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Birmingham vs Southampton Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-4
Birmingham
Birmingham
Vs
31%
26%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Referee: J Bell
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Southampton are tipped to lift the trophy, with the model picking an away win at 44%. Birmingham’s home form is balanced, scoring and conceding an average of 1.27 goals against similar opposition, while the Saints’ away numbers are slightly higher, 1.31 for and 1.31 against. The match is expected to see a total of 3.1 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.8% chance. Home win probability sits at 31%, draw at 26%, and away win at 44%. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 83%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.1% and Under 25.5 fouls at 72%. The recent 1-1 draw for each side shows both teams are still finding rhythm, but the edge remains with Southampton.

Results analysis

The match saw Southampton extend their recent run, with the final score 3-4 confirming an away win. The model had picked an away win with a 44% probability, and the call proved correct. The suggested picks delivered largely as forecast: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83%, Over 1.5 hit at 82.7%, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 75.1%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not achieved, but the total of 7 goals far surpassed the expected 3.1 and the most likely total of 2. The predictions for cards and fouls largely aligned with the on-field reality, underscoring the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Birmingham winâś— Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.25
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.14
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton winâś“ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.74
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D03L22D21W01L02L10W21W13LH·STO26/12H·BRI29/12A·LEE01/01H·SWA13/01A·STO20/01A·WES03/02A·SHE09/02H·BLA13/02H·SUN17/02A·IPS24/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.671.471.200.802.13
vs Stronger (5)1.202.402.001.500.673.00
vs Similar (23)1.041.611.271.270.831.92
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.50--
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D40W31W20W53W13L20W12L12LH·PLY29/12A·NOR01/01H·SHE13/01A·SWA20/01A·ROT03/02H·HUD10/02A·BRI13/02A·WES16/02H·HUL20/02H·MIL24/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.172.331.131.331.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.681.202.081.081.311.31
vs Weaker (5)2.601.003.331.331.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.50-3.2%
Under 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.58+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
No
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
Birmingham goals ↓
Southampton goals →
01234
05.5%6.6%6.5%3.7%1.6%
15.2%12%9.1%5.2%2.2%
24.4%7.5%6.4%3.6%1.5%
32.0%3.5%3.0%1.7%0.7%
40.7%1.2%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Birmingham goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Birmingham is 0.80 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Birmingham is 0.80 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Birmingham is 0.04 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Birmingham is 22.1 percentage points worse than Southampton in terms of average possession (44% vs 66%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BirminghamBirmingham

For 4.7 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.1

đźš© Corners

1505755647184213553616531210108121510978A·IPSH·SUNH·BLAA·SHEA·WESA·STOH·SWAA·LEEH·BRIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8013442313322532234854528205A·IPSH·SUNH·BLAA·SHEA·WESA·STOH·SWAA·LEEH·BRIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

32014111814916101416127521111410116101225322524281232241722A·IPSH·SUNH·BLAA·SHEA·WESA·STOH·SWAA·LEEH·BRIH·STO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 9.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 12.4

đźš© Corners

1701314296566610383143121931461511121311171312H·MILH·HULA·WESA·BRIH·HUDA·ROTA·SWAH·SHEA·NORH·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

704312122223222335327334524655H·MILH·HULA·WESA·BRIH·HUDA·ROTA·SWAH·SHEA·NORH·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 18.8

⚠️ Fouls

220989135813811111081210912888817221321221822211616H·MILH·HULA·WESA·BRIH·HUDA·ROTA·SWAH·SHEA·NORH·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.03.93.83.923.323.323.3
vs Stronger (7)11.912.011.84.05.03.223.425.022.2
vs Similar (36)10.410.510.34.03.64.323.122.523.7
vs Weaker (7)9.011.26.03.33.82.724.025.821.7
% over line62%67%58%54%54%54%62%62%62%
% under line38%33%42%46%46%46%38%38%38%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.310.811.94.74.64.721.821.222.5
vs Stronger (7)11.611.311.84.02.05.521.917.025.5
vs Similar (37)11.110.112.24.64.84.522.121.822.5
vs Weaker (6)12.715.010.35.76.35.020.021.318.7
% over line70%64%76%68%64%72%48%48%48%
% under line30%36%24%32%36%28%52%52%52%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đźš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.9
Blackburn
11.5
Southampton
11.3
Huddersfield
11.2
Middlesbrough
11.1
Coventry
11.1
Stoke
10.9
Rotherham
10.8
QPR
10.5
West Brom
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Birmingham
10.4
Norwich
10.4
Hull
10.3
Sunderland
10.3
Bristol City
10.1
Watford
10.1
Leeds
10.0
Sheffield Weds
10.0
Preston
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Millwall
9.7
Swansea
9.5
Cardiff
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
5.0
Watford
4.7
Southampton
4.7
QPR
4.4
Swansea
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Leicester
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Sheffield Weds
4.2
Blackburn
4.1
Ipswich
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
Millwall
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Preston
3.9
Hull
3.8
Cardiff
3.7
Huddersfield
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Rotherham
3.5
Bristol City
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
23.8
Sunderland
23.7
Birmingham
23.3
Swansea
23.0
Stoke
22.7
Coventry
22.7
QPR
22.7
Hull
22.3
Preston
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.2
Millwall
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Southampton
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.8
Leicester
21.5
Ipswich
21.5
Plymouth
21.4
Norwich
21.4
Huddersfield
21.3
Rotherham
21.0
Cardiff
20.2
Bristol City
19.8
West Brom
19.4
Blackburn
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.3%
Under 3.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L11D10W00D01L00D01L11DH·STO26/12H·BRI29/12A·LEE01/01H·SWA13/01A·STO20/01A·WES03/02A·SHE09/02H·BLA13/02H·SUN17/02A·IPS24/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.600.670.400.60
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.500.500.671.33
vs Similar (23)0.430.610.550.820.330.42
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W31W20W02L00D10W02L12LH·PLY29/12A·NOR01/01H·SHE13/01A·SWA20/01A·ROT03/02H·HUD10/02A·BRI13/02A·WES16/02H·HUL20/02H·MIL24/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.930.670.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.561.000.670.690.46
vs Weaker (5)1.000.400.670.671.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L11D11D01L01L10W20W02LH·STO26/12H·BRI29/12A·LEE01/01H·SWA13/01A·STO20/01A·WES03/02A·SHE09/02H·BLA13/02H·SUN17/02A·IPS24/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.030.870.530.401.53
vs Stronger (5)0.601.401.501.000.001.67
vs Similar (23)0.611.000.730.450.501.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.50--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D30W00D00D51W13L10W10W00DH·PLY29/12A·NOR01/01H·SHE13/01A·SWA20/01A·ROT03/02H·HUD10/02A·BRI13/02A·WES16/02H·HUL20/02H·MIL24/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.400.470.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.641.080.420.620.85
vs Weaker (5)1.600.602.670.670.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards83.0%-------âś“ Hit
Over 1.582.7%-------âś“ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.1%-------âś— Miss
Under 25.5 fouls72.0%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jay Stansfield28%
Jordan James17%
Juninho Bacuna16%
Koji Miyoshi14%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Lukas Jutkiewicz11%
Andre Dozzell10%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Dion Sanderson3%
Oliver Burke0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Krystian Bielik33%
Ivan Šunjić31%
Ethan Laird28%
Jordan James24%
Emmanuel Longelo24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Lee Buchanan22%
Juninho Bacuna18%
Kevin Long18%
Emanuel Aiwu17%
Siriki Dembélé12%
Tyler Roberts12%
Koji Miyoshi12%
Keshi Anderson10%
Andre Dozzell10%
Cody Drameh7%
Gary Gardner6%
Seung-Ho Paik6%
Dion Sanderson5%
John Ruddy5%
Scott Hogan4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Oliver Burke0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Marc Roberts0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi14%
Juninho Bacuna11%
Alex Pritchard11%
Cody Drameh11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ivan Šunjić8%
Scott Hogan8%
Tyler Roberts6%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Jay Stansfield5%
Ethan Laird4%
Lukas Jutkiewicz4%
Siriki Dembélé3%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Marc Roberts0%
Gary Gardner0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Krystian Bielik0%
Dion Sanderson0%
George Hall0%
Jordan James0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juninho Bacuna18%
Jay Stansfield16%
Siriki Dembélé9%
Marc Roberts7%
Koji Miyoshi5%
Scott Hogan4%
Ivan Šunjić3%
Krystian Bielik3%
Jordan James2%
Oliver Burke0%
Seung-Ho Paik0%
Emanuel Aiwu0%
Keshi Anderson0%
John Ruddy0%
Kevin Long0%
Alex Pritchard0%
Tyler Roberts0%
Lee Buchanan0%
Gary Gardner0%
Lukas Jutkiewicz0%
Andre Dozzell0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Ethan Laird0%
Cody Drameh0%
Emmanuel Longelo0%
George Hall0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adam Armstrong41%
Che Adams34%
Nathan Tella33%
Samuel Edozie18%
Will Smallbone15%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Stuart Armstrong12%
Joe Rothwell12%
Joe Aribo11%
SĂ©kou Mara10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Flynn Downes6%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis5%
Jan Bednarek4%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tella67%
Flynn Downes31%
Jan Bednarek29%
Jack Stephens23%
Ryan Manning22%
Mason Holgate20%
Shea Charles18%
Will Smallbone17%
Carlos Alcaraz17%
Kamaldeen Sulemana16%
Joe Aribo16%
Che Adams15%
Ryan Fraser14%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Joe Rothwell12%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis12%
Adam Armstrong10%
David Brooks10%
Kyle Walker-Peters9%
Samuel Edozie6%
SĂ©kou Mara3%
Gavin Bazunu2%
Alex McCarthy0%
James Bree0%
Ross Stewart0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tella33%
David Brooks25%
Adam Armstrong22%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Che Adams10%
Samuel Edozie9%
Flynn Downes8%
Kamaldeen Sulemana8%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis7%
SĂ©kou Mara7%
Kyle Walker-Peters7%
Will Smallbone7%
James Bree5%
Ryan Fraser5%
Carlos Alcaraz4%
Jack Stephens4%
Joe Aribo3%
Ryan Manning2%
Jan Bednarek0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Armstrong35%
Nathan Tella33%
Che Adams20%
Stuart Armstrong14%
Carlos Alcaraz13%
David Brooks10%
Ryan Fraser7%
Will Smallbone7%
Jan Bednarek2%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alex McCarthy0%
Jack Stephens0%
Mason Holgate0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Ryan Manning0%
James Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Joe Aribo0%
Ross Stewart0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis0%
SĂ©kou Mara0%
Kamaldeen Sulemana0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Shea Charles0%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Birmingham's squad is €112m less valuable than Southampton's (€93m vs €205m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Birmingham's attack is €27m less valuable than Southampton's (€46m vs €72m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Birmingham's midfield is €40m less valuable than Southampton's (€12m vs €53m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Birmingham's defence is €45m less valuable than Southampton's (€35m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BIR wins
0
Draws
1
SOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Birmingham vs Southampton · H/A from BIR
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23ASouthampton Vs BIR3-1

