This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.93
1.87
0.60
0.87
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.04
1.91
0.64
0.92
1.42
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
5.9%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.6%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.2%
5.3%
2.7%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.1%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Beitar Jerusalem
3.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.80
Hapoel Haifa
1.80
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.32
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.20
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.20
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Sakhnin
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Haifa
0.00
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.00 points better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Beitar Jerusalem
3.00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.00
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.67
Hapoel Katamon
1.60
Maccabi Netanya
1.60
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.26
Bnei Sakhnin
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Haifa
0.00
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.33 goals better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beitar Jerusalem
0.33
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.40
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.56
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.77
Hapoel Haifa
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.67 goals better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beitar Jerusalem or Draw✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem or Hapoel Tel Aviv✗ Miss
73.1%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Beitar Jerusalem + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Tel Aviv✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.7%
Under
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
Under
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.8%
Under
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.6%
Under
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beitar Jerusalem, so a minus line means Beitar Jerusalem give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Tel Aviv receive them. At -1, Beitar Jerusalem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beitar Jerusalem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Beitar Jerusalem)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem -2
12.0%
Draw -2
16.0%
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Beitar Jerusalem)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.37
0.60
0.27
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.30
0.64
0.18
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.60
1.07
0.57
1.69
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
4.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.43
0.76
1.33
0.89
1.50
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.27
0.33
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.74
1.27
0.45
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili33%
Noam Muche33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Boris Enow67%
Brayan Carabalí33%
Luka Gadrani33%
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Tomer Yosefi33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Miguel Silva0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Noam Muche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Noam Muche0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili33%
Yarden Shua33%
Noam Muche33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chico67%
Falcão33%
Fernand Mayembo33%
Marcus Coco33%
Omri Altman33%
Andrian Kraev33%
Doron Leidner33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar squad value (both €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€9m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon