Berane’s recent five games have left them on a losing streak, conceding 1.3 goals per match at home against stronger opposition, while scoring only a goal each game. Zeta, on the other hand, has won two of its last five away fixtures, averaging 0.4 goals scored and conceding 1.4 against weaker teams. The model therefore favours an away win, with a 45% chance, a draw 31%, and a home win 24%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.1%. Tight, low-scoring fixtures are expected: the model’s selections include Under 7.5, Under 6.5, Home under 2.5 HT goals, Home under 3.5 goals, Away under 2.5 HT goals, Home under 2.5 2H goals, Under 5.5, and Away under 2.5 2H goals, all with probabilities ranging from 95.5% to 99.8%. The match is projected to be a defensive battle with a high chance of a 1-1 draw or a narrow away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Berane win
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeta win
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Berane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.30
1.07
1.53
1.13
1.07
vs Stronger (20)
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.30
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.40
1.20
2.00
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zeta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.17
0.67
1.13
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.26
0.44
1.44
1.40
1.10
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.40
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
4.4%
Berane goals ↓
Zeta goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.5%
4.2%
1.4%
1
8.4%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
4.4%
5.8%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Berane goals (down), columns = Zeta goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Berane is 0.39 points better than Zeta in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Berane is 0.75 goals better than Zeta in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Berane is 0.50 goals worse than Zeta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Berane or Draw
54.6%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
45%
covers Berane + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Berane or Zeta
69.5%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
45%
covers Berane + Zeta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Zeta
75.9%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
45%
covers Draw + Zeta
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Berane over/under 0.5
Over
59.5%
Under
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5
Over
22.9%
Under
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 0.5
Over
73.7%
Under
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 3.5
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Berane, so a minus line means Berane give that many goals of a start and Zeta receive them. At -1, Berane must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Berane win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Berane)
Berane -2
2.2%
Draw -2
6.4%
Zeta +2
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Berane)
Berane -1
8.6%
Draw -1
15.5%
Zeta +1
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Berane)
Berane +1
54.6%
Draw +1
23.4%
Zeta -1
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Berane)
Berane +2
78.0%
Draw +2
13.9%
Zeta -2
8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Berane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.40
0.73
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
0.45
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.30
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.80
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zeta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.25
0.62
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
0.18
0.55
0.00
0.33
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.5%
Under 0.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.3%
Under 1.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.0%
Under 2.5
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Berane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.67
0.80
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (20)
0.60
0.80
0.60
0.70
0.60
0.90
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zeta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.58
0.20
0.50
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.45
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.2%
Under 1.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.5%
Under 2.5
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Berane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.0%
Under
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.7%
Under
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Jedinstvo
Rudar (Montenegro)