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24AIpswich Vs BIR3-1
17/02/24HBIR Vs Sunderland2-1
13/02/24HBIR Vs Blackburn1-0
09/02/24ASheffield Weds Vs BIR2-0
03/02/24AWest Brom Vs BIR1-0
20/01/24AStoke Vs BIR1-2
13/01/24HBIR Vs Swansea2-2
01/01/24ALeeds Vs BIR3-0
29/12/23HBIR Vs Bristol City0-0
26/12/23HBIR Vs Stoke1-3

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24HSOU Vs Millwall1-2
20/02/24HSOU Vs Hull1-2
16/02/24AWest Brom Vs SOU0-2
13/02/24ABristol City Vs SOU3-1
10/02/24HSOU Vs Huddersfield5-3
03/02/24ARotherham Vs SOU0-2
20/01/24ASwansea Vs SOU1-3
13/01/24HSOU Vs Sheffield Weds4-0
01/01/24ANorwich Vs SOU1-1
29/12/23HSOU Vs Plymouth2-1

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.12
HomeLDDWW1.54
AwayLWLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.442.212.65
Over 1.5 %72%62%81%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.021.210.85
Conceded1.421.001.81
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners10.3810.7910.00
Cards3.883.833.92
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.54
HomeWWWLL1.60
AwayDWWLW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals3.163.602.72
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.662.001.32
Conceded1.501.601.40
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners11.3410.8011.88
Cards4.684.644.72

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches