The encounter between Benfica B and Torreense is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. The probability that Benfica B will triumph is 41%, a draw is 30% and Torreense win 29%. The expected total of goals is 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals, a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability.
Benfica B, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages one goal scored and one conceded. Torreense, on the road, has a slightly higher scoring rate of 1.33 goals per game and concedes 1.11. Both sides have been coming off defeats, with Benfica B losing 0-1 to Amarante and Torreense 0-3 to Vizela.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0% with a 5% edge) and Under 5.5 (96.4% with a 6% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Benfica B win
41.0%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.65
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.79
Dafabet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.73
1xBet
2.73
Betano
2.72
Draw
29.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.19
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Torreense win
29.1%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.47
Edge
-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.56
Dafabet
2.55
1xBet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.52
Betano
2.52
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Benfica B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.47
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.43
1.57
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
1.06
1.70
1.00
0.62
1.12
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.97
1.53
1.00
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.38
0.95
1.42
0.83
1.33
1.11
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
1.00
2.00
1.67
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.6%
@ 1.28-2.0%
Under 1.5
29.4%
@ 3.37+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.2%
@ 1.90-6.1%
Under 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.85+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
SBO
1.92
Under
Betfair
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.3%
@ 3.19-6.8%
Under 3.5
77.7%
@ 1.31+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.32
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
49.8%
@ 1.68-5.3%
No
50.2%
@ 2.05+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
No
William Hil
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 5.84+6.7%
1-0
10.7%@ 8.21+5.3%
0-0
10.3%@ 8.96+5.4%
2-1
8.6%@ 9.15+3.8%
0-1
8.4%@ 7.86+2.8%
2-0
7.9%@ 12.47+4.4%
1-2
7.0%@ 8.80+2.0%
0-2
5.3%@ 11.84+1.5%
Benfica B goals ↓
Torreense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.6%
4.6%
1.7%
0.4%
3
3.5%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica B goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Torreense
1.74
AVS
1.50
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Tondela
1.36
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Academica
0.98
Amarante
0.82
Benfica B is 0.44 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
União de Leiria
1.53
Leixoes
1.35
Torreense
1.35
AVS
1.30
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Tondela
1.17
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Farense
0.89
Academica
0.85
Amarante
0.71
Benfica B is 0.09 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Torreense
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
AVS
1.05
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Tondela
1.16
Vizela
1.18
Feirense
1.18
Chaves
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Portimonense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Academica
1.61
Leixoes
1.62
Amarante
1.92
Benfica B is 0.32 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Benfica B is 8.2 percentage points better than Torreense in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica B
For 5.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 16.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
For 5.1 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.7
8.7
5.5
5.3
5.7
22.3
21.7
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
9.3
6.0
11.0
5.2
5.6
5.0
18.6
15.5
20.7
vs Weaker (33)
9.7
11.6
7.8
5.7
5.2
6.2
23.6
23.2
24.2
% over line
54%
50%
57%
74%
72%
76%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
46%
50%
43%
26%
28%
24%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
7.4
14.0
4.3
4.2
4.3
23.4
21.5
25.0
vs Stronger (1)
22.0
-
22.0
7.0
-
7.0
33.0
-
33.0
vs Similar (32)
8.9
7.4
11.3
4.3
4.7
4.1
24.2
24.8
23.3
vs Weaker (17)
14.0
-
14.0
3.9
3.6
4.4
19.2
5.0
24.0
% over line
42%
0%
71%
64%
67%
62%
69%
67%
71%
% under line
58%
100%
29%
36%
33%
38%
31%
33%
29%
This opponent (Benfica B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.1
Torreense
11.0
Farense
10.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
FC Porto B
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
União de Leiria
9.8
Benfica B
9.6
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.6
Leixoes
9.0
Feirense
9.0
Chaves
8.8
Sporting CP B
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Benfica B
6.7
Feirense
6.5
Vizela
6.3
Chaves
6.1
Leixoes
6.1
FC Porto B
6.0
Sporting CP B
6.0
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
Farense
5.7
União de Leiria
5.6
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Torreense
5.2
Tondela
5.2
AVS
5.1
Academica
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
31.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
Leixoes
26.4
Tondela
25.7
AVS
25.5
Sporting CP B
25.0
União de Leiria
24.1
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
Penafiel
22.9
FC Porto B
21.9
Portimonense
21.8
Benfica B
21.2
Torreense
21.1
Chaves
20.9
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.58
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Benfica B or Draw
70.9%
Avg Implied 63.0% · @ 1.47
Edge
+7.9%
41%
30%
29%
covers Benfica B + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Benfica B or Torreense
70.1%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.29
Edge
-1.4%
41%
30%
29%
covers Benfica B + Torreense
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Draw or Torreense
59.0%
Avg Implied 65.5% · @ 1.41
Edge
-6.5%
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Torreense
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Benfica B over/under 0.5
Over
73.4%
@ 1.30+2.0%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.24-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
Betano
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Benfica B over/under 1.5
Over
38.2%
@ 2.46+0.5%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.49-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.61
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Benfica B over/under 2.5
Over
14.9%
@ 5.71-1.3%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.10+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
BetVictor
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Benfica B over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
@ 13.50-2.5%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Torreense over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
@ 1.27-6.7%
Under
34.0%
@ 3.40+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.45
Pinnacle
3.42
Marathonbet
3.34
Torreense over/under 1.5
Over
29.4%
@ 2.35-10.1%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.53+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
BetVictor
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Torreense over/under 2.5
Over
9.6%
@ 5.38-7.6%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.12+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Torreense over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 12.25-5.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Benfica B, so a minus line means Benfica B give that many goals of a start and Torreense receive them. At -1, Benfica B must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Benfica B win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Benfica B)
Benfica B -2
7.0%
@ 9.78-1.8%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 6.42-1.0%
