This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.43
1.62
1.38
1.43
1.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.10
0.60
1.80
1.20
2.40
vs Similar (20)
1.85
1.10
2.09
1.18
1.56
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.7%
Under 3.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Hapoel Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
4.0%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.8%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.8%
6.4%
2.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
3.8%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Hapoel Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.20 points better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.40 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.40 goals better than Hapoel Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beitar Jerusalem or Draw✓ Hit
86.1%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem or Hapoel Haifa✓ Hit
77.1%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Haifa✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
23%
14%
covers Draw + Hapoel Haifa
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
Under
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.6%
Under
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.5%
Under
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.1%
Under
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beitar Jerusalem, so a minus line means Beitar Jerusalem give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Haifa receive them. At -1, Beitar Jerusalem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beitar Jerusalem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.69
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.55
1.27
0.64
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
0.79
0.57
0.94
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.80
2.00
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.55
0.75
0.38
1.08
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.60
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.62
0.69
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.20
1.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.55
0.82
0.55
1.22
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili36%
Adi Menachem Yona31%
Yarden Shua29%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu20%
Yarden Cohen19%
Ori Dahan14%
Ziv Ben Shimol14%
Gil Cohen11%
Grigory Morozov11%
Dor Micha9%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Timothy Muzie8%
Brayan Carabalí8%
Boris Enow8%
Arial Mendy0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Dor Hugi0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ravid Abergil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roey Elimelech42%
Grigory Morozov37%
Ravid Abergil33%
Timothy Muzie32%
Brayan Carabalí31%
Boris Enow31%
Luka Gadrani30%
Aílson Tavares27%
Nana Antwi25%
Aviel Zargari25%
Yarden Cohen24%
Omer Atzili23%
Dor Micha18%
Efmamjjasond González18%
Arial Mendy17%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu16%
Ori Dahan14%
Yarin Levi10%
Miguel Silva4%
Yarden Shua4%
Dor Hugi0%
Gil Cohen0%
Adi Menachem Yona0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Efmamjjasond González18%
Yarden Shua17%
Timothy Muzie16%
Grigory Morozov16%
Yarden Cohen14%
Omer Atzili14%
Nana Antwi12%
Yarin Levi10%
Dor Micha9%
Aílson Tavares9%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu8%
Boris Enow8%
Adi Menachem Yona6%
Dor Hugi5%
Luka Gadrani5%
Ziv Ben Shimol5%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Arial Mendy0%
Miguel Silva0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili45%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu32%
Adi Menachem Yona25%
Arial Mendy17%
Yarden Shua12%
Timothy Muzie12%
Luka Gadrani10%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Brayan Carabalí4%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Dor Micha0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Dor Hugi0%
Yarden Cohen0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Hapoel Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alon Turgeman57%
Javon East46%
Ofek Biton20%
Liran Rotman14%
Roei Zikri12%
Rotem Hatuel10%
Anis Forat Ayias8%
Liran Sardal6%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Dor Malul0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Yaad Gonen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Larry Angulo67%
Roy Nawi47%
Rotem Hatuel35%
Alon Turgeman29%
Dor Malul26%
Bruno Ramires25%
Naor Sabag25%
Saná Gomes25%
Ivan Kričak22%
Oren Biton22%
Saar Fadida20%
Tamir Arbel20%
Liran Sardal18%
Itay Buganim15%
Liran Rotman14%
Yaad Gonen14%
Roei Zikri12%
George Diba11%
Javon East8%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Ofek Biton0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Yonatan Ferber0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ofek Biton33%
Naor Sabag15%
Yonatan Ferber15%
Javon East8%
Roei Zikri6%
Dor Malul5%
Rotem Hatuel5%
Alon Turgeman0%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Liran Rotman0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Regis Ndo0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Roy Nawi0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alon Turgeman57%
Ofek Biton20%
Rotem Hatuel20%
Liran Rotman14%
Javon East8%
Regis Ndo8%
Roy Nawi6%
Naor Sabag5%
Yonatan Ferber5%
Bruno Ramires0%
Larry Angulo0%
Dario Župarić0%
Sandro Altunashvili0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Yoav Gerafi0%
Niv Antman0%
Oren Biton0%
Saar Fadida0%
Roei Zikri0%
Dor Malul0%
Liran Sardal0%
Benjamin Machini0%
Saná Gomes0%
George Diba0%
Andrija Radulović0%
Itay Buganim0%
Tamir Arbel0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Yaad Gonen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Beitar Jerusalem's squad is €13m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€17m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €7m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€9m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Beitar Jerusalem's midfield is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Haifa's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina