Doekhi11%
Josip Juranović9%
Tom Rothe8%
Stanley N'Soki7%
András Schäfer6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tim Skarke4%
Derrick Köhn3%
Diogo Leite0%
Alex Král0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Christopher Trimmel0%
Janik Haberer0%
Carl Klaus0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Livan Burcu26%
Christopher Trimmel26%
Janik Haberer26%
Rani Khedira20%
Andrej Ilić18%
Leopold Querfeld18%
Derrick Köhn17%
Diogo Leite16%
Aljoscha Kemlein16%
Stanley N'Soki14%
Danilho Doekhi14%
Oliver Burke13%
András Schäfer10%
Josip Juranović9%
Frederik Rønnow6%
Ilyas Ansah6%
Alex Král5%
Tom Rothe4%
Woo-Yeong Jeong0%
Robert Skov0%
Tim Skarke0%
Carl Klaus0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dmytro Bogdanov33%
Andrej Ilić24%
Stanley N'Soki14%
Christopher Trimmel13%
Josip Juranović9%
Derrick Köhn7%
Oliver Burke6%
Janik Haberer6%
Aljoscha Kemlein6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tim Skarke4%
Woo-Yeong Jeong3%
András Schäfer3%
Rani Khedira3%
Ilyas Ansah3%
Danilho Doekhi3%
Diogo Leite0%
Alex Král0%
Robert Skov0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Carl Klaus0%
Leopold Querfeld0%
Tom Rothe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrej Ilić29%
Danilho Doekhi14%
Oliver Burke10%
Leopold Querfeld9%
Ilyas Ansah6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tom Rothe4%
Derrick Köhn3%
András Schäfer3%
Stanley N'Soki0%
Diogo Leite0%
Woo-Yeong Jeong0%
Alex Král0%
Robert Skov0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Josip Juranović0%
Christopher Trimmel0%
Tim Skarke0%
Rani Khedira0%
Janik Haberer0%
Carl Klaus0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SP0 (33)
€43m
HB (24)
€25m
FD (26)
€10m
Bayer Leverkusen's squad is €376m more valuable than Union Berlin's (€499m vs €123m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HB (8)
€8m
FD (8)
€3m
Bayer Leverkusen's attack is €199m more valuable than Union Berlin's (€246m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
HB (6)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
Bayer Leverkusen's midfield is €64m more valuable than Union Berlin's (€91m vs €26m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
SP0 (9)
€11m
FD (13)
€5m
Bayer Leverkusen's defence is €112m more valuable than Union Berlin's (€162m vs €50m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →