This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.09
0.43
2.58
0.17
1.55
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.17
1.50
0.00
0.25
1.75
vs Weaker (17)
2.59
0.18
2.80
0.20
2.29
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.2%
Under 2.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.8%
No
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
0-0
5.3%
Beitar Jerusalem goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
7.1%
7.8%
4.9%
2.4%
1
4.3%
11%
9.7%
6.2%
3.0%
2
3.3%
6.3%
6.0%
3.9%
1.8%
3
1.4%
2.6%
2.5%
1.6%
0.8%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beitar Jerusalem goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.03
Beitar Jerusalem
1.30
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Hapoel Katamon
1.25
Hapoel Haifa
1.24
Ashdod
1.19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Bnei Sakhnin
1.12
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.03
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.76
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.72 points worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.81
Beitar Jerusalem
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.22
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Bnei Sakhnin
1.18
Ashdod
1.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.94
Beitar Jerusalem is 0.34 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.64
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.81
Maccabi Haifa
0.94
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.22
Ashdod
1.28
Bnei Sakhnin
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.48
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Hapoel Hadera
1.61
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.64
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Beitar Jerusalem
1.76
Beitar Jerusalem is 1.12 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 0.64).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bnei Sakhnin
68%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
61%
Maccabi Netanya
53%
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Sektzia Nes Tziona
42%
Hapoel Haifa
34%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beitar Jerusalem
For 5.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 6.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
11.8
14.7
7.5
1.5
1.7
1.2
21.0
21.0
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
10.7
17.0
7.5
1.6
0.6
3.3
18.0
18.0
-
vs Weaker (8)
13.5
13.5
-
1.5
3.0
0.0
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
80%
100%
50%
24%
22%
25%
50%
50%
-
% under line
20%
0%
50%
76%
78%
75%
50%
50%
-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
11.2
11.0
11.5
2.1
1.7
2.5
24.7
25.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.8
10.0
11.5
4.7
4.0
5.0
24.7
25.0
24.0
vs Weaker (17)
11.6
11.7
11.5
1.2
1.2
1.1
-
-
-
% over line
67%
60%
75%
30%
33%
27%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
40%
25%
70%
67%
73%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beitar Jerusalem
11.8
Bnei Sakhnin
11.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
11.2
Maccabi Netanya
11.0
Sektzia Nes Tziona
10.3
Maccabi Haifa
9.9
Hapoel Haifa
9.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.8
Hapoel Hadera
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6.0
Maccabi Netanya
5.7
Hapoel Hadera
5.4
Ashdod
5.4
Beitar Jerusalem
5.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Sektzia Nes Tziona
4.4
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3.8
Hapoel Haifa
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bnei Sakhnin
30.0
Hapoel Haifa
27.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
25.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
24.0
Maccabi Haifa
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Maccabi Netanya
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
68.4%
Under 9.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.4%
Under 3.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.2%
Under 21.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.88
1.00
0.67
0.38
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.88
1.00
0.40
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
35% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.17
1.25
0.08
0.73
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.17
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.12
1.40
0.10
1.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
1.18
0.78
1.44
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.75
0.80
2.00
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
41% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.09
0.26
1.33
0.08
0.82
0.45
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.83
1.00
0.00
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.06
1.40
0.10
1.14
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili33%
Noam Muche33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Boris Enow67%
Brayan Carabalí33%
Luka Gadrani33%
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Tomer Yosefi33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Miguel Silva0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Noam Muche0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Yarden Shua0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Noam Muche0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili33%
Yarden Shua33%
Noam Muche33%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Tomer Yosefi0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Daniel Worko0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz67%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Camara33%
Raz Shlomo33%
Issouf Sissokho33%
Dor Peretz0%
Ester Sokler0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Camara33%
Dor Peretz33%
Roy Revivo33%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Roy Revivo33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Beitar Jerusalem's squad is €18m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€17m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's attack is €5m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€9m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Beitar Jerusalem's midfield is €6m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Beitar Jerusalem's defence is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€5m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →