This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.04
1.67
1.25
1.42
0.83
1.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
1.33
2.08
1.83
2.00
0.83
2.17
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.9%
Under 2.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.7%
Under 3.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
4.9%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
4.1%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.6%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.6%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.7%
6.2%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.3%
3.0%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.03
Beitar Jerusalem
1.30
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Hapoel Katamon
1.25
Hapoel Haifa
1.24
Ashdod
1.19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Bnei Sakhnin
1.12
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.03
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.76
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.18 points better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.81
Beitar Jerusalem
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.22
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Bnei Sakhnin
1.18
Ashdod
1.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.94
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.45 goals better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.64
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.81
Maccabi Haifa
0.94
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.22
Ashdod
1.28
Bnei Sakhnin
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.48
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Hapoel Hadera
1.61
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.64
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Beitar Jerusalem
1.76
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.21 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bnei Sakhnin
68%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
61%
Maccabi Netanya
53%
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Sektzia Nes Tziona
42%
Hapoel Haifa
34%
Beitar Jerusalem is 14.0 percentage points worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average possession (47% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
For 4.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
10.7
11.5
9.5
2.2
2.3
2.1
21.0
21.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
1.5
3.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
11.0
17.0
9.5
2.5
0.6
4.2
18.0
18.0
-
vs Weaker (11)
11.5
11.5
-
2.0
3.7
0.0
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
60%
67%
50%
29%
25%
33%
50%
50%
-
% under line
40%
33%
50%
71%
75%
67%
50%
50%
-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
9.1
7.7
11.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
25.0
25.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
2.0
4.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
8.5
7.3
9.7
0.9
1.0
0.8
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (10)
9.4
7.0
13.0
2.7
2.8
2.6
-
-
-
% over line
42%
29%
60%
25%
33%
17%
100%
100%
-
% under line
58%
71%
40%
75%
67%
83%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beitar Jerusalem
10.7
Maccabi Haifa
10.4
Bnei Sakhnin
10.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.1
Maccabi Netanya
9.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.5
Sektzia Nes Tziona
9.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Hapoel Hadera
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.4
Ashdod
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beitar Jerusalem
5.9
Hapoel Hadera
5.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.5
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.2
Hapoel Haifa
5.0
Ashdod
4.9
Maccabi Haifa
4.8
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4.2
Sektzia Nes Tziona
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bnei Sakhnin
30.0
Hapoel Haifa
27.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
25.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
24.0
Maccabi Haifa
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Maccabi Netanya
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.1%
Under 9.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.8%
Under 21.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.83
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.73
1.00
0.40
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.64
1.00
0.83
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.79
0.50
0.67
0.58
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.50
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.79
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.92
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
1.36
0.80
2.00
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.55
0.50
0.83
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.88
0.75
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.92
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili33%
Noam Muche33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Boris Enow67%
Brayan Carabalí33%
Luka Gadrani33%
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Tomer Yosefi33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Miguel Silva0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Noam Muche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Noam Muche0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili33%
Yarden Shua33%
Noam Muche33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chico67%
Falcão33%
Fernand Mayembo33%
Marcus Coco33%
Omri Altman33%
Andrian Kraev33%
Doron Leidner33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar squad value (both €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€9m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Hapoel Hadera
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Sektzia Nes Tziona