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Bekescsaba 1912 vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Date: 04/08/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 3-0
Bekescsaba 1912
Bekescsaba 1912
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bekescsaba 1912 win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajka win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D20W12L22D01L21W12L11DA·DIO09/04H·CSA12/04A·NYI16/04H·GYO23/04A·SZO26/04H·SIO30/04A·SOR07/05H·TIS15/05A·AJK21/05A·KOZ28/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.601.330.731.60
vs Stronger (5)0.802.001.501.000.332.67
vs Similar (25)1.241.361.621.380.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L01L10W12L02L31W01L01LH·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04H·CSA14/04A·KOZ21/04H·NYI29/04A·TIS05/05H·BUD12/05A·SZO19/05H·GYO26/05H·SZE28/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.970.801.001.000.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (26)1.000.960.850.921.151.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.8%
No
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
Bekescsaba 1912 goals ↓
Ajka goals →
01234
011%11%7.4%3.0%0.9%
19.6%15%8.0%3.2%1.0%
26.0%7.2%4.3%1.7%0.5%
32.2%2.6%1.6%0.6%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bekescsaba 1912 goals (down), columns = Ajka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Bekescsaba 1912 is 0.07 points worse than Ajka in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Bekescsaba 1912 is 0.03 goals worse than Ajka in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Bekescsaba 1912 and Ajka are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W11D21W00D10W02L00DA·DIO09/04H·CSA12/04A·NYI16/04H·GYO23/04A·SZO26/04H·SIO30/04A·SOR07/05H·TIS15/05A·AJK21/05A·KOZ28/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.930.330.270.67
vs Stronger (5)0.400.600.500.000.331.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.481.000.380.250.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D00D01L01L01L01L01LH·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04H·CSA14/04A·KOZ21/04H·NYI29/04A·TIS05/05H·BUD12/05A·SZO19/05H·GYO26/05H·SZE28/07
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.470.270.600.270.33
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.270.420.230.460.310.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L11D10W01L01L01L11D10W11DA·DIO09/04H·CSA12/04A·NYI16/04H·GYO23/04A·SZO26/04H·SIO30/04A·SOR07/05H·TIS15/05A·AJK21/05A·KOZ28/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.970.671.000.470.93
vs Stronger (5)0.401.401.001.000.001.67
vs Similar (25)0.600.880.621.000.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L01L10W11D01L30W00D00DH·GYI31/03A·BVS07/04H·CSA14/04A·KOZ21/04H·NYI29/04A·TIS05/05H·BUD12/05A·SZO19/05H·GYO26/05H·SZE28/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.530.400.730.60
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.730.540.620.460.850.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
B1 wins
0
Draws
2
AJK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bekescsaba 1912 vs Ajka · H/A from B1
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23AAjka Vs B12-1
04/12/22HB1 Vs Ajka0-1

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs B11-1
21/05/23AAjka Vs B12-1
15/05/23HB1 Vs Tiszakecske FC2-1
07/05/23ASoroksar Vs B11-0
30/04/23HB1 Vs Siofok2-2
26/04/23ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs B12-1
23/04/23HB1 Vs Gyori ETO FC2-0
16/04/23ANyiregyhaza Vs B11-1
12/04/23HB1 Vs Csakvar1-2
09/04/23ADiosgyori VTK Vs B11-0

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/07/24HAJK Vs Szentlőrinc SE0-1
26/05/24HAJK Vs Gyori ETO FC0-1
19/05/24ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs AJK1-3
12/05/24HAJK Vs Budapest Honved0-2
05/05/24ATiszakecske FC Vs AJK2-1
29/04/24HAJK Vs Nyiregyhaza1-0
21/04/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs AJK1-0
14/04/24HAJK Vs Csakvar0-1
07/04/24ABVSC Vs AJK0-2
31/03/24HAJK Vs Gyirmot SE1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bekescsaba 1912
Bekescsaba 1912
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD0.97
HomeDLWDW1.32
AwayDLLLD0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%32%10%
AVG goals2.693.002.40
Over 1.5 %72%79%65%
Over 2.5 %46%53%40%
Over 3.5 %31%37%25%
Scored1.231.630.85
Conceded1.461.371.55
BTTS59%68%50%
Clean Sheet13%16%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.52
HomeLWLLL1.64
AwayDWLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals1.921.921.92
Over 1.5 %56%52%60%
Over 2.5 %28%28%28%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored1.061.001.12
Conceded0.860.920.80
BTTS32%28%36%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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