Benfica B is expected to edge Portimonense in a closely contested match, with the home side coming off a win and the away team on a 2-game winning run. The model predicts a home win, with a 48% chance, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of an away win.
The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.5%.
Benfica B has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.58 goals and conceding 1.08 goals against weaker opponents. Portimonense, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 2 against stronger opponents.
The model's selections include Over 3.5 cards (83.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (81.9%), Under 3.5 (76.2%), and Over 1.5 (72.1%). Home win percentage stands at 48%, draw at 28%, and away win at 23%.
Results analysis
Benfica B’s return to the pitch after a draw was met with a surprising stalemate, the 1-1 result keeping the match level. The pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 48 % probability, failed to materialise, and the model’s pick was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.6 %, Under 6.5 at 98.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.4 %, Under 5.5 at 95.9 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.4 %. Benfica B’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Portimonense’s unbeaten run of five games both added to the intrigue, yet the match finished as a draw, defying expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Benfica B win✗ Miss
48.3%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.02
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Draw✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.25
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.45
Dafabet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.31
BetVictor
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Portimonense win✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.47
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.00
888Sport
4.00
Pinnacle
3.63
1xBet
3.52
SBO
3.52
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Benfica B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.40
1.07
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.43
1.57
vs Weaker (18)
1.28
1.06
1.60
1.10
0.88
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portimonense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.30
1.13
1.27
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
1.50
1.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.00
1.23
1.08
1.31
0.92
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
@ 1.28-0.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
@ 3.33+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
10Bet
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.92-3.5%
Under 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.82+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.90
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
888Sport
1.83
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
@ 3.29-4.4%
Under 3.5
76.2%
@ 1.29+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
888Sport
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
@ 1.74-3.4%
No
50.3%
@ 1.97+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.77
Betfair
1.75
888Sport
1.75
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
No
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%@ 5.92+6.0%
1-0
11.4%@ 6.82+4.9%
0-0
9.6%@ 9.02+4.7%
2-0
9.5%@ 9.21+4.7%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.77+3.5%
0-1
6.9%@ 9.64+2.3%
1-2
6.0%@ 11.03+2.0%
3-0
4.8%@ 16.99+2.2%
Benfica B goals ↓
Portimonense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
6.9%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
1
11%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.3%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.8%
4.6%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica B goals (down), columns = Portimonense goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.50
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Tondela
1.36
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.98
Amarante
0.82
Benfica B is 0.12 points better than Portimonense in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.30
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Tondela
1.17
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.85
Amarante
0.71
Benfica B is 0.12 goals better than Portimonense in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.05
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Tondela
1.16
Vizela
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Academica
1.61
Leixoes
1.62
Amarante
1.92
Benfica B is 0.15 goals better than Portimonense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Benfica B is 5.8 percentage points better than Portimonense in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica B
For 5.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Portimonense
For 4.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 17.9 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.7
8.7
5.7
5.3
6.0
21.2
19.8
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.3
6.0
11.0
5.2
5.6
5.0
18.6
15.5
20.7
vs Weaker (33)
9.7
11.6
7.8
5.9
5.2
6.7
22.1
20.8
24.2
% over line
54%
50%
57%
76%
72%
80%
60%
55%
67%
% under line
46%
50%
43%
24%
28%
20%
40%
45%
33%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portimonense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.7
10.7
4.5
4.2
4.8
24.2
22.8
25.8
vs Stronger (9)
9.8
9.0
10.3
4.4
2.5
6.0
24.2
22.0
26.3
vs Similar (41)
12.0
13.0
11.0
4.5
4.5
4.5
24.2
23.2
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
85%
83%
86%
68%
60%
76%
71%
67%
75%
% under line
15%
17%
14%
32%
40%
24%
29%
33%
25%
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.2
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.5
Feirense
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.6
Vizela
6.3
Leixoes
6.0
FC Porto B
6.0
Chaves
5.9
Sporting CP B
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.8
União de Leiria
5.6
Farense
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Tondela
5.2
Torreense
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
AVS
25.7
Tondela
25.1
Sporting CP B
25.0
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
União de Leiria
23.1
FC Porto B
21.9
Penafiel
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Portimonense
20.8
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.4%
@ 1.70-9.2%
Under 9.5
54.6%
@ 2.04+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.4%
Under 3.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.9%
Under 21.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Benfica B or Draw✓ Hit
76.7%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.26
Edge
+2.8%
48%
28%
23%
covers Benfica B + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Benfica B or Portimonense✗ Miss
71.6%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.9%
48%
28%
23%
covers Benfica B + Portimonense
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Portimonense✓ Hit
51.7%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.73
Edge
-1.9%
48%
28%
23%
covers Draw + Portimonense
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.95
888Sport
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Benfica B over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
@ 1.21+1.1%
Under
22.2%
@ 3.98-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Under
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.19
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Benfica B over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.4%
@ 2.07-0.5%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.69+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Benfica B over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 4.42-1.8%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.18+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Benfica B over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 10.22-2.6%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.04+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.80
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Portimonense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.40-4.0%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.74+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Portimonense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 2.98-5.7%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.35+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.40
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Portimonense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 7.76-4.4%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.20
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Portimonense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 16.75-4.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Benfica B, so a minus line means Benfica B give that many goals of a start and Portimonense receive them. At -1, Benfica B must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Benfica B win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Benfica B)Actual: Portimonense
Benfica B -2
10.1%
@ 8.38-0.7%
Draw -2
15.1%
@ 5.92-0.1%
Portimonense +2
74.9%
@ 1.21+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
8.00
10Bet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.80
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Benfica B)Actual: Portimonense
Benfica B -1
25.1%
@ 3.72+1.4%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.63-1.2%
Portimonense +1
51.7%
@ 1.71-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.45
Away
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Handicap +1 (Benfica B)Actual: Benfica B
Benfica B +1
76.7%
@ 1.30+7.3%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 5.07-3.3%
Portimonense -1
8.7%
@ 7.13-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Away
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Benfica B)Actual: Benfica B
Benfica B +2
91.3%
@ 1.08+6.9%
Draw +2
6.3%
@ 9.25-3.5%
Portimonense -2
2.4%
@ 16.00-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.50
0.20
0.60
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.28
0.80
0.30
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portimonense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.33
0.53
0.27
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.35
0.31
0.54
0.23
0.15
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.39+1.3%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 2.79-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
10Bet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.79-3.1%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.39+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Betano
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 7.09-3.0%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
William Hil
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 1.91-0.7%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.82+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Under
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Benfica B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.66-4.1%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Betano
5.50
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Benfica B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 13.83-4.3%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.50
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Portimonense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 2.37-3.6%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.52+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathonbet
2.40
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Portimonense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 8.44-3.1%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Portimonense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 28.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.83
0.80
0.40
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (18)
0.61
0.78
0.80
0.80
0.38
0.75
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Portimonense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.97
0.60
1.00
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
0.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.92
0.54
1.08
0.77
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portimonense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.3%
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.11
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.7%
1.18
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.1%
1.39
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+10.8%
-
Home or Draw
76.7%
1.26
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.7%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.2%
1.29
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.9%
1.21
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
74.5%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.6%
1.28
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
-0.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Gonçalo Moreira33%
José Neto17%
João Rêgo14%
Tiago Freitas14%
Miguel Figueiredo12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Ivan Lima0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Parente40%
Miguel Figueiredo38%
Ivan Lima33%
Rui Silva33%
Eduardo Fernandes25%
Gonçalo Moreira22%
Martim Ferreira20%
Kevin Pinto20%
Rodrigo Rego17%
João Rêgo14%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira14%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor14%
Gonçalo Oliveira12%
Daniel Banjaqui12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Diogo Ferreira10%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Veloso0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Francisco Silva0%
Olívio Tomé0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henrique Araújo67%
Rodrigo Rego17%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Martim Ferreira10%
Ivan Lima0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Francisco Silva33%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Ivan Lima0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Portimonense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sarará50%
Tamblé Monteiro40%
Alexandre Fernando33%
Mesaque Dju25%
Welat Cagro20%
João Reis14%
Tiago Ferreira14%
Samuel Lobato14%
Sébastien Cibois0%
Welinton Junior0%
Heitor0%
Dauda Mohammed0%
Douglas Grolli0%
Xavier0%
Zé Gabriel0%
Maycon Cleiton0%
Thauan Lara0%
Marlon Junior0%
Francisco Canário0%
Danio Djassi0%
Samy0%
Jarleysom Amurim0%
Edney Henrique0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Douglas Grolli50%
Sarará50%
Sébastien Cibois40%
Tamblé Monteiro40%
Xavier33%
Alexandre Fernando33%
Samuel Lobato29%
Mesaque Dju25%
Dauda Mohammed20%
Welat Cagro20%
Heitor17%
Samy17%
Tiago Ferreira14%
Marlon Junior14%
Welinton Junior0%
João Reis0%
Zé Gabriel0%
Maycon Cleiton0%
Thauan Lara0%
Francisco Canário0%
Danio Djassi0%
Jarleysom Amurim0%
Edney Henrique0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thauan Lara67%
Douglas Grolli25%
Tiago Ferreira14%
Samuel Lobato14%
Sébastien Cibois0%
Welinton Junior0%
Heitor0%
Dauda Mohammed0%
João Reis0%
Welat Cagro0%
Xavier0%
Mesaque Dju0%
Zé Gabriel0%
Maycon Cleiton0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Sarará0%
Marlon Junior0%
Francisco Canário0%
Alexandre Fernando0%
Danio Djassi0%
Samy0%
Jarleysom Amurim0%
Edney Henrique0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tamblé Monteiro40%
Tiago Ferreira29%
Mesaque Dju25%
Dauda Mohammed20%
Samy17%
João Reis14%
Sébastien Cibois0%
Welinton Junior0%
Heitor0%
Douglas Grolli0%
Welat Cagro0%
Xavier0%
Zé Gabriel0%
Maycon Cleiton0%
Sarará0%
Thauan Lara0%
Marlon Junior0%
Samuel Lobato0%
Francisco Canário0%
Alexandre Fernando0%
Danio Djassi0%
Jarleysom Amurim0%
Edney Henrique0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Benfica B's squad is €25m more valuable than Portimonense's (€31m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Benfica B's attack is €6m more valuable than Portimonense's (€9m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Benfica B's midfield is €9m more valuable than Portimonense's (€10m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Benfica B's defence is €10m more valuable than Portimonense's (€13m vs €3m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
União de Leiria
Felgueiras 1932
Leixoes
AVS
Amarante
Tondela
FC Porto B
Torreense
Feirense
Chaves