The contest between Birmingham and Bristol City is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 33% for a home victory, 29% for a draw and 37% for Bristol City to lift the trophy. The expected goal tally sits at 2.5, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14% probability, distinct from the total-goals expectation. Birmingham, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Bristol City, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 78.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.7% (missed), Under 3.5 at 74.8%, Over 1.5 at 73.5%, and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.6%. Each pick is listed with its exact percentage.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Bristol City, failed to deliver, as Birmingham secured a 3-0 home win. The model had tipped an away victory with a 37% probability, but the result proved wrong. The match saw Birmingham extend a run that had only ended in a draw, while Bristol City had come off a two-game winning streak. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 78.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 76.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.2%, Under 3.5 at 74.8%, Over 1.5 at 73.5% and Over 19.5 fouls at 71.6%. Only Under 25.5 fouls missed, with a 75.7% chance. The most likely score was 1-1, yet the game finished 3-0, a clear upset.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Birmingham win✓ Hit
33.5%
Avg Implied 36.4% · @ 2.61
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.36
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bristol City win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 35.4% · @ 2.68
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Birmingham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.50
1.00
1.36
0.94
1.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.04
1.22
1.09
1.36
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
2.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
3.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.53
1.71
1.07
1.38
1.94
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
2.67
2.00
3.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.44
1.73
0.91
1.43
1.86
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
@ 1.91-2.9%
Under 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.89+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
Birmingham goals ↓
Bristol City goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
9.0%
6.8%
3.0%
1.0%
1
8.4%
14%
8.3%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.9%
7.8%
5.1%
2.3%
0.7%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Bristol City goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Birmingham is 0.13 points worse than Bristol City in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Birmingham is 0.17 goals worse than Bristol City in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Birmingham is 0.04 goals worse than Bristol City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Birmingham is 7.7 percentage points worse than Bristol City in terms of average possession (42% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Birmingham
For 4.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.1 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bristol City
For 5.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Birmingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.7
10.1
3.3
3.4
3.2
21.4
21.9
21.0
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
-
13.0
6.0
-
6.0
26.0
-
26.0
vs Similar (38)
10.3
10.4
10.2
3.4
3.6
3.2
21.2
21.9
20.6
vs Weaker (11)
8.2
7.9
8.8
2.8
2.9
2.8
21.8
21.9
21.8
% over line
52%
50%
54%
44%
50%
38%
48%
54%
42%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
56%
50%
62%
52%
46%
58%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.6
10.6
3.4
3.4
3.3
20.3
20.7
20.0
vs Stronger (7)
13.4
13.2
13.7
2.4
2.2
2.7
16.7
15.8
18.0
vs Similar (40)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.5
3.6
3.5
20.6
21.2
20.2
vs Weaker (3)
13.7
13.0
15.0
3.0
3.5
2.0
24.7
26.0
22.0
% over line
58%
60%
56%
48%
52%
44%
38%
40%
36%
% under line
42%
40%
44%
52%
48%
56%
62%
60%
64%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.2
Norwich
10.9
Sunderland
10.6
Bristol City
10.6
Middlesbrough
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Stoke
10.3
Watford
10.3
Preston
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Millwall
10.1
Sheffield United
10.0
Luton
9.9
Birmingham
9.9
Hull
9.8
West Brom
9.7
Cardiff
9.5
QPR
9.5
Swansea
9.4
Blackburn
9.4
Huddersfield
9.4
Wigan
9.3
Blackpool
9.1
Reading
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Middlesbrough
4.6
Blackburn
4.5
Sunderland
4.1
Cardiff
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Preston
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Luton
3.7
Reading
3.6
Blackpool
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Watford
3.6
Rotherham
3.6
West Brom
3.5
QPR
3.5
Huddersfield
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
Birmingham
3.3
Hull
3.3
Millwall
3.2
Norwich
3.1
Burnley
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wigan
23.4
Rotherham
22.8
Middlesbrough
22.7
Sunderland
22.6
Luton
22.2
Blackburn
21.8
Reading
21.7
Preston
21.5
Birmingham
21.4
Blackpool
21.4
Watford
21.2
QPR
21.2
Swansea
21.0
Stoke
21.0
Sheffield United
21.0
West Brom
20.7
Millwall
20.6
Coventry
20.6
Cardiff
20.5
Hull
20.5
Norwich
20.5
Bristol City
20.3
Burnley
19.5
Huddersfield
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.2%
Under 9.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.4%
Under 21.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Birmingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.43
0.50
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.43
0.36
0.45
0.58
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.86
0.43
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.60
0.82
0.45
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Birmingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.94
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.78
0.73
0.91
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
1.33
0.00
0.67
0.67
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bristol City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.86
0.64
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.84
0.91
0.45
0.71
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Hogan22%
Reda Khadra21%
Przemysław Płacheta20%
Troy Deeney18%
Lukas Jutkiewicz12%
Tahith Chong11%
Auston Trusty7%
George Hall7%
Dion Sanderson6%
Harlee Dean6%
Kevin Long6%
Juninho Bacuna5%
Maxime Colin5%
Emmanuel Longelo4%
Krystian Bielik3%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
John Ruddy0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Marc Roberts0%
Gary Gardner0%
Jordan Graham0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Krystian Bielik34%
Kevin Long29%
Dion Sanderson29%
Hannibal Mejbri26%
Juninho Bacuna26%
Harlee Dean19%
Auston Trusty18%
Marc Roberts16%
Alfie Chang15%
Troy Deeney15%
Josh Williams14%
Emmanuel Longelo13%
Tahith Chong11%
Lukas Jutkiewicz9%
Maxime Colin9%
Jordan James9%
Scott Hogan8%
Jobe Bellingham5%
John Ruddy2%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Gary Gardner0%
Jordan Graham0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Reda Khadra0%
George Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reda Khadra14%
Hannibal Mejbri13%
Juninho Bacuna12%
Tahith Chong11%
Emmanuel Longelo9%
Jordan Graham8%
Maxime Colin7%
Lukas Jutkiewicz5%
Auston Trusty5%
Marc Roberts4%
George Hall3%
Dion Sanderson3%
Troy Deeney3%
Krystian Bielik3%
Scott Hogan3%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Harlee Dean0%
Gary Gardner0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Hogan19%
Lukas Jutkiewicz16%
Juninho Bacuna14%
Tahith Chong11%
Emmanuel Longelo9%
Reda Khadra7%
Troy Deeney6%
Auston Trusty5%
Marc Roberts4%
Dion Sanderson3%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Maxime Colin0%
Harlee Dean0%
Gary Gardner0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Jordan Graham0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
George Hall0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommy Conway26%
Antoine Semenyo26%
Nahki Wells22%
Andreas Weimann14%
Sam Bell12%
Robert Atkinson12%
Mark Sykes11%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Joe Williams6%
Chris Martin6%
Harry Cornick6%
Cameron Pring3%
Alex Scott2%
Zak Vyner2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Matty James0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Jay Dasilva0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Kal Naismith0%
George Tanner0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Williams27%
Cameron Pring25%
Alex Scott24%
Antoine Semenyo22%
Han-Noah Massengo20%
Timm Klose20%
Zak Vyner20%
Matty James18%
Omar Taylor-Clarke17%
Andreas Weimann16%
Mark Sykes14%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Harry Cornick12%
Robert Atkinson12%
Nahki Wells9%
Andy King8%
George Tanner8%
Chris Martin6%
Jay Dasilva3%
Tommy Conway3%
Kane Wilson0%
Max O'Leary0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Kal Naismith0%
Sam Bell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cameron Pring16%
Nahki Wells13%
Antoine Semenyo13%
Alex Scott10%
Andreas Weimann9%
Tommy Conway9%
Kal Naismith8%
Zak Vyner7%
Anis Mehmeti7%
Joe Williams6%
Harry Cornick6%
Sam Bell4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Andy King4%
Jay Dasilva3%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Matty James0%
Max O'Leary0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Chris Martin0%
Mark Sykes0%
George Tanner0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Semenyo22%
Anis Mehmeti13%
Nahki Wells11%
Chris Martin6%
Tommy Conway6%
Sam Bell4%
Kal Naismith4%
Robert Atkinson4%
Mark Sykes3%
Andreas Weimann2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Timm Klose0%
Kane Wilson0%
Cameron Pring0%
Matty James0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Jay Dasilva0%
Tomáš Kalas0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
Harry Cornick0%
George Tanner0%
Alex Scott0%
Omar Taylor-Clarke0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Birmingham's squad is €28m more valuable than Bristol City's (€93m vs €66m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Birmingham's attack is €17m more valuable than Bristol City's (€46m vs €29m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Birmingham's midfield is €6m less valuable than Bristol City's (€12m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Birmingham's defence is €16m more valuable than Bristol City's (€35m vs €18m).
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Burnley
Sheffield United
Luton
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Sunderland
Blackburn
Millwall
West Brom
Swansea
Watford
Preston
Norwich
Hull
Stoke
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Reading
QPR
Cardiff
Wigan
Blackpool