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Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2021
Time: 17:30
Final 4-2
Bayern München
Bayern München
Vs
49%
21%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Bayern Munich’s recent 5-1 demolition of VfB Stuttgart fuels the model’s confidence that the German giants will prevail, with a 49% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and 30% for a Dortmund victory. The prediction that Bayern will win is the model’s pick, and it also sees a high-scoring affair, estimating an average of 4.3 goals and a 25% chance of six or more goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7.5% probability. Bayern’s home form shows an impressive 3.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded against weaker opposition, while Dortmund’s away numbers are not provided but the model still favours Bayern.

The model’s suggested picks cover a range of outcomes. Over 1.5 goals carries a 93.2% probability, while the under 5.5 cards pick is 88.5%. Under 25.5 fouls is 80.4%. Over 2.5 goals, with an 8% edge, is 79.7%. BTTS Yes is 77.5%, under 4.5 cards 76.5%, and under 11.5 corners 75.6%. These selections reflect the model’s view that both sides will score, that the match will be high-scoring, and that it will be a clean, disciplined affair.

Results analysis

The match saw Bayern Munich extend their three-game winning streak, while Dortmund also finished on a three-game run. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as Bayern triumphed 4-2. The pre-match odds gave Bayern a 49% chance, a 21% draw probability and a 30% chance for Dortmund. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 1.5 goals hit at 93.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 88.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 80.4%, Over 2.5 at 79.7%, BTTS Yes at 77.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.5% and Under 11.5 corners at 75.6%. All picks settled in favour of the model’s predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern München win✓ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.65
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.38
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.69
Edge
+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W23L21W10W40W41W10W33D12L51WH·FSV03/01A·BOR08/01H·SC 17/01A·FC 20/01A·FC 24/01H·18930/01A·HER05/02H·ARM15/02A·EIN20/02H·1. 27/02
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.901.203.711.292.191.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)2.901.203.711.292.191.12
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W31W11D12L24L31W12L22D40W30WH·VFL03/01A·RB 09/01H·FSV16/01A·BAY19/01A·BOR22/01H·FC 30/01A·SC 06/02H·18913/02A·FC 20/02H·ARM27/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.301.731.402.131.20
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (3)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (25)2.001.281.851.312.171.25
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%2%05%114%218%319%417%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.2%
Under 1.5
6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.32+7.8%
Under 2.5
20.3%
@ 3.37-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
77.5%
No
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
7.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
3-2
5.6%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
Bayern München goals ↓
Borussia Dortmund goals →
01234
02.1%2.0%2.5%1.6%0.7%
12.7%7.0%6.0%3.7%1.8%
24.0%7.5%7.1%4.4%2.1%
33.2%6.0%5.6%3.5%1.6%
41.9%3.5%3.3%2.1%1.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayern München goals (down), columns = Borussia Dortmund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.29
RB Leipzig
1.91
Borussia Dortmund
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.79
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Bayer Leverkusen
1.53
Union Berlin
1.47
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.44
VfB Stuttgart
1.32
SC Freiburg
1.32
1899 Hoffenheim
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.15
FC Augsburg
1.06
Hertha BSC
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
1.03
1. FC Köln
0.97
Werder Bremen
0.91
FC Schalke 04
0.47
Bayern München is 0.41 points better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.91
Borussia Dortmund
2.21
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.03
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.88
VfL Wolfsburg
1.79
RB Leipzig
1.76
VfB Stuttgart
1.65
Bayer Leverkusen
1.56
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
SC Freiburg
1.53
Union Berlin
1.47
Hertha BSC
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.15
Werder Bremen
1.06
FC Augsburg
1.06
1. FC Köln
1.00
Arminia Bielefeld
0.76
FC Schalke 04
0.74
Bayern München is 0.71 goals better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals scored per game (2.91 vs 2.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
RB Leipzig
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
1.09
Bayer Leverkusen
1.15
Union Berlin
1.26
Bayern München
1.29
Borussia Dortmund
1.35
Hertha BSC
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.53
SC Freiburg
1.53
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.56
1899 Hoffenheim
1.59
FC Augsburg
1.59
VfB Stuttgart
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.65
Werder Bremen
1.68
1. FC Köln
1.76
FC Schalke 04
2.53
Bayern München is 0.06 goals better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 8.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

1704410652113104737514383102816714141012171112H·1. A·EINH·ARMA·HERH·189A·FC A·FC H·SC A·BORH·FSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

302112111211121211213323122323H·1. A·EINH·ARMA·HERH·189A·FC A·FC H·SC A·BORH·FSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 10.6 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

27079712713151210895111541411911916192027181426182020H·1. A·EINH·ARMA·HERH·189A·FC A·FC H·SC A·BORH·FSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

For 4.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

150522417111017356123310576821110113615H·ARMA·FC H·189A·SC H·FC A·BORA·BAYH·FSVA·RB H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

100322372111221223134103114324H·ARMA·FC H·189A·SC H·FC A·BORA·BAYH·FSVA·RB H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

370121613921161212121199813101912891228223724231821292021H·ARMA·FC H·189A·SC H·FC A·BORA·BAYH·FSVA·RB H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.79.83.12.73.520.119.820.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (50)10.310.79.83.12.73.520.119.820.5
% over line64%71%58%42%33%50%44%38%50%
% under line36%29%42%58%67%50%56%62%50%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.28.38.13.43.13.720.220.819.7
vs Stronger (3)5.77.03.03.74.03.023.023.023.0
vs Similar (5)9.415.08.03.00.03.818.814.020.0
vs Weaker (42)8.28.18.33.43.13.820.220.919.4
% over line34%28%40%42%36%48%34%40%28%
% under line66%72%60%58%64%52%66%60%72%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.4
Bayern München
10.3
FSV Mainz 05
10.2
VfL Wolfsburg
10.2
1899 Hoffenheim
10.2
1. FC Köln
9.9
Arminia Bielefeld
9.8
VfB Stuttgart
9.8
RB Leipzig
9.8
SC Freiburg
9.7
Bayer Leverkusen
9.7
FC Schalke 04
9.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.4
Hertha BSC
9.2
Werder Bremen
9.2
Union Berlin
8.9
FC Augsburg
8.7
Borussia Dortmund
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.9
Werder Bremen
4.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.6
FSV Mainz 05
4.5
VfB Stuttgart
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.3
1899 Hoffenheim
4.2
1. FC Köln
4.2
VfL Wolfsburg
4.0
Union Berlin
4.0
FC Augsburg
4.0
Hertha BSC
4.0
Bayer Leverkusen
3.9
RB Leipzig
3.8
SC Freiburg
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
Borussia Dortmund
3.4
Bayern München
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Werder Bremen
27.3
1. FC Köln
26.2
Union Berlin
25.9
VfB Stuttgart
25.7
Hertha BSC
25.5
1899 Hoffenheim
25.3
FSV Mainz 05
25.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
25.2
VfL Wolfsburg
25.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
24.2
SC Freiburg
23.8
FC Schalke 04
23.8
RB Leipzig
23.0
Bayer Leverkusen
23.0
FC Augsburg
23.0
Arminia Bielefeld
22.7
Borussia Dortmund
20.2
Bayern München
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.3%
Under 21.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L22D10W10W10W21W10W02L02L20WH·FSV03/01A·BOR08/01H·SC 17/01A·FC 20/01A·FC 24/01H·18930/01A·HER05/02H·ARM15/02A·EIN20/02H·1. 27/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.731.500.791.380.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)1.430.731.500.791.380.69
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L22D11D00D11D20W00DH·VFL03/01A·RB 09/01H·FSV16/01A·BAY19/01A·BOR22/01H·FC 30/01A·SC 06/02H·18913/02A·FC 20/02H·ARM27/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.400.600.400.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (3)0.330.33--0.330.33
vs Weaker (25)0.400.520.380.540.420.50
Clean sheet %53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W01L11D00D30W20W00D31W10W31WH·FSV03/01A·BOR08/01H·SC 17/01A·FC 20/01A·FC 24/01H·18930/01A·HER05/02H·ARM15/02A·EIN20/02H·1. 27/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.472.210.500.810.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (30)1.470.472.210.500.810.44
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W11D11D02L20W12L11D20W30WH·VFL03/01A·RB 09/01H·FSV16/01A·BAY19/01A·BOR22/01H·FC 30/01A·SC 06/02H·18913/02A·FC 20/02H·ARM27/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.771.330.801.730.73
