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Birmingham vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
30%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: D Whitestone

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.51
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.24
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✓ Hit
40.0%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.18
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W00D21W22D12L00D32W03L01LA·BLA22/10H·QPR28/10H·MIL02/11A·STO05/11H·SWA08/11H·SUN11/11A·BLA10/12H·REA16/12A·BUR27/12H·HUL30/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.311.310.861.43
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (23)1.131.171.251.251.001.09
vs Weaker (6)1.002.001.671.330.332.67
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D12L31W11D30W21W21W13L41W21WH·HUD22/10A·PRE29/10A·HUL01/11H·BRI05/11A·BLA08/11A·NOR12/11H·LUT10/12A·BUR17/12H·WIG26/12A·BLA29/12
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.331.471.001.531.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.391.441.620.881.201.90
vs Weaker (12)1.671.171.291.142.201.20
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.31+4.3%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.61-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
Birmingham goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
09.6%9.9%7.5%3.4%1.1%
18.2%14%8.6%3.9%1.3%
25.4%7.3%4.9%2.2%0.7%
32.1%2.8%1.9%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Birmingham is 0.48 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Birmingham is 0.80 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.02 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Birmingham is 0.04 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Birmingham is 16.1 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (42% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

130471176273121342521092112781013771211H·HULA·BURH·REAA·BLAH·SUNH·SWAA·STOH·MILH·QPRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

703131111243443143114421677172H·HULA·BURH·REAA·BLAH·SUNH·SWAA·STOH·MILH·QPRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

310101081214141498121211171410111566820202823202331212114H·HULA·BURH·REAA·BLAH·SUNH·SWAA·STOH·MILH·QPRA·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 4.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

19071910143243728127423581955799968A·BLAH·WIGA·BURH·LUTA·NORA·BLAH·BRIA·HULA·PREH·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

6032212232114323133315343355464A·BLAH·WIGA·BURH·LUTA·NORA·BLAH·BRIA·HULA·PREH·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

320118811413161610912101311811101171119191732192224192118A·BLAH·WIGA·BURH·LUTA·NORA·BLAH·BRIA·HULA·PREH·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.99.93.53.63.421.622.320.9
vs Stronger (2)11.510.013.06.06.06.023.020.026.0
vs Similar (38)10.010.29.83.73.93.521.422.320.6
vs Weaker (10)9.28.89.82.02.02.022.122.821.0
% over line54%58%50%46%50%42%44%50%38%
% under line46%42%50%54%50%58%56%50%62%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.79.64.54.54.522.322.522.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)9.39.79.04.54.64.422.623.122.1
vs Weaker (18)11.512.610.64.54.24.721.921.222.5
% over line52%62%42%66%67%65%58%58%58%
% under line48%38%58%34%33%35%42%42%42%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Norwich
11.0
Burnley
11.0
Bristol City
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Coventry
10.5
Watford
10.5
Rotherham
10.5
Stoke
10.2
Luton
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.1
Sunderland
10.0
West Brom
9.9
Hull
9.9
Birmingham
9.9
Swansea
9.9
Blackpool
9.8
Blackburn
9.8
QPR
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Preston
9.6
Huddersfield
9.6
Millwall
9.5
Reading
9.5
Wigan
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Middlesbrough
4.5
Blackburn
4.5
Cardiff
4.3
Swansea
4.2
Sheffield United
4.0
Coventry
3.9
Preston
3.9
Luton
3.9
Stoke
3.8
QPR
3.8
Bristol City
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Rotherham
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Reading
3.7
Huddersfield
3.6
Watford
3.6
Birmingham
3.5
Hull
3.4
Norwich
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Wigan
23.3
Luton
22.4
Middlesbrough
22.3
Stoke
21.7
Rotherham
21.7
QPR
21.7
Reading
21.7
Birmingham
21.6
Blackburn
21.6
Blackpool
21.5
Bristol City
21.2
Preston
21.0
Watford
21.0
Sheffield United
20.9
Millwall
20.9
Swansea
20.8
Norwich
20.7
Hull
20.4
Burnley
20.2
Cardiff
19.9
Coventry
19.8
West Brom
19.8
Huddersfield
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.4%
Under 9.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
18.5%
Under 21.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W00D10W12L01L00D30W02L00DA·BLA22/10H·QPR28/10H·MIL02/11A·STO05/11H·SWA08/11H·SUN11/11A·BLA10/12H·REA16/12A·BUR27/12H·HUL30/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.810.440.360.79
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.570.570.670.500.450.64
vs Weaker (6)0.830.671.670.000.001.33
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D10W01L10W01L11D00D10W01LH·HUD22/10A·PRE29/10A·HUL01/11H·BRI05/11A·BLA08/11A·NOR12/11H·LUT10/12A·BUR17/12H·WIG26/12A·BLA29/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.800.600.470.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.611.120.380.400.80
vs Weaker (12)0.501.000.430.860.601.20
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D11D10W11D00D02L01L01LA·BLA22/10H·QPR28/10H·MIL02/11A·STO05/11H·SWA08/11H·SUN11/11A·BLA10/12H·REA16/12A·BUR27/12H·HUL30/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.500.880.500.64
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.570.610.580.750.550.45
vs Weaker (6)0.171.330.001.330.331.33
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W10W20W20W10W13L31W20WH·HUD22/10A·PRE29/10A·HUL01/11H·BRI05/11A·BLA08/11A·NOR12/11H·LUT10/12A·BUR17/12H·WIG26/12A·BLA29/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.670.401.070.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.830.500.500.801.10
vs Weaker (12)1.170.170.860.291.600.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls96.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls90.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards85.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls81.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Hogan22%
Reda Khadra21%
Przemysław Płacheta20%
Troy Deeney18%
Lukas Jutkiewicz12%
Tahith Chong11%
Auston Trusty7%
George Hall7%
Dion Sanderson6%
Harlee Dean6%
Kevin Long6%
Juninho Bacuna5%
Maxime Colin5%
Emmanuel Longelo4%
Krystian Bielik3%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
John Ruddy0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Marc Roberts0%
Gary Gardner0%
Jordan Graham0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Krystian Bielik34%
Kevin Long29%
Dion Sanderson29%
Hannibal Mejbri26%
Juninho Bacuna26%
Harlee Dean19%
Auston Trusty18%
Marc Roberts16%
Alfie Chang15%
Troy Deeney15%
Josh Williams14%
Emmanuel Longelo13%
Tahith Chong11%
Lukas Jutkiewicz9%
Maxime Colin9%
Jordan James9%
Scott Hogan8%
Jobe Bellingham5%
John Ruddy2%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Gary Gardner0%
Jordan Graham0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Reda Khadra0%
George Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reda Khadra14%
Hannibal Mejbri13%
Juninho Bacuna12%
Tahith Chong11%
Emmanuel Longelo9%
Jordan Graham8%
Maxime Colin7%
Lukas Jutkiewicz5%
Auston Trusty5%
Marc Roberts4%
George Hall3%
Dion Sanderson3%
Troy Deeney3%
Krystian Bielik3%
Scott Hogan3%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Harlee Dean0%
Gary Gardner0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Hogan19%
Lukas Jutkiewicz16%
Juninho Bacuna14%
Tahith Chong11%
Emmanuel Longelo9%
Reda Khadra7%
Troy Deeney6%
Auston Trusty5%
Marc Roberts4%
Dion Sanderson3%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Neil Etheridge0%
Jonathan Leko0%
George Friend0%
Maxime Colin0%
Harlee Dean0%
Gary Gardner0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Jordan Graham0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Alfie Chang0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
George Hall0%
Jordan James0%
Josh Williams0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom55%
Cameron Archer36%
Aaron Ramsey36%
Marcus Forss25%
Duncan Watmore24%
Matt Crooks15%
Riley McGree13%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Hayden Hackney8%
Isaiah Jones8%
Paddy McNair3%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tommy Smith29%
Liam Roberts25%
Hayden Hackney25%
Isaiah Jones25%
Matt Crooks21%
Jonathan Howson20%
Paddy McNair19%
Matthew Clarke17%
Chuba Akpom15%
Darragh Lenihan14%
Marcus Forss12%
Marc Bola12%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Anfernee Dijksteel10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Riley McGree9%
Dael Fry7%
Zack Steffen5%
Cameron Archer5%
Ryan Giles4%
Alex Mowatt3%
Duncan Watmore0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cameron Archer23%
Ryan Giles17%
Matt Crooks15%
Marcus Forss12%
Hayden Hackney11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Duncan Watmore10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Darragh Lenihan7%
Jonathan Howson7%
Riley McGree7%
Alex Mowatt7%
Chuba Akpom5%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Tommy Smith3%
Zack Steffen2%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Liam Roberts0%
Rodrigo Muniz0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chuba Akpom32%
Cameron Archer18%
Aaron Ramsey18%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Duncan Watmore10%
Marcus Forss8%
Riley McGree7%
Matt Crooks5%
Hayden Hackney3%
Isaiah Jones3%
Darragh Lenihan2%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Birmingham's squad is €49m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€93m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Birmingham's attack is €28m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€46m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Birmingham's midfield is €14m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€12m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Birmingham's defence is €7m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€35m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
BIR wins
0
Draws
3
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/22AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR1-0
15/03/22HBIR Vs Middlesbrough0-2
30/10/21AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR0-2
16/01/21AMiddlesbrough Vs BIR0-1
19/12/20HBIR Vs Middlesbrough1-4

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/22HBIR Vs Hull0-1
27/12/22ABurnley Vs BIR3-0
16/12/22HBIR Vs Reading3-2
10/12/22ABlackpool Vs BIR0-0
11/11/22HBIR Vs Sunderland1-2
08/11/22HBIR Vs Swansea2-2
05/11/22AStoke Vs BIR1-2
02/11/22HBIR Vs Millwall0-0
28/10/22HBIR Vs QPR2-0
22/10/22ABlackburn Vs BIR2-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/22ABlackburn Vs MID1-2
26/12/22HMID Vs Wigan4-1
17/12/22ABurnley Vs MID3-1
10/12/22HMID Vs Luton2-1
12/11/22ANorwich Vs MID1-2
08/11/22ABlackpool Vs MID0-3
05/11/22HMID Vs Bristol City1-1
01/11/22AHull Vs MID1-3
29/10/22APreston Vs MID2-1
22/10/22HMID Vs Huddersfield0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.06
HomeDDLWL1.15
AwayWLWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals2.662.582.75
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.121.270.96
Conceded1.541.311.79
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners9.909.889.92
Cards3.483.583.38
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.54
HomeLDDWW1.96
AwayWWWLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%31%
AVG goals2.642.382.88
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.461.501.42
Conceded1.180.881.46
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.1210.679.62
Cards4.524.504.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches