This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.07
1.44
1.12
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.29
1.10
1.50
0.73
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.56
2.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.8%
Under 1.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.0%
Under 2.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
10.9%
Under 3.5
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
27.5%
No
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
21.5%
0-0
17.5%
2-0
15.3%
1-1
10.9%
3-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
Benevento goals ↓
Bari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
6.3%
1.6%
0.2%
0.0%
1
21%
11%
2.2%
0.3%
0.0%
2
15%
6.7%
1.5%
0.2%
0.0%
3
6.9%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.4%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benevento goals (down), columns = Bari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spal
1.86
Frosinone
1.76
Hellas Verona
1.76
Benevento
1.57
Perugia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Carpi
1.48
Spezia
1.43
Novara
1.33
Salernitana
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.26
Bari
1.26
Avellino
1.24
Brescia
1.19
Ternana
1.17
Ascoli
1.17
Pro Vercelli
1.17
Trapani
1.05
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Pisa
0.93
Latina
0.93
Benevento is 0.31 points better than Bari in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spal
1.57
Hellas Verona
1.52
Cittadella
1.43
Frosinone
1.36
Benevento
1.33
Perugia
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.21
Brescia
1.17
Novara
1.14
Trapani
1.07
Ascoli
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Ternana
1.00
Carpi
0.98
Avellino
0.95
Bari
0.93
Latina
0.90
Spezia
0.90
Pro Vercelli
0.83
Vicenza Virtus
0.79
Pisa
0.55
Benevento is 0.40 goals better than Bari in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.81
Pisa
0.86
Spal
0.93
Carpi
0.95
Perugia
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.95
Frosinone
1.00
Benevento
1.00
Bari
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.07
Cesena
1.14
Ascoli
1.17
Latina
1.19
Novara
1.19
Virtus Entella
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.24
Ternana
1.26
Cittadella
1.29
Trapani
1.31
Avellino
1.31
Brescia
1.38
Benevento is 0.05 goals better than Bari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benevento
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bari
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
12.0
Hellas Verona
11.4
Carpi
10.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.6
Carpi
5.4
Hellas Verona
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
32.1
Carpi
31.9
Hellas Verona
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
0.46
0.69
0.23
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.46
0.67
0.25
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.50
0.38
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.43
0.40
0.40
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.27
0.85
0.00
0.85
0.54
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.21
0.92
0.00
0.75
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.94
0.75
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.86
0.70
1.10
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.11
1.33
0.17
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS No
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Bari · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini28%
Emanuele Rao14%
Kevin Piscopo13%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Christian Gytkjær12%
Giulio Maggiore10%
Leonardo Cerri10%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Gaetano Castrovilli6%
Marvin Çuni6%
Cas Odenthal6%
Lorenzo Dickmann4%
Mehdi Dorval3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Moussa Mane0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ebrima Darboe33%
Giacomo Stabile33%
Federico Artioli31%
Giacomo De Pieri27%
Andrea Meroni25%
Anthony Partipilo25%
Gaetano Castrovilli24%
Cas Odenthal22%
Francesco Vicari20%
Kevin Piscopo20%
Raffaele Pucino19%
Andrea Cistana18%
Giulio Maggiore17%
Giuseppe Sibilli17%
Sheriff Kassama17%
Dimitrios Nikolaou15%
Matthias Braunöder15%
Lorenzo Dickmann14%
Mehdi Dorval14%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Marvin Çuni12%
Daouda Traore11%
Emanuele Rao9%
Michele Cerofolini8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Tomás Esteves6%
Moussa Mane6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Dorval17%
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Lorenzo Dickmann11%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Mirko Antonucci7%
Tomás Esteves6%
Andrea Cistana6%
Matthias Braunöder6%
Emanuele Rao6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Riccardo Pagano4%
Dimitrios Nikolaou4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Marvin Çuni0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Marvin Çuni12%
Anthony Partipilo8%
Riccardo Pagano8%
Kevin Piscopo7%
Nicola Bellomo7%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Matthias Verreth4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Emanuele Rao3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Federico Artioli0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Benevento's squad is €4m more valuable than Bari's (€12m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
HV (10)
€13m
CES (10)
€10m
AVE (10)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
Benevento's attack is €2m more valuable than Bari's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
HV (9)
€14m
AVE (6)
€9m
VE (11)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Benevento and Bari have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HV (15)
€30m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
CES (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Benevento's defence is €2m more valuable than Bari's (€5m vs €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Spal
Hellas Verona
Frosinone
Perugia
Cittadella
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Salernitana
Cesena
Avellino
Brescia
Ascoli
Ternana
Vicenza Virtus
Pisa