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (3)1.670.67--1.670.67
vs Weaker (25)1.600.761.460.771.750.75
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards88.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.579.7%1.32-----+7.8%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards76.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bayern München · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Borussia Dortmund · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serhou Guirassy39%
Karim Adeyemi26%
Julian Brandt24%
Maximilian Beier23%
Emre Can19%
Ramy Bensebaini19%
Samuele Inacio14%
Nico Schlotterbeck14%
Yan Couto11%
Luca Reggiani11%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Felix Nmecha10%
Daniel Svensson9%
Carney Chukwuemeka8%
Fábio Silva8%
Waldemar Anton7%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Niklas Süle0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Reggiani33%
Emre Can31%
Niklas Süle31%
Samuele Inacio29%
Ramy Bensebaini28%
Julian Ryerson24%
Nico Schlotterbeck22%
Karim Adeyemi18%
Yan Couto15%
Waldemar Anton14%
Fábio Silva13%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Maximilian Beier9%
Marcel Sabitzer9%
Jobe Bellingham7%
Serhou Guirassy7%
Gregor Kobel6%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Felix Nmecha0%
Julian Brandt0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Filippo Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Ryerson36%
Fábio Silva18%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Pascal Groß12%
Marcel Sabitzer12%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Ramy Bensebaini9%
Serhou Guirassy9%
Niklas Süle8%
Yan Couto7%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Jobe Bellingham4%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Emre Can0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Filippo Mané0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Serhou Guirassy24%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Fábio Silva5%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Carney Chukwuemeka3%
Niklas Süle0%
Emre Can0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Yan Couto0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
FS0 (29)
€67m
HB (24)
€25m
AB (23)
€18m
Bayern München's squad is €547m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€1076m vs €529m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
HB (8)
€8m
AB (8)
€7m
Bayern München's attack is €384m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€554m vs €170m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
Bayern München's midfield is €41m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€187m vs €146m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
AB (10)
€7m
Bayern München's defence is €122m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€336m vs €214m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
7
BM wins
0
Draws
1
BD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund · H/A from BM
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/20ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM2-3
26/05/20ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM0-1
09/11/19HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund4-0
06/04/19HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund5-0
10/11/18ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM3-2
31/03/18HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund6-0
04/11/17ABorussia Dortmund Vs BM1-3
08/04/17HBM Vs Borussia Dortmund4-1

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/21HBM Vs 1. FC Köln5-1
20/02/21AEintracht Frankfurt Vs BM2-1
15/02/21HBM Vs Arminia Bielefeld3-3
05/02/21AHertha BSC Vs BM0-1
30/01/21HBM Vs 1899 Hoffenheim4-1
24/01/21AFC Schalke 04 Vs BM0-4
20/01/21AFC Augsburg Vs BM0-1
17/01/21HBM Vs SC Freiburg2-1
08/01/21ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs BM3-2
03/01/21HBM Vs FSV Mainz 055-2

