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Besa Kavajë vs Korabi Peshkopi Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Vs
50%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Besa Kavajë a 50% win probability against Korabi Peshkopi in the Albania: 1st Division on 2026-04-25, with 28% for the draw and 23% for Korabi Peshkopi. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (75%), Over 1.5 (73%).

Results analysis

Besa Kavajë finished 1-1 against Korabi Peshkopi (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 50% home win, 28% draw and 23% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (75%), Over 1.5 (73%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Besa Kavajë win✗ Miss
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi win✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L10W32W23L35L01L32W00D21WA·LAC14/02A·ILI22/02H·BUR01/03A·KAS07/03H·POG14/03A·LAC18/03H·SKE22/03A·LUF05/04H·LUS11/04A·APO19/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.301.431.071.121.50
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (17)1.181.411.501.000.891.78
vs Weaker (10)1.501.101.250.751.671.33
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L00D10W14L01L00D10W12L00D11DA·FK 14/02A·BUR22/02H·KAS28/02A·POG07/03H·LAC14/03A·SKE18/03H·LUF22/03A·LUS04/04H·APO11/04A·FK 19/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.200.800.671.071.73
vs Stronger (9)0.561.890.251.250.802.40
vs Similar (16)1.060.811.000.501.121.12
vs Weaker (5)1.201.201.000.331.502.50
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
Besa Kavajë goals ↓
Korabi Peshkopi goals →
01234
09.1%6.6%3.8%1.2%0.3%
111%13%5.9%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.4%4.6%1.5%0.4%
35.0%4.9%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.9%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Besa Kavajë goals (down), columns = Korabi Peshkopi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.09 points better than Korabi Peshkopi in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.30 goals better than Korabi Peshkopi in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Besa Kavajë is 0.12 goals worse than Korabi Peshkopi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W20W00D03L00D20W00D10WA·LAC14/02A·ILI22/02H·BUR01/03A·KAS07/03H·POG14/03A·LAC18/03H·SKE22/03A·LUF05/04H·LUS11/04A·APO19/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.330.710.290.500.38
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.350.750.120.110.56
vs Weaker (10)1.100.301.000.501.170.17
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Korabi Peshkopi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L00D00D10W01L00D10WA·FK 14/02A·BUR22/02H·KAS28/02A·POG07/03H·LAC14/03A·SKE18/03H·LUF22/03A·LUS04/04H·APO11/04A·FK 19/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.400.200.400.80
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.000.500.401.20
vs Similar (16)0.310.380.380.120.250.62
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Besa Kavajë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Besa Kavajë over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Besa Kavajë over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Korabi Peshkopi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (55)
€6m
SK (31)
€4m
LAC (24)
€3m
POG (47)
€3m
BK (34)
€3m
AF (39)
€2m
KK (24)
€2m
KP (34)
€2m
FK (38)
€2m
IF (35)
€2m
BUR (29)
€2m
LUF (42)
€2m
LUS (40)
€1m
Besa Kavajë and Korabi Peshkopi have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (0)
€0m
SK (0)
€0m
AF (0)
€0m
BK (0)
€0m
BUR (0)
€0m
BB (0)
€0m
FK (0)
€0m
IF (0)
€0m
KK (0)
€0m
KP (0)
€0m
LUF (0)
€0m
LUS (0)
€0m
POG (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Besa Kavajë vs Korabi Peshkopi · H/A from BK
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/25HBK Vs Korabi Peshkopi3-1
30/08/25AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BK0-0
23/02/25AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BK0-2
24/11/24AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BK0-3
01/09/24HBK Vs Korabi Peshkopi1-0
28/04/24HBK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-0
10/12/23HBK Vs Korabi Peshkopi0-1
23/09/23AKorabi Peshkopi Vs BK2-0

Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AApolonia Fier Vs BK1-2
11/04/26HBK Vs Lushnja0-0
05/04/26ALuftëtari Vs BK2-3
22/03/26HBK Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
18/03/26ALaci Vs BK5-3
14/03/26HBK Vs Pogradeci2-3
07/03/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs BK2-3
01/03/26HBK Vs Burreli1-0
22/02/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs BK1-0
14/02/26ALaci Vs BK2-1

Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AFK Kukesi Vs KP1-1
11/04/26HKP Vs Apolonia Fier0-0
04/04/26ALushnja Vs KP2-1
22/03/26HKP Vs Luftëtari1-0
18/03/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs KP0-0
14/03/26HKP Vs Laci0-1
07/03/26APogradeci Vs KP4-1
28/02/26HKP Vs Kastrioti Krujë1-0
22/02/26ABurreli Vs KP0-0
14/02/26AFK Kukesi Vs KP4-2

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Besa Kavajë
Besa Kavajë
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.50
HomeDWLLD1.58
AwayLWLWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.502.352.67
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.361.381.33
Conceded1.140.961.33
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Korabi Peshkopi
Korabi Peshkopi
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDD1.26
HomeDWLWD1.67
AwayDLDLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals2.381.882.85
Over 1.5 %68%54%81%
Over 2.5 %46%29%62%
Over 3.5 %18%8%27%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.320.791.81
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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