Torreense +2
80.6%
@ 1.11+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Benfica B)
Benfica B -1
19.4%
@ 5.14+2.4%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 4.16+0.5%
Torreense +1
59.0%
@ 1.42-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.50
Away
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Benfica B)
Benfica B +1
70.9%
@ 1.47+11.2%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.02-4.5%
Torreense -1
11.8%
@ 4.75-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
3.80
Handicap +2 (Benfica B)
Benfica B +2
88.2%
@ 1.12+11.6%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 6.15-5.8%
Torreense -2
3.5%
@ 9.25-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.50
0.20
0.60
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.39
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.52
0.50
0.50
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.50
1.00
1.33
0.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.8%
@ 1.37+0.5%
Under 0.5
32.2%
@ 2.83-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.93
10Bet
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.75-2.7%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.40+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Betfair
2.75
Under
William Hil
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 6.77-3.1%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
1xBet
6.95
Marathonbet
6.95
William Hil
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.5%
@ 2.13+1.0%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.64-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Benfica B over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.6%
@ 6.89-1.9%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.07+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Benfica B over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
@ 17.75-3.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Torreense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.5%
@ 2.07-6.4%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.68+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Torreense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.8%
@ 6.56-5.3%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.08+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Torreense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 17.50-3.9%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.87
0.53
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.83
0.80
0.40
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.67
0.90
0.60
0.12
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.93
0.33
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.43
0.92
0.33
1.11
0.56
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.2%
@ 1.23-1.3%
Under 0.5
25.8%
@ 3.79+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 2.09-4.3%
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.69+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.43-6.8%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.17+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.9%
@ 1.78-0.1%
Under
48.1%
@ 1.93+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Benfica B over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.0%
@ 4.91-2.9%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.15+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Benfica B over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 11.62-5.5%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Torreense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.3%
@ 1.73-7.2%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.99+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Torreense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.9%
@ 4.62-6.2%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.16+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Torreense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 11.38-5.5%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.5%
Under 5.5
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
BetVictor
1.02
Betfair
1.02
+4.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+7.6%
Under 4.5
90.3%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.06
+4.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
1xBet
1.04
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+1.9%
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
+11.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+6.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.17
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.1%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+1.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+2.9%
Away +2 handicap
80.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+2.8%
Under 3.5
77.7%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Unibet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
+6.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.2%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-1.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
73.4%
1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
+2.0%
Home or Draw
70.9%
1.47
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
+7.9%
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
+11.2%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.6%
1.53
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
+10.1%
Over 1.5
70.6%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-2.0%
Home or Away
70.1%
1.29
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
-1.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Gonçalo Moreira33%
José Neto17%
João Rêgo14%
Tiago Freitas14%
Miguel Figueiredo12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Ivan Lima0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Parente40%
Miguel Figueiredo38%
Ivan Lima33%
Rui Silva33%
Eduardo Fernandes25%
Gonçalo Moreira22%
Martim Ferreira20%
Kevin Pinto20%
Rodrigo Rego17%
João Rêgo14%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira14%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor14%
Gonçalo Oliveira12%
Daniel Banjaqui12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Diogo Ferreira10%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Veloso0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Francisco Silva0%
Olívio Tomé0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henrique Araújo67%
Rodrigo Rego17%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Martim Ferreira10%
Ivan Lima0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Francisco Silva33%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Ivan Lima0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Torreense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Zohi38%
Dany Jean20%
Stopira11%
Musa Drammeh10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Alejandro Alfaro0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Liberato33%
Alejandro Alfaro29%
Arnau Casas25%
Andre Simões25%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Musa Drammeh20%
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Leo Azevedo20%
Javi Vázquez18%
Pité17%
Stopira11%
Dany Jean10%
David Bruno9%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Luis Quintero0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Musa Drammeh10%
Ismaïl Seydi10%
Leo Azevedo10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Zohi25%
Musa Drammeh20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
Benfica B's squad is €13m more valuable than Torreense's (€31m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
TOR (12)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
Benfica B's attack is €2m more valuable than Torreense's (€9m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
Benfica B's midfield is €7m more valuable than Torreense's (€10m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
Benfica B's defence is €3m more valuable than Torreense's (€13m vs €10m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academica
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Farense
Vizela
Portimonense
União de Leiria
Felgueiras 1932
Leixoes
AVS
Amarante
Tondela
FC Porto B
Feirense
Chaves