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Besa Kavajë vs FK Kukesi Result & Analysis

Date: 29/10/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Vs
56%
29%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besa Kavajë win✓ Hit
55.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D00D12L12L11D12L11D01LH·APO24/04H·POG28/04H·KAS23/08A·KOR30/08H·APO13/09A·BUR19/09H·LUS26/09A·ILI04/10H·POG19/10A·SKE24/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.901.180.821.311.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.040.960.920.921.171.00
vs Weaker (6)2.000.671.800.603.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W21W02L11D01L13L03L03L22DH·BUR20/04H·ORI26/04H·APO23/08A·BUR30/08H·LUS12/09A·ILI20/09H·POG27/09A·SKE04/10H·LAC19/10H·LUF25/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.731.191.750.711.71
vs Stronger (12)0.672.081.002.000.332.17
vs Similar (18)1.171.501.301.601.001.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.9%
Under 2.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.7%
Under 3.5
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.4%
No
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.3%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
3-1 ✓
4.2%
Besa Kavajë goals ↓
FK Kukesi goals →
01234
013%6.7%2.6%0.6%0.1%
116%13%3.8%0.8%0.1%
213%8.5%2.8%0.6%0.1%
36.3%4.2%1.4%0.3%0.0%
42.3%1.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Besa Kavajë goals (down), columns = FK Kukesi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.18 points better than FK Kukesi in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.27 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.15 goals better than FK Kukesi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D00D00D11D01L01L00DH·APO24/04H·POG28/04H·KAS23/08A·KOR30/08H·APO13/09A·BUR19/09H·LUS26/09A·ILI04/10H·POG19/10A·SKE24/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.330.410.350.460.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.330.380.170.420.500.33
vs Weaker (6)0.830.171.000.200.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D02L11D01L02L02L00D22DH·BUR20/04H·ORI26/04H·APO23/08A·BUR30/08H·LUS12/09A·ILI20/09H·POG27/09A·SKE04/10H·LAC19/10H·LUF25/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.560.810.210.79
vs Stronger (12)0.250.750.500.670.000.83
vs Similar (18)0.500.830.600.900.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Besa Kavajë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W00D12L12L00D11D10W01LH·APO24/04H·POG28/04H·KAS23/08A·KOR30/08H·APO13/09A·BUR19/09H·LUS26/09A·ILI04/10H·POG19/10A·SKE24/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.760.470.850.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.710.580.750.500.670.67
vs Weaker (6)1.170.500.800.403.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Kukesi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D21W00D00D00D11D01L03L00DH·BUR20/04H·ORI26/04H·APO23/08A·BUR30/08H·LUS12/09A·ILI20/09H·POG27/09A·SKE04/10H·LAC19/10H·LUF25/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.620.940.500.93
vs Stronger (12)0.421.330.501.330.331.33
vs Similar (18)0.670.670.700.700.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Besa Kavajë over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Kukesi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Besa Kavajë's squad is €1m more valuable than FK Kukesi's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Besa Kavajë and FK Kukesi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Besa Kavajë and FK Kukesi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Besa Kavajë and FK Kukesi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
BK wins
0
Draws
0
FK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Besa Kavajë vs FK Kukesi · H/A from BK
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25HBK Vs FK Kukesi2-1
02/02/25HBK Vs FK Kukesi2-1
30/10/24AFK Kukesi Vs BK0-5

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25ASkenderbeu Korce Vs BK1-0
19/10/25HBK Vs Pogradeci1-1
04/10/25AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs BK2-1
26/09/25HBK Vs Lushnja1-1
19/09/25ABurreli Vs BK2-1
13/09/25HBK Vs Apolonia Fier1-2
30/08/25AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BK0-0
23/08/25HBK Vs Kastrioti Krujë1-1
28/04/25HBK Vs Pogradeci0-1
24/04/25HBK Vs Apolonia Fier1-1

FK KukesiFK Kukesi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HFK Vs Luftëtari2-2
19/10/25HFK Vs Laci0-3
04/10/25ASkenderbeu Korce Vs FK3-0
27/09/25HFK Vs Pogradeci1-3
20/09/25AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs FK1-0
12/09/25HFK Vs Lushnja1-1
30/08/25ABurreli Vs FK2-0
23/08/25HFK Vs Apolonia Fier2-1
26/04/25HFK Vs Oriku1-0
20/04/25HFK Vs Burreli1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.90
HomeLDLDD1.89
AwayWDLLL1.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%52%57%
AVG goals2.102.072.13
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %36%37%35%
Over 3.5 %14%11%17%
Scored1.401.371.43
Conceded0.700.700.70
BTTS40%44%35%
Clean Sheet52%48%57%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Kukesi
FK Kukesi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.76
HomeWDLLD0.88
AwayLLLLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%23%17%
AVG goals2.502.622.38
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %16%19%12%
Scored0.800.920.67
Conceded1.701.691.71
BTTS42%54%29%
Clean Sheet14%15%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
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Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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