Bayern Munich’s attacking potency, averaging 3.85 goals per home game against weaker opposition, and Dortmund’s recent 3-game winning streak set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The model projects a 56% chance of a home win, 21% draw, and 22% away win, with the favoured result a Bayern victory. The expected total of 3.7 goals points to a lively match, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Bayern, a 9.1% probability. Bayern’s home form shows they will score and concede 1.31 goals, while Dortmund’s away form indicates they will net and allow a similar number against this tier.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (96.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Under 6.5 (91.2%), Home +2 handicap (91.1%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.8%), Under 25.5 fouls (90.6%), Over 1.5 (89.2%), and Away under 2.5 goals (83.8%). Each pick is listed with its exact probability, and no other outcome is assigned a win chance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bayern München win
57.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund win
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bayern München
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.43
1.37
3.67
1.40
3.20
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.60
2.20
2.50
2.00
2.67
2.33
vs Weaker (25)
3.60
1.20
3.85
1.31
3.33
1.08
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Borussia Dortmund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.13
2.41
0.94
1.62
1.38
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.38
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (21)
2.33
0.90
2.75
0.83
1.78
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.7%
Under 2.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
Bayern München goals ↓
Borussia Dortmund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
2.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
1
5.1%
8.9%
5.5%
2.5%
0.8%
2
6.8%
9.3%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
5.2%
7.1%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
4
3.0%
4.1%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayern München goals (down), columns = Borussia Dortmund goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
Bayern München is 0.47 points better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 2.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Bayern München is 1.53 goals better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals scored per game (3.59 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
Bayern München is 0.06 goals worse than Borussia Dortmund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Bayern München is 14.2 percentage points better than Borussia Dortmund in terms of average possession (67% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bayern München
For 6.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Borussia Dortmund
For 5.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayern München
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.4
9.4
2.8
2.4
3.2
17.8
16.1
19.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.1
9.0
10.8
4.3
4.5
4.2
21.6
20.3
22.4
vs Weaker (40)
9.8
10.7
8.9
2.4
2.0
2.9
16.8
15.3
18.4
% over line
50%
58%
42%
36%
28%
44%
32%
16%
47%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
64%
72%
56%
68%
84%
53%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Borussia Dortmund
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.5
8.2
2.5
2.1
3.0
22.3
21.3
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
7.0
8.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
26.5
25.0
28.0
vs Similar (12)
7.6
7.0
8.2
3.2
2.2
4.3
23.4
22.5
24.2
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
10.4
8.2
2.3
2.1
2.5
21.6
20.7
22.7
% over line
36%
47%
24%
32%
27%
38%
64%
58%
71%
% under line
64%
53%
76%
68%
73%
62%
36%
42%
29%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
32.0%
Under 21.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bayern München or Draw
80.0%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Bayern München + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund
79.6%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Bayern München + Borussia Dortmund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
40.4%
Avg Implied -
58%
21%
21%
covers Draw + Borussia Dortmund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bayern München over/under 0.5
Over
91.0%
Under
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5
Over
69.2%
Under
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5
Over
43.1%
Under
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 3.5
Over
22.2%
Under
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5
Over
74.6%
Under
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5
Over
39.8%
Under
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bayern München, so a minus line means Bayern München give that many goals of a start and Borussia Dortmund receive them. At -1, Bayern München must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bayern München win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bayern München)
Bayern München -2
21.4%
Draw -2
17.7%
Borussia Dortmund +2
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bayern München)
Bayern München -1
39.1%
Draw -1
20.5%
Borussia Dortmund +1
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bayern München)
Bayern München +1
80.0%
Draw +1
11.3%
Borussia Dortmund -1
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bayern München)
Bayern München +2
91.3%
Draw +2
5.7%
Borussia Dortmund -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bayern München
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.73
1.60
0.73
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.28
0.60
1.69
0.54
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Borussia Dortmund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.24
0.35
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.75
0.25
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.05
0.33
1.42
0.42
0.56
0.22
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bayern München
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.63
2.07
0.67
2.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.80
1.50
0.00
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (25)
2.32
0.60
2.15
0.77
2.50
0.42
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Borussia Dortmund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.18
0.59
1.15
0.77
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.62
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
1.29
0.57
1.33
0.42
1.22
0.78
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
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Home or Draw
80.0%
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Home +1 handicap
80.0%
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Under 5.5 cards
79.6%
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Home or Away
79.6%
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Home under 3.5 goals
77.8%
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Over 2.5 cards
75.1%
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Away over 0.5 goals
74.6%
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Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
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Over 2.5
70.7%
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No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bayern München · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Borussia Dortmund · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serhou Guirassy39%
Karim Adeyemi26%
Julian Brandt24%
Maximilian Beier23%
Emre Can19%
Ramy Bensebaini19%
Samuele Inacio14%
Nico Schlotterbeck14%
Yan Couto11%
Luca Reggiani11%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Felix Nmecha10%
Daniel Svensson9%
Carney Chukwuemeka8%
Fábio Silva8%
Waldemar Anton7%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Niklas Süle0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Reggiani33%
Emre Can31%
Niklas Süle31%
Samuele Inacio29%
Ramy Bensebaini28%
Julian Ryerson24%
Nico Schlotterbeck22%
Karim Adeyemi18%
Yan Couto15%
Waldemar Anton14%
Fábio Silva13%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Maximilian Beier9%
Marcel Sabitzer9%
Jobe Bellingham7%
Serhou Guirassy7%
Gregor Kobel6%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Felix Nmecha0%
Julian Brandt0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Filippo Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Ryerson36%
Fábio Silva18%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Pascal Groß12%
Marcel Sabitzer12%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Ramy Bensebaini9%
Serhou Guirassy9%
Niklas Süle8%
Yan Couto7%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Jobe Bellingham4%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Emre Can0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Filippo Mané0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Serhou Guirassy24%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Fábio Silva5%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Carney Chukwuemeka3%
Niklas Süle0%
Emre Can0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Yan Couto0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
Bayern München's squad is €547m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€1076m vs €529m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
Bayern München's attack is €384m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€554m vs €170m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
Bayern München's midfield is €41m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€187m vs €146m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Bayern München's defence is €122m more valuable than Borussia Dortmund's (€336m vs €214m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
SV Elversberg
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart