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Baykonur vs Zhetysu Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 1-4
Baykonur
Baykonur
Vs
16%
22%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zhetysu
Zhetysu
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Baykonur win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu win✓ Hit
61.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BaykonurBaykonur

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L14L13L00D11D23L22D12L04LH·AKA25/06A·YAS03/07A·BUL16/07A·AST23/07A·KYR30/07H·TAR06/08A·SPO20/08H·EKI27/08H·IGI03/09A·ZHE10/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.472.630.502.500.452.73
vs Stronger (16)0.442.690.432.570.442.78
vs Similar (3)0.672.331.002.000.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %5% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W13L12L30W21W21W10W32W32W50WH·BAY19/06A·ZHE24/06A·YAS29/06A·IGI02/07H·KAI12/07A·KYR20/08A·AST24/08H·TAR27/08A·SPO03/09H·EKI11/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.891.062.251.001.601.10
vs Stronger (2)2.501.502.001.003.002.00
vs Similar (15)1.731.072.171.171.441.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %39% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Baykonur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.8%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
Baykonur goals ↓
Zhetysu goals →
01234
05.6%8.8%10%7.0%3.6%
13.7%11%9.9%6.9%3.6%
22.3%4.7%4.9%3.4%1.8%
30.8%1.6%1.6%1.1%0.6%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baykonur goals (down), columns = Zhetysu goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.35
Kaisar
2.15
Zhetysu
2.12
Sport Academy Kairat
1.96
Kyran
1.58
Ekibastuz
1.42
Taraz Karatau
1.38
Zhenys
1.35
Yassy Turkistan
1.35
Akademiya Ontustik
1.15
Astana II
1.04
Igilik
0.81
Bulat
0.65
Baykonur
0.27
Baykonur is 1.85 points worse than Zhetysu in terms of average points per game (0.27 vs 2.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Okzhetpes
3.08
Sport Academy Kairat
2.35
Kaisar
2.31
Zhetysu
2.19
Kyran
2.19
Astana II
1.92
Yassy Turkistan
1.85
Taraz Karatau
1.73
Ekibastuz
1.73
Akademiya Ontustik
1.62
Zhenys
1.54
Bulat
1.38
Igilik
1.04
Baykonur
0.62
Baykonur is 1.58 goals worse than Zhetysu in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 2.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.85
Zhetysu
0.88
Kaisar
1.00
Sport Academy Kairat
1.19
Zhenys
1.38
Kyran
1.65
Taraz Karatau
1.81
Ekibastuz
1.81
Yassy Turkistan
2.08
Akademiya Ontustik
2.31
Astana II
2.38
Igilik
2.69
Baykonur
2.73
Bulat
2.77
Baykonur is 1.85 goals worse than Zhetysu in terms of goals conceded per game (2.73 vs 0.88).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BaykonurBaykonur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L10W11D00D00D12L00D01L03LH·AKA25/06A·YAS03/07A·BUL16/07A·AST23/07A·KYR30/07H·TAR06/08A·SPO20/08H·EKI27/08H·IGI03/09A·ZHE10/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.161.210.001.250.271.18
vs Stronger (16)0.121.380.001.290.221.44
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.001.000.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D30W20W00D00D10W22D10WH·BAY19/06A·ZHE24/06A·YAS29/06A·IGI02/07H·KAI12/07A·KYR20/08A·AST24/08H·TAR27/08A·SPO03/09H·EKI11/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.220.750.000.900.40
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.000.002.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.130.830.000.780.22
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %83% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Baykonur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baykonur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baykonur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baykonur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BaykonurBaykonur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D04L02L00D11D11D22D11D01LH·AKA25/06A·YAS03/07A·BUL16/07A·AST23/07A·KYR30/07H·TAR06/08A·SPO20/08H·EKI27/08H·IGI03/09A·ZHE10/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.321.420.501.250.181.55
vs Stronger (16)0.311.310.431.290.221.33
vs Similar (3)0.332.001.001.000.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L01L00D01L21W10W22D10W40WH·BAY19/06A·ZHE24/06A·YAS29/06A·IGI02/07H·KAI12/07A·KYR20/08A·AST24/08H·TAR27/08A·SPO03/09H·EKI11/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.060.831.501.000.700.70
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.930.931.331.170.670.78
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baykonur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baykonur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baykonur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baykonur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (6)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
OKZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BAY wins
0
Draws
1
ZHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Baykonur vs Zhetysu · H/A from BAY
DateH/AGameScore
19/06/22AZhetysu Vs BAY3-0

BaykonurBaykonur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/09/22AZhenys Vs BAY4-0
03/09/22HBAY Vs Igilik1-2
27/08/22HBAY Vs Ekibastuz2-2
20/08/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs BAY3-2
06/08/22HBAY Vs Taraz Karatau1-1
30/07/22AKyran Vs BAY0-0
23/07/22AAstana II Vs BAY3-1
16/07/22ABulat Vs BAY4-1
03/07/22AYassy Turkistan Vs BAY1-0
25/06/22HBAY Vs Akademiya Ontustik0-3

ZhetysuZhetysu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22HZHE Vs Ekibastuz5-0
03/09/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs ZHE2-3
27/08/22HZHE Vs Taraz Karatau3-2
24/08/22AAstana II Vs ZHE0-1
20/08/22AKyran Vs ZHE1-2
12/07/22HZHE Vs Kaisar2-1
02/07/22AIgilik Vs ZHE0-3
29/06/22AYassy Turkistan Vs ZHE2-1
24/06/22AZhenys Vs ZHE3-1
19/06/22HZHE Vs Baykonur3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baykonur
Baykonur
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.16
HomeLLDDL0.25
AwayLLDLL0.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.113.003.18
Over 1.5 %79%88%73%
Over 2.5 %68%62%73%
Over 3.5 %42%38%45%
Scored0.470.500.45
Conceded2.632.502.73
BTTS37%38%36%
Clean Sheet5%0%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Zhetysu
Zhetysu
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.94
HomeLWWWW2.25
AwayLWWWW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%75%50%
AVG goals2.943.252.70
Over 1.5 %78%75%80%
Over 2.5 %72%75%70%
Over 3.5 %28%38%20%
Scored1.892.251.60
Conceded1.061.001.10
BTTS56%50%60%
Clean Sheet39%38%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2661
73%
2.3
8022+58
3.9
88%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2113.10.8
-
2KaisarKaisar2656
65%
2.2
6026+34
3.3
88%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3ZhetysuZhetysu2655
65%
2.1
5723+34
3.1
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1022.20.9
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2651
58%
2.0
6131+30
3.5
88%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.2
-
5KyranKyran2641
46%
1.6
5743+14
3.8
85%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.7
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2637
35%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
85%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
7Taraz KaratauTaraz Karatau2636
38%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8ZhenysZhenys2635
38%
1.3
4036+4
2.9
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.4
-
9Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2635
38%
1.3
4854-6
3.9
81%
77%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2630
31%
1.2
4260-18
3.9
88%
88%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
11Astana IIAstana II2627
27%
1.0
5062-12
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.4
-
12IgilikIgilik2621
23%
0.8
2770-43
3.7
73%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13BulatBulat2617
15%
0.7
3672-36
4.2
92%
81%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
14BaykonurBaykonur267
4%
0.3
1671-55
3.3
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.7
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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