Arsenal (Belarus) is expected to win this match, with the overall shape of the game leaning towards a closely contested, low-scoring encounter. The recent-form note suggests that Belshina is coming off a draw, while Arsenal (Belarus) has been struggling, having suffered four straight defeats before a recent win.
Belshina has a 28% chance of winning, a 31% chance of drawing, and a 42% chance of losing to Arsenal (Belarus). The model's pick is an away win. The expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.4%.
Belshina's home form against similar opponents shows an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. Arsenal (Belarus), on the other hand, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 42%. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals has an 80.2% probability.
Results analysis
The upset came as Belshina, riding a win in their last five, overturned the pre-match favourite Arsenal (Belarus). The final score was 2-0, a home win that left the model’s pick of an away win incorrect. The model had given the away side a 39 % chance, while the home team’s probability was 30 % and a draw 31 %. The model’s selections also included Under 7.5 (99.8 % - hit), Under 6.5 (99.1 % - hit), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 % - hit), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 % - hit), Home under 3.5 goals (97.8 % - hit), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 % - hit), Under 5.5 (97.2 % - hit) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.7 % - hit). All of the model’s predictions were correct except the outcome of the match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Belshina win✓ Hit
29.9%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.66
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
1xBet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.01
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Pinnacle
3.02
Superbet
3.00
Dafabet
3.00
Arsenal (Belarus) win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.65
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.65
Superbet
2.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Belshina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
1.60
1.00
1.73
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.48
1.30
1.45
1.00
1.50
1.58
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
0.83
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal (Belarus)
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.23
0.87
1.33
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
1.15
0.85
1.15
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.34-0.6%
Under 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.88+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
2.99
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.7%
@ 2.15-4.0%
Under 2.5
60.3%
@ 1.66+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
@ 3.63-5.7%
Under 3.5
80.5%
@ 1.22+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
Under
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.1%
@ 1.83-3.3%
No
52.9%
@ 1.86+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
No
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.73+6.9%
0-0
11.6%@ 7.40+5.7%
0-1
11.3%@ 7.53+5.5%
1-0
9.4%@ 7.53+3.6%
1-2
8.1%@ 10.08+3.8%
0-2
7.8%@ 11.67+4.0%
2-1
6.9%@ 10.08+2.6%
2-0 ✓
5.6%@ 12.33+2.1%
Belshina goals ↓
Arsenal (Belarus) goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
11%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
1
9.4%
15%
8.1%
3.3%
1.0%
2
5.6%
6.9%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.0%
2.4%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Belshina goals (down), columns = Arsenal (Belarus) goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.60
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.33
Bate Borisov
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Dinamo Minsk
1.00
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.80
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Belshina is 0.57 points better than Arsenal (Belarus) in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.80
ML Vitebsk
1.67
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
Dinamo Minsk
1.33
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Bate Borisov
1.25
Naftan
1.20
FC Minsk
1.17
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.80
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Belshina is 0.09 goals better than Arsenal (Belarus) in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.33
FC Gomel
0.50
Dinamo Minsk
0.67
Neman
0.67
Bate Borisov
0.75
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.80
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.40
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
2.60
Belshina is 1.03 goals better than Arsenal (Belarus) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
61%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Belshina
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Bate Borisov
44%
Naftan
44%
Belshina is 2.4 percentage points worse than Arsenal (Belarus) in terms of average possession (46% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Belshina
For 3.5 · Against 7.5 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal (Belarus)
For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belshina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
-
11.0
0.4
0.5
0.4
24.0
-
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
11.0
-
11.0
0.6
0.6
0.6
24.0
-
24.0
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
-
100%
4%
4%
4%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
-
0%
96%
96%
96%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal (Belarus)
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.5
3.3
3.2
3.4
20.6
21.0
19.0
vs Stronger (5)
15.0
15.0
-
2.2
2.0
2.3
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (45)
8.0
7.0
9.5
3.4
3.3
3.6
18.5
18.3
19.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
25%
50%
34%
33%
35%
40%
50%
0%
% under line
67%
75%
50%
66%
67%
65%
60%
50%
100%
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.7
Bate Borisov
11.3
Dinamo Brest
11.3
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Naftan
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.4
FC Vitebsk
10.3
Slavia Mozyr
10.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Gomel
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.2
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
5.0
ML Vitebsk
3.7
Bate Borisov
3.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Slavia Mozyr
3.3
Naftan
3.1
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Neman
3.0
FC Gomel
3.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Dinamo Brest
2.7
Baranovichi
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
37.7
Torpedo Zhodino
32.0
Dinamo Brest
29.3
FC Gomel
29.0
Baranovichi
28.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.3
Dinamo Minsk
25.8
Belshina
24.0
Slavia Mozyr
23.7
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Naftan
22.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
20.6
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Neman
18.5
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.2%
Under 9.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
68.4%
Under 21.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Belshina or Draw✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-4.3%
30%
31%
39%
covers Belshina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Belshina or Arsenal (Belarus)✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 69.3% · @ 1.34
Edge
-0.4%
30%
31%
39%
covers Belshina + Arsenal (Belarus)
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Draw or Arsenal (Belarus)✗ Miss
70.1%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.42
Edge
+4.6%
30%
31%
39%
covers Draw + Arsenal (Belarus)
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Belshina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.8%
@ 1.34-4.0%
Under
35.2%
@ 2.95+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
1xBet
2.90
Belshina over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.0%
@ 2.66-7.1%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.44+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.68
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Belshina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 6.45-5.5%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.08+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Belshina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.7%
@ 1.34+1.9%
Under
29.3%
@ 2.95-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 2.63-0.6%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.44+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Marathonbet
2.71
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.30-1.9%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.10
Under
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Belshina, so a minus line means Belshina give that many goals of a start and Arsenal (Belarus) receive them. At -1, Belshina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Belshina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Belshina)Actual: Draw
Belshina -2
3.5%
Draw -2
8.4%
Arsenal (Belarus) +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Belshina)Actual: Belshina
Belshina -1
11.9%
@ 5.25-5.0%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.15-3.4%
Arsenal (Belarus) +1
70.1%
@ 1.44+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap +1 (Belshina)Actual: Belshina
Belshina +1
60.9%
@ 1.43-1.0%
Draw +1
21.4%
@ 4.15+0.1%
Arsenal (Belarus) -1
17.7%
@ 5.30+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
Marathonbet
5.30
Handicap +2 (Belshina)Actual: Belshina
Belshina +2
82.3%
@ 1.13+11.3%
Draw +2
11.7%
@ 4.75-5.2%
Arsenal (Belarus) -2
6.0%
@ 6.65-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Marathonbet
6.65
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Belshina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.47
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.33
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal (Belarus)
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.20
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.48
0.15
0.31
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.8%
@ 1.45+2.7%
Under 0.5
33.2%
@ 2.58-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Under
William Hil
2.75
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.3%
@ 3.03-2.2%
Under 1.5
71.7%
@ 1.33+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.05
Superbet
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Under
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.5%
@ 7.60-3.7%
Under 2.5
91.5%
@ 1.05+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.00
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Under
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Belshina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.4%
@ 2.21-1.3%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.59+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Belshina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.9%
@ 7.50+2.6%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.05-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Belshina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.0%
@ 2.22-3.7%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.59+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 7.60-3.5%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.05+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Belshina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.93
0.53
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.74
0.82
0.55
0.83
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.50
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal (Belarus)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal (Belarus)
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.67
1.00
0.20
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.44
0.67
0.69
0.85
0.21
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.0%
Under 0.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.7%
Under 1.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
Under 2.5
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Belshina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.2%
Under
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.5%
Under
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal (Belarus) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.2%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.9%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.5%
1.05
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.2%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
82.3%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.5%
1.22
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.0%
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
-
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.7%
1.33
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
70.7%
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
-
-
+1.9%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
70.1%
1.42
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
-
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
70.1%
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Belshina and Arsenal (Belarus) have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Belshina and Arsenal (Belarus) have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Belshina and Arsenal (Belarus) have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Belshina and Arsenal (Belarus) have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
Bate Borisov
ML Vitebsk
Slavia Mozyr
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Dinamo Minsk