This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.37
2.00
1.73
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.12
0.50
2.00
0.25
2.25
vs Similar (22)
1.77
1.09
2.55
1.64
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
12.3%
0-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.9%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.1%
4.9%
1.5%
0.4%
1
13%
14%
6.2%
1.9%
0.5%
2
8.8%
8.3%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.7%
3.5%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.06 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.19 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.11 goals worse than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Beitar Jerusalem is 14.8 percentage points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average possession (61% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
For 6.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Haifa
For 2.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.6
8.4
3.4
3.6
3.2
25.1
23.1
26.9
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
9.5
14.0
6.3
6.5
6.0
22.7
21.0
26.0
vs Similar (28)
8.6
9.3
8.2
4.0
4.4
3.8
25.7
23.8
27.0
vs Weaker (19)
9.1
10.0
8.0
1.9
2.1
1.8
24.4
22.6
26.8
% over line
44%
56%
33%
50%
52%
48%
76%
62%
89%
% under line
56%
44%
67%
50%
48%
52%
24%
38%
11%
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.6
8.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
24.4
23.9
24.8
vs Stronger (17)
8.1
8.6
7.7
5.6
5.6
5.7
24.7
26.2
23.3
vs Similar (33)
9.1
8.6
9.6
2.3
2.4
2.3
24.1
21.9
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
35%
28%
52%
52%
52%
77%
76%
78%
% under line
69%
65%
72%
48%
48%
48%
23%
24%
22%
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.3
Hapoel Hadera
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Beitar Jerusalem
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.6
Ashdod
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Hapoel Hadera
5.0
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Ashdod
4.6
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.6
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.5
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Maccabi Haifa
24.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.4
Beitar Jerusalem
24.2
Maccabi Netanya
24.1
Hapoel Hadera
23.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.3
Bnei Sakhnin
23.0
Ashdod
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.6%
Under 9.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.6%
Under 3.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.8%
Under 21.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.85
0.46
0.82
0.82
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.67
1.14
0.43
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.70
0.60
0.40
1.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.20
0.73
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.88
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.45
1.64
0.73
0.45
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
0.92
0.54
1.18
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.00
0.61
0.86
0.29
1.09
0.82
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.70
0.60
1.00
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.25
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.64
0.91
0.91
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili46%
Mayron George25%
Patrick Twumasi25%
Timothy Muzie24%
Ayi Silva Kangani22%
Yarden Shua17%
Abiezer Jeno15%
Jean Marcelin9%
Adi Menachem Yona8%
Li On Mizrahi7%
Ismaila Soro5%
Gil Cohen4%
Dor Micha4%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Yarin Levi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Grigory Morozov40%
Ismaila Soro37%
Liel Deri33%
Gil Cohen30%
Jean Marcelin27%
Yarden Shua26%
Ori Dahan24%
Yarin Levi17%
Timothy Muzie16%
Zohar Zasano15%
Dor Micha12%
Adi Menachem Yona12%
Mayron George10%
Patrick Twumasi8%
Li On Mizrahi7%
Ayi Silva Kangani4%
Miguel Silva0%
Omer Atzili0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yarden Shua35%
Dor Micha21%
Grigory Morozov20%
Omer Atzili8%
Ori Dahan6%
Zohar Zasano5%
Jean Marcelin5%
Patrick Twumasi4%
Timothy Muzie4%
Adi Menachem Yona4%
Mayron George0%
Miguel Silva0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Gil Cohen0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Yarin Levi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili38%
Patrick Twumasi29%
Yarden Shua13%
Mayron George10%
Timothy Muzie8%
Gil Cohen4%
Yarin Levi4%
Adi Menachem Yona4%
Jean Marcelin0%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Dor Micha0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Abiezer Jeno0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Liel Deri0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Hapoel Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guy Melamed62%
Javon East30%
Thiemoko Diarra22%
Dor Hugi20%
Anis Forat Ayias17%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Itamar Noy5%
Naor Sabag4%
Dramane Salou4%
Dmitri Antilevski0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Orel Dgani0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Aboubacar Doumbia0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roy Navi67%
Orel Dgani29%
Noam Ben Harush26%
Liran Sardal24%
Tamir Arbel23%
Naor Sabag22%
Oren Biton20%
Aboubacar Doumbia20%
Dmitri Antilevski18%
Dor Malul17%
Itay Buganim17%
Guy Melamed15%
Thiemoko Diarra13%
Aviel Zargari12%
Dramane Salou12%
Fernand Mayembo11%
Javon East10%
Yonatan Ferber10%
Itamar Noy10%
Yoav Gerafi5%
George Diba5%
Dor Hugi4%
Niv Antman0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Bar Lin0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javon East30%
Dor Hugi20%
Aboubacar Doumbia20%
Naor Sabag13%
Thiemoko Diarra13%
Noam Ben Harush13%
Dmitri Antilevski9%
Itay Buganim8%
Tamir Arbel8%
Orel Dgani6%
Fernand Mayembo5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Liran Sardal5%
Dramane Salou0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Guy Melamed0%
Dor Malul0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Guy Melamed38%
Aboubacar Doumbia30%
Thiemoko Diarra17%
Dor Hugi12%
Javon East10%
Dmitri Antilevski9%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Liran Sardal5%
Noam Ben Harush4%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Dramane Salou0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Orel Dgani0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Naor Sabag0%
Dor Malul0%
Yarin Sardal0%
Aviel Zargari0%
George Diba0%
Itamar Noy0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Bar Lin0%
Roy Navi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Beitar Jerusalem's squad is €13m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€17m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €7m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€9m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Beitar Jerusalem's midfield is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →