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Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Vs
38%
29%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belasitsa win✓ Hit
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-626L13L12L11D12L01L10W34L24L12LH·CSK02/03A·VIH07/03H·DUN14/03H·LUD21/03A·SPA25/03A·PIR29/03H·CHE04/04A·HEB09/04H·ETA17/04A·MAR25/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.930.861.860.812.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.831.930.861.860.812.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D03L02L04L10W01L00D01L14L32WA·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.570.871.470.871.67
vs Stronger (13)0.852.381.001.570.673.33
vs Similar (17)0.880.940.751.381.000.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.3%
Under 2.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Belasitsa goals ↓
Sportist Svoge goals →
01234
08.9%8.2%5.9%2.4%0.8%
18.9%14%7.8%3.2%1.0%
26.8%8.4%5.2%2.1%0.7%
33.0%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Belasitsa goals (down), columns = Sportist Svoge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Belasitsa is 0.47 points worse than Sportist Svoge in terms of average points per game (0.59 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Belasitsa is 0.06 goals worse than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Belasitsa is 0.44 goals worse than Sportist Svoge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L10W01L11D11D01L00D22D02L11DH·CSK02/03A·VIH07/03H·DUN14/03H·LUD21/03A·SPA25/03A·PIR29/03H·CHE04/04A·HEB09/04H·ETA17/04A·MAR25/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.361.070.500.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.870.361.070.500.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L00D02L10W00D00D01L11D12LA·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.400.870.470.73
vs Stronger (13)0.381.310.291.140.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.470.410.500.620.440.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L03L11D00D01L00D10W12L22D01LH·CSK02/03A·VIH07/03H·DUN14/03H·LUD21/03A·SPA25/03A·PIR29/03H·CHE04/04A·HEB09/04H·ETA17/04A·MAR25/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.070.500.790.311.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.401.070.500.790.311.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Sportist Svoge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L02L02L00D01L00D00D03L20WA·LUD16/02H·FRA28/02A·YAN07/03H·FK 14/03A·SEV25/03H·LOK29/03A·SPA04/04H·CSK10/04A·VIH16/04H·DUN26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.470.600.400.93
vs Stronger (13)0.461.080.710.430.171.83
vs Similar (17)0.410.530.250.750.560.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Belasitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Belasitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belasitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sportist Svoge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
BEL wins
3
Draws
0
SS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Belasitsa vs Sportist Svoge · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25ASportist Svoge Vs BEL0-1
04/04/25HBEL Vs Sportist Svoge0-0
22/09/24ASportist Svoge Vs BEL1-1
25/11/23ASportist Svoge Vs BEL1-1
15/07/23HBEL Vs Sportist Svoge3-1
20/03/23HBEL Vs Sportist Svoge3-0
20/08/22ASportist Svoge Vs BEL0-2

BelasitsaBelasitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AMarek Vs BEL2-1
17/04/26HBEL Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo2-4
09/04/26AHebar 1918 Vs BEL4-3
04/04/26HBEL Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-0
29/03/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs BEL1-0
25/03/26ASpartak Pleven Vs BEL2-1
21/03/26HBEL Vs Ludogorets II1-1
14/03/26HBEL Vs Dunav Ruse1-2
07/03/26AVihren Vs BEL3-1
02/03/26HBEL Vs CSKA Sofia II2-6

Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HSS Vs Dunav Ruse3-2
16/04/26AVihren Vs SS4-1
10/04/26HSS Vs CSKA Sofia II0-1
04/04/26ASpartak Pleven Vs SS0-0
29/03/26HSS Vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0-1
25/03/26ASevlievo Vs SS0-1
14/03/26HSS Vs FK Minyor Pernik0-4
07/03/26AYantra 2019 Vs SS2-0
28/02/26HSS Vs Fratria0-3
16/02/26ALudogorets II Vs SS2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Belasitsa
Belasitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.90
HomeLLDWL1.21
AwayLLLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.522.462.58
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored0.841.080.62
Conceded1.681.381.96
BTTS38%42%35%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.08
HomeLLLLW1.17
AwayDLWDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.082.082.08
Over 1.5 %62%67%58%
Over 2.5 %38%38%38%
Over 3.5 %18%12%23%
Scored0.760.880.65
Conceded1.321.211.42
BTTS26%33%19%
Clean Sheet36%25%46%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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