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Belasitsa vs Marek Result & Analysis

Date: 23/02/2025
Time: 12:15
Final 1-0
Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Vs
45%
31%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belasitsa win✓ Hit
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marek win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D05L30W05L23L01L22D10W20W04LA·NES24/10H·CSK31/10H·LUD04/11A·MON11/11H·YAN16/11A·FK 23/11H·PIR30/11A·STR04/12H·BOT09/12A·ETA15/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.171.800.930.801.40
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (29)1.341.031.930.640.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W10W21W30W20W32W21W11D32WH·DOB20/10A·SPO24/10H·FRA03/11A·CSK11/11H·SPA16/11A·NES23/11H·LUD30/11H·MON05/12A·YAN08/12H·FK 14/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.931.710.791.061.06
vs Stronger (3)0.671.67--0.671.67
vs Similar (27)1.440.851.710.791.150.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.7%
Under 2.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.6%
No
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0 ✓
13.9%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.3%
Belasitsa goals ↓
Marek goals →
01234
013%8.9%4.3%1.2%0.3%
114%14%5.5%1.6%0.3%
29.7%8.2%3.5%1.0%0.2%
34.1%3.5%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.3%1.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Belasitsa goals (down), columns = Marek goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dobrudzha
2.16
Montana
2.05
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.89
Marek
1.71
Dunav Ruse
1.68
Yantra 2019
1.68
Belasitsa
1.47
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.37
Spartak Pleven
1.34
Ludogorets II
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.29
Fratria
1.26
FK Minyor Pernik
1.08
Sportist Svoge
0.97
Litex
0.87
Botev Plovdiv II
0.76
Strumska Slava
0.74
Nesebar
0.74
Belasitsa is 0.24 points worse than Marek in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dobrudzha
1.95
Yantra 2019
1.55
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.45
Montana
1.39
Ludogorets II
1.39
Dunav Ruse
1.37
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.24
Fratria
1.18
Marek
1.16
Belasitsa
1.11
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
FK Minyor Pernik
0.95
Spartak Pleven
0.92
Botev Plovdiv II
0.87
Nesebar
0.74
Strumska Slava
0.61
Sportist Svoge
0.58
Litex
0.50
Belasitsa is 0.05 goals worse than Marek in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montana
0.39
Dobrudzha
0.68
Marek
0.82
Dunav Ruse
0.92
Yantra 2019
0.97
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.05
Sportist Svoge
1.05
CSKA Sofia II
1.08
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.08
Ludogorets II
1.11
Spartak Pleven
1.13
Belasitsa
1.18
Litex
1.18
Fratria
1.32
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.37
Strumska Slava
1.42
FK Minyor Pernik
1.47
Nesebar
1.66
Botev Plovdiv II
1.84
Belasitsa is 0.37 goals worse than Marek in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L10W03L02L00D00D10W10W02LA·NES24/10H·CSK31/10H·LUD04/11A·MON11/11H·YAN16/11A·FK 23/11H·PIR30/11A·STR04/12H·BOT09/12A·ETA15/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.470.470.270.73
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.380.550.500.360.270.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D10W20W00D11D11D11D00DH·DOB20/10A·SPO24/10H·FRA03/11A·CSK11/11H·SPA16/11A·NES23/11H·LUD30/11H·MON05/12A·YAN08/12H·FK 14/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.570.290.440.44
vs Stronger (3)0.331.00--0.331.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.300.570.290.460.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L20W02L21W01L22D00D10W02LA·NES24/10H·CSK31/10H·LUD04/11A·MON11/11H·YAN16/11A·FK 23/11H·PIR30/11A·STR04/12H·BOT09/12A·ETA15/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.330.470.530.67
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (29)0.970.481.430.290.530.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W10W11D10W20W21W10W00D32WH·DOB20/10A·SPO24/10H·FRA03/11A·CSK11/11H·SPA16/11A·NES23/11H·LUD30/11H·MON05/12A·YAN08/12H·FK 14/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.571.140.500.620.62
vs Stronger (3)0.330.67--0.330.67
vs Similar (27)0.930.561.140.500.690.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BEL wins
1
Draws
2
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Belasitsa vs Marek · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24AMarek Vs BEL1-0
25/02/24AMarek Vs BEL1-0
15/08/23HBEL Vs Marek0-0

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs BEL4-0
09/12/24HBEL Vs Botev Plovdiv II2-0
04/12/24AStrumska Slava Vs BEL0-1
30/11/24HBEL Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-2
23/11/24AFK Minyor Pernik Vs BEL1-0
16/11/24HBEL Vs Yantra 20192-3
11/11/24AMontana Vs BEL5-0
04/11/24HBEL Vs Ludogorets II3-0
31/10/24HBEL Vs CSKA 19480-5
24/10/24ANesebar Vs BEL0-0

MarekMarek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/25HMAR Vs FK Minyor Pernik3-2
08/12/24AYantra 2019 Vs MAR1-1
05/12/24HMAR Vs Montana2-1
30/11/24HMAR Vs Ludogorets II3-2
23/11/24ANesebar Vs MAR0-2
16/11/24HMAR Vs Spartak Pleven3-0
11/11/24ACSKA Sofia II Vs MAR1-2
03/11/24HMAR Vs Fratria1-0
24/10/24ASportist Svoge Vs MAR0-2
20/10/24HMAR Vs Dobrudzha0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.44
HomeLWLDW1.88
AwayDLLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%27%
AVG goals2.282.422.15
Over 1.5 %70%83%58%
Over 2.5 %36%38%35%
Over 3.5 %20%17%23%
Scored1.181.580.81
Conceded1.100.831.35
BTTS32%21%42%
Clean Sheet36%58%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.76
HomeWWWWW2.29
AwayLWWWD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%67%27%
AVG goals2.142.331.96
Over 1.5 %66%71%62%
Over 2.5 %34%38%31%
Over 3.5 %18%21%15%
Scored1.281.670.92
Conceded0.860.671.04
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DobrudzhaDobrudzha3882
63%
2.2
7426+48
2.6
76%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.7
-
2MontanaMontana3878
58%
2.1
5315+38
1.8
55%
29%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.4
-
3Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3872
55%
1.9
5541+14
2.5
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.1
-
4MarekMarek3865
47%
1.7
4431+13
2.0
63%
24%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.8
-
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20193864
47%
1.7
5937+22
2.5
74%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.61.0
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3864
45%
1.7
5235+17
2.3
71%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.9
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3856
39%
1.5
5140+11
2.4
68%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.1
-
8BelasitsaBelasitsa3856
42%
1.5
4245-3
2.3
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3855
45%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
76%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3852
39%
1.4
4141+0
2.2
66%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II3851
34%
1.3
5342+11
2.5
79%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.1
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3851
37%
1.3
3543-8
2.1
58%
37%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.1
-
13CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3849
32%
1.3
4741+6
2.3
66%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
14FratriaFratria3848
34%
1.3
4550-5
2.5
74%
45%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3841
29%
1.1
3656-20
2.4
66%
32%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3837
21%
1.0
2240-18
1.6
55%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.61.1
-
17LitexLitex3833
21%
0.9
1945-26
1.7
45%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3829
21%
0.8
3370-37
2.7
76%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
19Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3828
11%
0.7
2354-31
2.0
58%
37%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
20NesebarNesebar3828
13%
0.7
2863-35
2.4
71%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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