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/21HBD Vs Arminia Bielefeld3-0
20/02/21AFC Schalke 04 Vs BD0-4
13/02/21HBD Vs 1899 Hoffenheim2-2
06/02/21ASC Freiburg Vs BD2-1
30/01/21HBD Vs FC Augsburg3-1
22/01/21ABorussia Mönchengladbach Vs BD4-2
19/01/21ABayer Leverkusen Vs BD2-1
16/01/21HBD Vs FSV Mainz 051-1
09/01/21ARB Leipzig Vs BD1-3
03/01/21HBD Vs VfL Wolfsburg2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW2.40
HomeWWWDW2.54
AwayLWWWL2.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %76%79%73%
AVG goals4.064.503.65
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %80%83%77%
Over 3.5 %62%62%62%
Scored2.943.422.50
Conceded1.121.081.15
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners10.2610.719.85
Cards3.122.673.54
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.92
HomeWDWDW1.96
AwayWLLLW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%60%60%
AVG goals3.483.523.44
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %44%52%36%
Scored2.262.402.12
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet44%52%36%
Corners8.208.328.08
Cards3.403.083.72

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3478
71%
2.3
9944+55
4.2
91%
79%
62%
10.4
65%
2.9
26%
21.0
50%
1076
5541873362.91.3
-
2RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
56%
1.9
6032+28
2.7
74%
56%
29%
9.0
47%
3.6
50%
25.3
76%
506
2121091851.80.9
-
3Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3464
59%
1.9
7546+29
3.6
97%
74%
47%
8.8
44%
3.2
35%
21.8
47%
529
1701462142.21.4
-
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3461
50%
1.8
6137+24
2.9
82%
56%
29%
10.4
62%
3.7
53%
24.7
82%
154
5632661.81.1
-
5Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3460
47%
1.8
6953+16
3.6
100%
65%
47%
10.7
62%
4.4
65%
24.9
62%
323
17478722.01.6
-
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3452
41%
1.5
5339+14
2.7
74%
56%
26%
9.0
44%
3.3
44%
23.3
62%
499
246911621.61.1
-
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin3450
35%
1.5
5043+7
2.7
82%
50%
29%
8.3
29%
3.7
56%
24.3
74%
123
4626501.51.3
-
8Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3449
38%
1.4
6456+8
3.5
85%
71%
50%
9.4
44%
4.1
59%
24.3
62%
129
5822491.91.6
-
9VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3445
35%
1.3
5655+1
3.3
88%
59%
41%
9.3
35%
4.1
65%
25.8
85%
430
193921451.61.6
-
10SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3445
35%
1.3
5252+0
3.1
88%
65%
38%
8.0
35%
3.4
47%
25.2
82%
243
96361101.51.5
-
111899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3443
32%
1.3
5254-2
3.1
85%
68%
41%
9.2
44%
3.4
41%
25.7
79%
309
111105921.51.6
-
12FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053439
29%
1.1
3956-17
2.8
74%
50%
38%
8.6
41%
4.1
56%
26.5
79%
175
4980471.11.6
-
13FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3436
29%
1.1
3654-18
2.6
79%
47%
29%
9.0
47%
3.8
50%
24.1
68%
161
6423741.11.6
-
14Hertha BSCHertha BSC3435
24%
1.0
4152-11
2.7
79%
56%
26%
9.2
44%
4.1
65%
26.7
88%
25
83131.21.5
-
15Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld3435
26%
1.0
2652-26
2.3
62%
41%
18%
8.9
35%
3.4
35%
24.3
68%
18
7470.81.5
-
161. FC Köln1. FC Köln3433
24%
1.0
3460-26
2.8
74%
59%
32%
8.6
32%
3.7
47%
25.9
79%
133
7219431.01.8
-
17Werder BremenWerder Bremen3431
21%
0.9
3657-21
2.7
79%
41%
29%
8.4
41%
4.1
68%
25.9
82%
119
5028411.11.7
-
18FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 043416
9%
0.5
2586-61
3.3
82%
68%
44%
9.6
47%
4.1
50%
24.7
74%
67
1724260.72.5
-
Germany: Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

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