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Bekescsaba 1912 vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-2
Bekescsaba 1912
Bekescsaba 1912
Vs
47%
30%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bekescsaba 1912 win✗ Miss
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajka win✓ Hit
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D11D11D34L21W02L20W00D12LH·BUD18/05A·TAT25/05A·SOR27/07H·SZE03/08A·VAS11/08H·BVS17/08A·FEH24/08H·BUD31/08H·NYI13/09A·BUD21/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.371.331.130.731.60
vs Stronger (4)1.002.750.002.001.333.00
vs Similar (26)1.041.151.431.070.581.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W04L11D10W10W01L01L31W13LA·BVS18/05A·GYI25/05A·BVS27/07H·FEH03/08A·BUD10/08H·BUD17/08A·SZE24/08A·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.271.201.130.731.40
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.502.00--
vs Similar (28)0.931.211.151.000.731.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
Bekescsaba 1912 goals ↓
Ajka goals →
01234
011%7.6%4.1%1.2%0.3%
113%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.8%8.9%4.1%1.2%0.3%
34.6%4.2%1.9%0.6%0.1%
41.6%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bekescsaba 1912 goals (down), columns = Ajka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Bekescsaba 1912 is 0.17 points worse than Ajka in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Bekescsaba 1912 is 0.13 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 0.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Bekescsaba 1912 is 0.07 goals worse than Ajka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L01L22D20W01L10W00D11DH·BUD18/05A·TAT25/05A·SOR27/07H·SZE03/08A·VAS11/08H·BVS17/08A·FEH24/08H·BUD31/08H·NYI13/09A·BUD21/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.930.670.330.87
vs Stronger (4)0.751.750.002.001.001.67
vs Similar (26)0.620.621.000.570.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W00D10W01L00D00D00DA·BVS18/05A·GYI25/05A·BVS27/07H·FEH03/08A·BUD10/08H·BUD17/08A·SZE24/08A·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.670.330.400.80
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.500.50--
vs Similar (28)0.460.570.540.310.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W10W12L01L01L10W00D01LH·BUD18/05A·TAT25/05A·SOR27/07H·SZE03/08A·VAS11/08H·BVS17/08A·FEH24/08H·BUD31/08H·NYI13/09A·BUD21/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.400.470.400.73
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (26)0.420.540.430.500.420.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L01L10W00D00D01L31W13LA·BVS18/05A·GYI25/05A·BVS27/07H·FEH03/08A·BUD10/08H·BUD17/08A·SZE24/08A·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.530.800.330.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.50--
vs Similar (28)0.460.640.620.690.330.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bekescsaba 1912) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bekescsaba 1912 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
B1 wins
0
Draws
2
AJK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bekescsaba 1912 vs Ajka · H/A from B1
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25AAjka Vs B10-1
04/08/24HB1 Vs Ajka3-0
21/05/23AAjka Vs B12-1
04/12/22HB1 Vs Ajka0-1

Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 1912

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25ABudapest Honved Vs B12-1
13/09/25HB1 Vs Nyiregyhaza0-0
31/08/25HB1 Vs Budafoki LC2-0
24/08/25AFehérvár FC Vs B12-0
17/08/25HB1 Vs BVSC2-1
11/08/25AVasas Vs B14-3
03/08/25HB1 Vs Szeged 20111-1
27/07/25ASoroksar Vs B11-1
25/05/25ATatabánya Vs B11-1
18/05/25HB1 Vs Budafoki LC2-1

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HAJK Vs Kecskeméti TE1-3
13/09/25HAJK Vs Kisvarda FC3-1
31/08/25ACsakvar Vs AJK1-0
24/08/25ASzentlőrinc SE Vs AJK1-0
17/08/25HAJK Vs Budapest Honved1-0
10/08/25ABudafoki LC Vs AJK0-1
03/08/25HAJK Vs Fehérvár FC1-1
27/07/25ABVSC Vs AJK4-0
25/05/25AGyirmot SE Vs AJK0-1
18/05/25ABVSC Vs AJK0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bekescsaba 1912
Bekescsaba 1912
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.04
HomeWDWWD1.56
AwayDDLLL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%40%8%
AVG goals2.342.721.96
Over 1.5 %72%88%56%
Over 2.5 %42%56%28%
Over 3.5 %16%24%8%
Scored1.021.440.60
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.20
HomeLDWWL1.20
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.302.122.48
Over 1.5 %62%52%72%
Over 2.5 %38%28%48%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.261.081.44
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
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Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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