This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.27
1.07
1.07
1.73
1.47
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.40
1.12
1.12
1.92
1.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.90+7.8%
Under 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.87-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.0%
Under 3.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
Benevento goals ↓
Ascoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.3%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.5%
12%
7.0%
3.0%
1.0%
2
7.4%
9.4%
6.0%
2.6%
0.8%
3
4.2%
5.4%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.8%
2.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benevento goals (down), columns = Ascoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Benevento is 0.05 points worse than Ascoli in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Benevento is 0.26 goals better than Ascoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Benevento is 0.08 goals better than Ascoli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benevento
For 6.6 · Against 6.1 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ascoli
For 3.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.8 · Total 33.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.2
10.7
4.6
4.5
4.8
29.2
30.0
28.4
vs Stronger (32)
10.7
11.0
10.4
4.6
4.7
4.6
29.3
30.7
28.1
vs Similar (16)
11.2
11.6
10.9
4.5
4.0
5.1
28.4
29.2
27.4
vs Weaker (2)
13.0
12.0
14.0
6.0
7.0
5.0
34.5
28.0
41.0
% over line
68%
68%
68%
72%
80%
64%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
32%
32%
32%
28%
20%
36%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.3
6.1
6.4
5.8
32.7
34.2
31.2
vs Stronger (18)
10.5
10.6
10.3
6.4
6.6
6.1
31.0
33.3
27.4
vs Similar (32)
9.8
9.1
10.3
5.9
6.2
5.6
33.7
35.0
32.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
44%
56%
90%
92%
88%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
10%
8%
12%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.1
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Spal
10.7
Alessandria
10.6
Reggina
10.5
Crotone
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Como
10.4
Cittadella
10.2
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
10.0
Lecce
9.9
Vicenza Virtus
9.9
Monza
9.9
Pordenone
9.8
Parma
9.7
Cremonese
9.6
Cosenza
9.5
Perugia
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pordenone
6.1
Ascoli
6.1
Perugia
5.8
Reggina
5.7
Cittadella
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Pisa
5.4
Como
5.3
Frosinone
5.3
Spal
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Monza
5.0
Parma
5.0
Alessandria
5.0
Cosenza
4.9
Lecce
4.9
Brescia
4.9
Ternana
4.7
Crotone
4.7
Benevento
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Pordenone
33.1
Perugia
32.9
Cittadella
32.9
Alessandria
32.8
Ascoli
32.7
Pisa
32.7
Monza
32.0
Vicenza Virtus
31.6
Spal
31.5
Frosinone
30.8
Como
30.2
Ternana
29.8
Cremonese
29.8
Benevento
29.2
Lecce
28.8
Crotone
28.6
Parma
28.3
Brescia
27.5
Cosenza
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.9%
Under 9.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.9%
Under 3.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
96.3%
Under 21.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
1.00
0.67
0.83
0.60
1.10
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.08
0.71
0.14
1.40
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.65
0.88
0.50
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
1.00
0.79
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (16)
0.38
0.81
0.50
1.17
0.30
0.60
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.50
1.29
0.43
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ascoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ascoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.33
0.53
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.40
0.43
0.43
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.25
0.62
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ascoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Ascoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrea Silipo67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoul Guiebre67%
Giovanni Corradini67%
Simone D'Uffizi67%
Gabriele Gori33%
Marcos Curado33%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Amine Chakir0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Samuele Damiani33%
Simone D'Uffizi33%
Amine Chakir33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Andrea Silipo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amine Chakir67%
Andrea Silipo33%
Gabriele Gori0%
Marcos Curado0%
Samuele Damiani0%
Don Bolsius0%
Abdoul Guiebre0%
Nicholas Rizzo0%
Samuele Vitale0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Giovanni Corradini0%
Simone D'Uffizi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Sergiu Perciun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
PAR (28)
€142m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Benevento's squad is €1m more valuable than Ascoli's (€12m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
VV (6)
€2m
Benevento's attack is €2m less valuable than Ascoli's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VV (12)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Benevento and Ascoli have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
BEN (13)
€5m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
Benevento's defence is €2m more valuable than Ascoli's (€5m vs €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Parma
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
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