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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 13:30
Bayern München
Bayern München
Vs
66%
18%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Bayern Munich’s recent 5-1 triumph over VfB Stuttgart and a 3-game winning streak give the model a clear edge, reflected in a 66% probability of a home win. The Bundesliga side’s home form shows an average of 3.85 goals scored and 1.31 conceded against weaker opposition, while RB Leipzig’s away record of 3-0 against Borussia Mönchengladbach suggests a solid defensive showing. The model therefore favours a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely exact result at 8.5%. With an expected total of 4.1 goals, the most probable total is 6 + goals, carrying a 23% chance. The predicted outcome is a home win, with 66% for Bayern, 18% for a draw and 16% for Leipzig. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9%, Home +2 handicap at 94.5%, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.4%, Under 7.5 at 93.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 93.6%, Over 1.5 at 92.0%, Under 6.5 at 87.2% and Under 23.5 fouls at 86.5%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern München win
65.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig win
16.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W43W42W43W45L33D11D10W51W51WA·FC 11/04H·REA15/04H·VFB19/04A·FSV25/04A·PAR28/04H·1. 02/05H·PAR06/05A·VFL09/05H·1. 16/05H·VFB28/08
Avg total
5.5
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.431.373.671.403.201.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)2.602.202.502.002.672.33
vs Weaker (25)3.601.203.851.313.331.08
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L50W21W10W31W31W14L21W14L30WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.332.381.191.711.50
vs Stronger (1)1.005.001.005.00--
vs Similar (6)1.332.002.002.000.672.00
vs Weaker (23)2.301.002.580.672.001.36
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%06%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.1%
Under 1.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.5%
Under 2.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
70.2%
No
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-1
5.3%
Bayern München goals ↓
RB Leipzig goals →
01234
02.3%1.7%1.6%0.7%0.2%
13.9%6.8%4.2%1.9%0.7%
26.2%8.5%5.8%2.6%0.9%
35.7%7.7%5.3%2.4%0.8%
43.9%5.3%3.6%1.6%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bayern München goals (down), columns = RB Leipzig goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
Bayern München is 0.71 points better than RB Leipzig in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 1.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Bayern München is 1.65 goals better than RB Leipzig in terms of goals scored per game (3.59 vs 1.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
Bayern München is 0.32 goals better than RB Leipzig in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Bayern München is 13.6 percentage points better than RB Leipzig in terms of average possession (67% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 6.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1809355361813552441139243121099187814117H·VFBH·1. A·VFLH·PARH·1. A·PARA·FSVH·VFBH·REAA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

901311133323211821414216533935H·VFBH·1. A·VFLH·PARH·1. A·PARA·FSVH·REAA·FC A·REA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.8 · Total 17.9

⚠️ Fouls

2701017645811126710121014631012792710132313222492216H·VFBH·1. A·VFLH·PARH·1. A·PARA·FSVH·VFBH·REAA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1507621353710464114113651338101410151411H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

5011231111411211211124215323H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

2701013713591276107796141381616523201419161415272421H·BORA·SC H·FC A·BAYH·UNIA·EINH·BORA·WERH·189A·VFB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.29.33.02.63.418.016.819.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)10.19.010.84.86.04.221.620.322.4
vs Weaker (41)9.710.48.92.62.13.117.116.218.2
% over line49%57%40%40%32%48%32%19%45%
% under line51%43%60%60%68%52%68%81%55%
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.72.92.93.019.619.320.0
vs Stronger (3)11.011.510.03.32.55.018.014.026.0
vs Similar (11)11.411.211.72.83.32.222.122.022.3
vs Weaker (36)10.110.89.42.92.83.119.219.219.2
% over line61%57%67%44%35%54%34%39%29%
% under line39%43%33%56%65%46%66%61%71%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.1%
Under 3.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
25.1%
Under 21.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bayern München or Draw
85.9%
Avg Implied -
66%
18%
16%
covers Bayern München + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München or RB Leipzig
83.3%
Avg Implied -
66%
18%
16%
covers Bayern München + RB Leipzig
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or RB Leipzig
30.7%
Avg Implied -
66%
18%
16%
covers Draw + RB Leipzig
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bayern München over/under 0.5
Over
94.3%
Under
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5
Over
78.0%
Under
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5
Over
54.6%
Under
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 3.5
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
Under
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5
Over
37.1%
Under
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bayern München, so a minus line means Bayern München give that many goals of a start and RB Leipzig receive them. At -1, Bayern München must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bayern München win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bayern München)
Bayern München -2
31.0%
Draw -2
19.1%
RB Leipzig +2
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bayern München)
Bayern München -1
50.0%
Draw -1
19.2%
RB Leipzig +1
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bayern München)
Bayern München +1
85.9%
Draw +1
8.4%
RB Leipzig -1
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bayern München)
Bayern München +2
94.3%
Draw +2
3.9%
RB Leipzig -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L31W03L23L12L01L00D31W10WA·FC 11/04H·REA15/04H·VFB19/04A·FSV25/04A·PAR28/04H·1. 02/05H·PAR06/05A·VFL09/05H·1. 16/05H·VFB28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.731.600.730.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.001.401.002.001.001.00
vs Weaker (25)1.280.601.690.540.830.67
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W10W00D11D20W02L10W12L10WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.060.250.790.64
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (6)0.830.831.330.670.331.00
vs Weaker (23)0.960.351.000.170.910.55
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W20W11D40W22D21W10W10W20W41WA·FC 11/04H·REA15/04H·VFB19/04A·FSV25/04A·PAR28/04H·1. 02/05H·PAR06/05A·VFL09/05H·1. 16/05H·VFB28/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.632.070.672.330.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.600.801.500.001.671.33
vs Weaker (25)2.320.602.150.772.500.42
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RB Leipzig) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W11D10W20W11D12L11D02L20WA·VFB15/03H·18920/03A·WER04/04H·BOR11/04A·EIN18/04H·UNI24/04A·BAY02/05H·FC 09/05A·SC 16/05H·BOR29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.901.310.940.930.86
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (6)0.501.170.671.330.331.00
vs Weaker (23)1.350.651.580.501.090.82
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RB Leipzig over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals95.7%-------
Home +2 handicap94.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals94.3%-------
Under 7.593.9%-------
Under 25.5 fouls93.6%-------
Over 1.592.1%-------
Under 6.587.2%-------
Under 23.5 fouls86.5%-------
Home or Draw85.9%-------
Home +1 handicap85.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards84.6%-------
Home or Away83.3%-------
Home over 1.5 goals78.0%-------
Over 2.577.5%-------
Under 5.576.0%-------
Under 21.5 fouls74.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals72.6%-------
Under 11.5 corners72.4%-------
Under 4.5 cards71.0%-------
BTTS Yes70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bayern München · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
RB Leipzig · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Diomande31%
Christoph Baumgartner30%
Rômulo28%
Assan Ouédraogo20%
Antonio Nusa14%
Brajan Gruda14%
Johan Bakayoko14%
Xaver Schlager10%
Conrad Harder9%
David Raum9%
Willi Orbán8%
Ezechiel Banzuzi7%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Benjamin Henrichs6%
Ridle Baku6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Castello Lukeba3%
Loïs Openda0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Nicolas Seiwald0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christoph Baumgartner30%
David Raum21%
Xaver Schlager20%
Ezechiel Banzuzi18%
Ridle Baku14%
Max Finkgräfe14%
Rômulo12%
Willi Orbán11%
Castello Lukeba10%
Conrad Harder9%
Nicolas Seiwald8%
Brajan Gruda7%
Maarten Vandevoordt6%
Yan Diomande6%
Tidiam Gomis5%
Johan Bakayoko5%
Péter Gulácsi4%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Antonio Nusa0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Assan Ouédraogo0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Raum24%
Brajan Gruda21%
Yan Diomande19%
Christoph Baumgartner19%
Assan Ouédraogo15%
Lukas Klostermann14%
Rômulo12%
Conrad Harder12%
Ridle Baku11%
Antonio Nusa11%
Max Finkgräfe7%
Willi Orbán5%
Nicolas Seiwald5%
Ezechiel Banzuzi4%
Castello Lukeba3%
Xaver Schlager3%
Loïs Openda0%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Johan Bakayoko0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christoph Baumgartner38%
Loïs Openda33%
Yan Diomande22%
Rômulo22%
Antonio Nusa20%
Conrad Harder16%
Brajan Gruda14%
Assan Ouédraogo10%
Johan Bakayoko9%
David Raum3%
Ridle Baku3%
Nicolas Seiwald3%
Benjamin Henrichs0%
Xaver Schlager0%
Péter Gulácsi0%
Lukas Klostermann0%
Willi Orbán0%
Kevin Kampl0%
Timo Werner0%
Maarten Vandevoordt0%
Castello Lukeba0%
El Chadaille Bitshiabu0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Ezechiel Banzuzi0%
Max Finkgräfe0%
Tidiam Gomis0%
Andrija Maksimović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
Bayern München's squad is €570m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€1076m vs €506m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
Bayern München's attack is €341m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€554m vs €212m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
Bayern München's midfield is €78m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€187m vs €109m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Bayern München's defence is €151m more valuable than RB Leipzig's (€336m vs €185m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BM wins
3
Draws
1
RL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig · H/A from BM
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26ARB Leipzig Vs BM1-5
22/08/25HBM Vs RB Leipzig6-0
03/05/25ARB Leipzig Vs BM3-3
20/12/24HBM Vs RB Leipzig5-1
24/02/24HBM Vs RB Leipzig2-1
30/09/23ARB Leipzig Vs BM2-2
20/05/23HBM Vs RB Leipzig1-3
20/01/23ARB Leipzig Vs BM1-1

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HBM Vs VfB Stuttgart5-1
16/05/26HBM Vs 1. FC Köln5-1
09/05/26AVfL Wolfsburg Vs BM0-1
06/05/26HBM Vs Paris Saint Germain1-1
02/05/26HBM Vs 1. FC Heidenheim3-3
28/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs BM5-4
25/04/26AFSV Mainz 05 Vs BM3-4
19/04/26HBM Vs VfB Stuttgart4-2
15/04/26HBM Vs Real Madrid4-3
11/04/26AFC St. Pauli Vs BM0-5

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HRL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0
16/05/26ASC Freiburg Vs RL4-1
09/05/26HRL Vs FC St. Pauli2-1
02/05/26ABayer Leverkusen Vs RL4-1
24/04/26HRL Vs Union Berlin3-1
18/04/26AEintracht Frankfurt Vs RL1-3
11/04/26HRL Vs Borussia Mönchengladbach1-0
04/04/26AWerder Bremen Vs RL1-2
20/03/26HRL Vs 1899 Hoffenheim5-0
15/03/26AVfB Stuttgart Vs RL1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.58
HomeWDDWW2.64
AwayWWWLW2.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %82%84%80%
AVG goals4.624.844.40
Over 1.5 %98%100%96%
Over 2.5 %92%92%92%
Over 3.5 %74%80%68%
Scored3.483.763.20
Conceded1.141.081.20
BTTS70%72%68%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners9.6610.169.16
Cards3.933.434.45
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.74
HomeWWWWW2.04
AwayLWWLL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.083.502.62
Over 1.5 %80%96%62%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %44%50%38%
Scored1.762.271.21
Conceded1.321.231.42
BTTS56%65%46%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners10.3610.779.92
Cards3.423.423.42

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München13
100%
3.0
51+4
6.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
1076
5541873365.01.0
67%
2SC FreiburgSC Freiburg13
100%
3.0
41+3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
11.0
100%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
243
96361104.01.0
48%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
13.0
100%
1.0
0%
23.0
100%
506
2121091853.00.0
54%
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg13
100%
3.0
30+3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
2.0
0%
11.0
0%
161
6423743.00.0
44%
5Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
4.0
0%
4.0
100%
32.0
100%
529
1701462142.00.0
53%
6SV ElversbergSV Elversberg13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
33.0
100%
52
334143.02.0
-
71. FC Köln1. FC Köln13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.0
100%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
133
7219433.02.0
47%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
6.0
100%
21.0
0%
323
17478723.03.0
55%
9Union BerlinUnion Berlin11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
6.0
100%
21.0
0%
123
4626503.03.0
40%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 0511
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
18.0
0%
175
4980470.00.0
44%
11SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0711
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
3.0
0%
18.0
0%
43
1418110.00.0
52%
12Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
7.0
0%
5.0
100%
33.0
100%
499
246911622.03.0
59%
131899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
13.0
100%
2.0
0%
25.0
100%
309
111105922.03.0
55%
14Hamburger SVHamburger SV10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
4.0
0%
4.0
100%
32.0
100%
117
4634370.02.0
45%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen10
0%
0.0
14-3
5.0
100%
100%
100%
11.0
100%
2.0
0%
29.0
100%
119
5028411.04.0
51%
16Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
13.0
100%
1.0
0%
23.0
100%
129
5822490.03.0
47%
17FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0410
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
14.0
100%
2.0
0%
11.0
0%
67
1724260.03.0
-
18VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart10
0%
0.0
15-4
6.0
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
430
193921451.05.0
58%
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

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