The model favours an away win, with Mladost Lješkopolje expected to edge Berane 45% to 27% for home victory and 29% for a draw. The average goal tally sits at 2.5, so a 2-goal game is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.7% chance. Berane, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.27 conceded, while Mladost, on the road against a weaker opponent, scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 5.5 (95.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.0%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.6%), Away +2 handicap (89.3%), and Under 4.5 (88.7%). Berane’s recent run of four losses, including a 0-1 defeat to Iskra, contrasts with Mladost’s three-game winning streak and a 2-1 victory over Kom, setting the stage for a tightly contested encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Berane win
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje win
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Berane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.30
1.07
1.53
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (20)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.30
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.40
1.20
2.00
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.10
1.64
0.93
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.33
0.75
1.00
0.80
1.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.52
1.00
2.00
0.90
1.09
1.09
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
Berane goals ↓
Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
11%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
1
8.0%
14%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
2
4.7%
6.5%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
3
1.6%
2.2%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Berane goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Berane is 0.08 points better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Berane is 0.17 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Berane is 0.28 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Berane or Draw
56.2%
Avg Implied -
27%
30%
44%
covers Berane + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Berane or Mladost Lješkopolje
70.3%
Avg Implied -
27%
30%
44%
covers Berane + Mladost Lješkopolje
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mladost Lješkopolje
73.5%
Avg Implied -
27%
30%
44%
covers Draw + Mladost Lješkopolje
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Berane over/under 0.5
Over
63.9%
Under
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5
Over
27.1%
Under
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5
Over
74.8%
Under
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5
Over
40.0%
Under
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Berane, so a minus line means Berane give that many goals of a start and Mladost Lješkopolje receive them. At -1, Berane must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Berane win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Berane)
Berane -2
2.9%
Draw -2
7.4%
Mladost Lješkopolje +2
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Berane)
Berane -1
10.3%
Draw -1
16.2%
Mladost Lješkopolje +1
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Berane)
Berane +1
56.2%
Draw +1
22.4%
Mladost Lješkopolje -1
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Berane)
Berane +2
78.6%
Draw +2
13.5%
Mladost Lješkopolje -2
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Berane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.40
0.73
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
0.45
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.30
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.86
0.36
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.40
0.45
0.45
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Berane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.90
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mladost Lješkopolje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.25
0.75
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.57
1.00
0.50
0.64
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Zeta
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Jedinstvo
Rudar (Montenegro)