This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.67
1.94
0.94
1.79
0.36
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
0.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.58
0.74
2.00
1.25
1.27
0.36
vs Weaker (10)
2.60
0.20
2.14
0.14
3.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.7%
7.1%
3.4%
1.2%
1
7.4%
14%
8.8%
4.2%
1.5%
2
5.4%
7.6%
5.4%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.2%
3.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.00 points better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.83 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.47 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
For 4.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.6 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.3
7.9
3.1
3.1
3.1
26.9
25.4
28.2
vs Stronger (6)
9.3
10.0
9.0
2.2
1.7
2.7
24.3
20.0
26.5
vs Similar (31)
8.2
8.9
7.4
3.7
3.9
3.4
26.9
25.7
28.2
vs Weaker (13)
9.4
10.3
8.8
2.2
1.8
2.6
27.9
26.3
29.0
% over line
37%
57%
19%
44%
46%
42%
87%
71%
100%
% under line
63%
43%
81%
56%
54%
58%
13%
29%
0%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.1
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Beitar Jerusalem
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Ashdod
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Bnei Sakhnin
4.9
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Ashdod
4.7
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.7
Maccabi Haifa
26.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
26.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
25.0
Beitar Jerusalem
24.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.5
Maccabi Netanya
24.0
Bnei Sakhnin
23.3
Ashdod
23.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.7%
Under 9.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.4%
Under 21.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.89
0.78
0.89
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.17
1.00
0.19
0.71
0.14
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.21
1.25
0.25
0.45
0.18
vs Weaker (10)
1.10
0.00
0.86
0.00
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.87
0.53
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.80
2.00
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.47
0.89
0.33
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
0.94
0.75
1.07
0.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.53
0.75
1.00
0.82
0.18
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.20
1.29
0.14
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili36%
Adi Menachem Yona31%
Yarden Shua29%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu20%
Yarden Cohen19%
Ori Dahan14%
Ziv Ben Shimol14%
Gil Cohen11%
Grigory Morozov11%
Dor Micha9%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Timothy Muzie8%
Brayan Carabalí8%
Boris Enow8%
Arial Mendy0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Dor Hugi0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ravid Abergil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roey Elimelech42%
Grigory Morozov37%
Ravid Abergil33%
Timothy Muzie32%
Brayan Carabalí31%
Boris Enow31%
Luka Gadrani30%
Aílson Tavares27%
Nana Antwi25%
Aviel Zargari25%
Yarden Cohen24%
Omer Atzili23%
Dor Micha18%
Efmamjjasond González18%
Arial Mendy17%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu16%
Ori Dahan14%
Yarin Levi10%
Miguel Silva4%
Yarden Shua4%
Dor Hugi0%
Gil Cohen0%
Adi Menachem Yona0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Efmamjjasond González18%
Yarden Shua17%
Timothy Muzie16%
Grigory Morozov16%
Yarden Cohen14%
Omer Atzili14%
Nana Antwi12%
Yarin Levi10%
Dor Micha9%
Aílson Tavares9%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu8%
Boris Enow8%
Adi Menachem Yona6%
Dor Hugi5%
Luka Gadrani5%
Ziv Ben Shimol5%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Arial Mendy0%
Miguel Silva0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili45%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu32%
Adi Menachem Yona25%
Arial Mendy17%
Yarden Shua12%
Timothy Muzie12%
Luka Gadrani10%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Brayan Carabalí4%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Dor Micha0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Dor Hugi0%
Yarden Cohen0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Beitar Jerusalem's squad is €11m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€17m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €7m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€9m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Beitar Jerusalem's midfield is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina