Belshina’s recent slump, highlighted by a 0-1 loss to FC Gomel, contrasts sharply with Neman’s three-game winning streak, setting the stage for an away win, the model’s favourite outcome. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly active match, with the most probable scoreline 1-1 at 13.2%. Neman, playing away against a weaker opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Belshina’s home form shows a tendency to concede more than they score. The probabilities for the main result are 23% home win, 28% draw, and 50% away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.5%), and Under 5.5 (95.4%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Belshina win
22.6%
Avg Implied 15.4% · @ 6.03
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.82
Marathonbet
5.85
Dafabet
5.80
Superbet
5.65
Draw
27.8%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.40
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Neman win
49.6%
Avg Implied 57.3% · @ 1.62
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.61
Dafabet
1.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Belshina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.20
1.67
0.93
1.53
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.43
1.30
1.55
0.91
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.80
2.00
1.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.20
1.40
0.60
1.13
1.80
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.05
1.23
1.25
0.58
0.80
2.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.14
1.50
0.50
1.80
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.5%
@ 1.27+1.1%
Under 1.5
26.5%
@ 3.33-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.24
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.89-2.5%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.85+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.4%
@ 2.95-5.8%
Under 3.5
74.6%
@ 1.33+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.85
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
50.8%
@ 1.89+1.8%
No
49.2%
@ 1.81-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
No
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 6.38+6.6%
0-1
11.0%@ 6.62+4.6%
0-2
9.6%@ 7.35+3.8%
1-2
9.4%@ 8.65+4.5%
0-0
9.0%@ 7.75+3.5%
1-0
6.5%@ 14.88+3.6%
2-1
5.9%@ 19.00+3.7%
0-3
5.0%@ 11.38+1.2%
Belshina goals ↓
Neman goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
11%
9.6%
5.0%
2.0%
1
6.5%
13%
9.4%
4.9%
1.9%
2
3.8%
5.9%
4.6%
2.4%
0.9%
3
1.2%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Belshina goals (down), columns = Neman goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Belshina is 0.67 points worse than Neman in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Belshina is 0.17 goals worse than Neman in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Belshina is 0.67 goals worse than Neman in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Belshina is 15.2 percentage points worse than Neman in terms of average possession (43% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Belshina
For 3.2 · Against 8.2 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Neman
For 4.6 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belshina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
8.0
12.2
0.6
0.5
0.8
21.8
15.0
23.5
vs Stronger (5)
15.0
-
15.0
0.8
0.0
2.0
17.0
-
17.0
vs Similar (36)
10.5
8.0
11.3
0.8
0.7
0.8
23.0
15.0
25.7
vs Weaker (9)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
80%
0%
100%
8%
4%
12%
60%
0%
75%
% under line
20%
100%
0%
92%
96%
88%
40%
100%
25%
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
7.2
10.0
2.4
2.8
2.1
21.8
22.7
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.5
9.0
10.0
2.6
3.4
1.8
25.8
30.5
21.0
vs Weaker (14)
6.0
2.0
10.0
2.4
1.7
3.0
14.0
7.0
21.0
% over line
50%
25%
75%
30%
38%
23%
50%
67%
33%
% under line
50%
75%
25%
70%
62%
77%
50%
33%
67%
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
11.8
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
ML Vitebsk
11.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.2
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.3
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.0
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
31.5
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.2
Dinamo Minsk
26.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Belshina
21.8
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
Naftan
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.6%
Under 9.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
64.8%
Under 21.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Belshina or Draw
50.4%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.17
Edge
+7.5%
23%
28%
50%
covers Belshina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Belshina or Neman
72.2%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.3%
23%
28%
50%
covers Belshina + Neman
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Neman
77.4%
Avg Implied 84.6% · @ 1.10
Edge
-7.2%
23%
28%
50%
covers Draw + Neman
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Belshina over/under 0.5
Over
62.7%
@ 1.61+5.2%
Under
37.3%
@ 2.18-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Belshina over/under 1.5
Over
25.9%
@ 4.03+2.9%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.20-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Belshina over/under 2.5
Over
7.8%
@ 10.50-1.1%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
9.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Belshina over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5
Over
79.1%
@ 1.13-2.3%
Under
20.9%
@ 4.95+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
Superbet
5.10
1xBet
4.80
Neman over/under 1.5
Over
46.4%
@ 1.72-7.6%
Under
53.6%
@ 2.02+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Under
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Neman over/under 2.5
Over
20.8%
@ 3.30-7.3%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.29+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.23
Neman over/under 3.5
Over
7.4%
@ 5.55-9.0%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.09+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Belshina, so a minus line means Belshina give that many goals of a start and Neman receive them. At -1, Belshina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Belshina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Belshina)
Belshina -2
2.3%
Draw -2
6.2%
Neman +2
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Belshina)
Belshina -1
8.5%
@ 7.60-2.1%
Draw -1
14.2%
@ 4.60-3.2%
Neman +1
77.4%
@ 1.11+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.60
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap +1 (Belshina)
Belshina +1
50.4%
@ 2.14+8.9%
Draw +1
23.2%
@ 3.64-1.2%
Neman -1
26.4%
@ 2.60-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.14
Draw
Marathonbet
3.64
Away
Marathonbet
2.60
Handicap +2 (Belshina)
Belshina +2
73.6%
@ 1.40+10.7%
Draw +2
15.5%
@ 4.80-2.8%
Neman -2
10.9%
@ 4.70-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Marathonbet
4.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Belshina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.57
0.64
0.45
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.20
0.27
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.18
0.64
0.17
0.17
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.71
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.38+0.9%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 2.81-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.7%
@ 2.63-4.5%
Under 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.43+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.66
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.4%
@ 5.78-5.4%
Under 2.5
89.6%
@ 1.09+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Under
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Belshina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.7%
@ 2.84+9.2%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.37-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Belshina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.4%
@ 11.00-88.6%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Belshina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.3%
@ 1.68-10.0%
Under
54.7%
@ 2.08+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.63
Under
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.00
Neman over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.8%
@ 4.42-7.9%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.16+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Neman over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Belshina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.47
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.74
0.91
0.45
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.20
0.33
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.59
1.08
0.42
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.43
1.50
0.00
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Belshina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.22+1.2%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 3.77-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.0%
@ 2.06-2.0%
Under 1.5
57.0%
@ 1.69+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.1%
@ 4.37-5.0%
Under 2.5
83.9%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Belshina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.2%
@ 2.34+8.8%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.53-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.50
Belshina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.8%
@ 8.00+3.3%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.04-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
Belshina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.6%
@ 1.49-8.7%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.45+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Neman over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.3%
@ 3.04-13.0%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.32+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
Marathonbet
1.32
Neman over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
-
+9.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.1%
Under 5.5 cards
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.09
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
+7.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-
-
-3.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+13.0%
Under 4.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
79.2%
1.29
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.23
-
-
+7.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.1%
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-
-
-2.3%
Draw or Away
77.4%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-7.2%
Away +1 handicap
77.4%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.22
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+1.2%
Under 3.5
74.6%
1.33
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
-
-
+5.8%
Home under 1.5 goals
74.1%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-2.9%
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
73.6%
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
-
-
-
-
+10.7%
Over 1.5
73.5%
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+1.1%
Home or Away
72.2%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.25
-
-
-0.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Belshina's squad is €2m less valuable than Neman's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Belshina and Neman have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Belshina's midfield is €1m less valuable than Neman's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Belshina and Neman have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →