This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
1.03
3.00
0.92
2.22
1.11
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.89
1.56
1.75
1.75
2.00
1.40
vs Weaker (21)
2.81
0.81
3.62
0.50
2.31
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bjarg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.7%
Under 1.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.9%
Under 2.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.5%
Under 3.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-3 â
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-4
6.5%
1-1
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
Bjarg goals ↓
Viking goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
5.0%
8.7%
9.1%
7.2%
1
1.1%
5.5%
7.8%
8.2%
6.5%
2
0.7%
2.2%
3.5%
3.7%
2.9%
3
0.2%
0.7%
1.1%
1.1%
0.9%
4
0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bjarg goals (down), columns = Viking goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
TrÃĶff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
LÃļrenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
KjelsÃĨs
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
FlekkerÃļy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
BÃĶrum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
FÃļrde
0.92
Madla
0.92
VigÃļr
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
RÃĨde
0.00
HÃļnefoss
0.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Bjarg is 1.00 points worse than Viking in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.50).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
BÃĶrum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
TrÃĶff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
LÃļrenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
FlekkerÃļy
1.50
FÃļrde
1.44
Madla
1.44
VigÃļr
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
RÃĨde
1.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
KjelsÃĨs
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
HÃļnefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Bjarg is 1.50 goals worse than Viking in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 3.00).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
TrÃĶff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
LÃļrenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
HÃļnefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
KjelsÃĨs
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
RÃĨde
2.00
BÃĶrum
2.00
FlekkerÃļy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
FÃļrde
2.68
Madla
2.68
VigÃļr
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
4.00
Bjarg is 1.33 goals worse than Viking in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.17).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bjarg or Drawâ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied -
7%
13%
81%
covers Bjarg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bjarg or Vikingâ Hit
87.5%
Avg Implied -
7%
13%
81%
covers Bjarg + Viking
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vikingâ Hit
93.2%
Avg Implied -
7%
13%
81%
covers Draw + Viking
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bjarg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.4%
Under
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.8%
Under
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.7%
Under
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
82.2%
Under
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
60.9%
Under
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bjarg, so a minus line means Bjarg give that many goals of a start and Viking receive them. At -1, Bjarg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bjarg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bjarg)Actual: Viking
Bjarg -2
0.5%
Draw -2
1.7%
Viking +2
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bjarg)Actual: Viking
Bjarg -1
2.2%
Draw -1
4.6%
Viking +1
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bjarg)Actual: Viking
Bjarg +1
19.3%
Draw +1
17.5%
Viking -1
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bjarg)Actual: Viking
Bjarg +2
36.8%
Draw +2
20.3%
Viking -2
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bjarg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.53
1.17
0.25
1.00
0.72
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
0.33
1.12
0.00
1.08
0.54
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bjarg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bjarg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bjarg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.86
1.00
1.00
0.40
4.00
2.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.40
0.33
0.67
4.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Viking) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Viking
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.50
1.83
0.67
1.22
0.39
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.56
0.50
1.00
1.20
0.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.71
0.48
2.50
0.50
1.23
0.46
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Bjarg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bjarg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bjarg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viking over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 7.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Draw or Away
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away win
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Viking
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Christiansen42%
Zlatko TripiÄ42%
Kristoffer Askildsen26%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog25%
Edvin AustbÃļ23%
Gianni Stensness17%
Henrik Heggheim16%
Henrik SÃĶlebakke Falchener14%
Tobias Moi8%
Sondre Flem BjÃļrshol7%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild ÃstbÃļ0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ä―ubomÃr Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Askildsen42%
Zlatko TripiÄ37%
Tobias Moi31%
Henrik Heggheim26%
Ruben Alte25%
Gianni Stensness22%
Edvin AustbÃļ15%
Sondre Flem BjÃļrshol14%
Joe Bell14%
Henrik SÃĶlebakke Falchener14%
Arild ÃstbÃļ11%
Peter Christiansen11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Anders Baertelsen9%
Ola Visted8%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Ä―ubomÃr Belko0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zlatko TripiÄ58%
Peter Christiansen21%
Henrik SÃĶlebakke Falchener14%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad13%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog10%
Edvin AustbÃļ8%
Tobias Moi8%
Joe Bell7%
Kristoffer Haugen6%
Arild ÃstbÃļ0%
Gianni Stensness0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Sondre Flem BjÃļrshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Romano Postema0%
Herman Johan Haugen0%
Ä―ubomÃr Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Christiansen37%
Romano Postema20%
Zlatko TripiÄ16%
Edvin AustbÃļ15%
Kristoffer Askildsen11%
Henrik Heggheim11%
Tobias Moi8%
Herman Johan Haugen6%
Gianni Stensness6%
Arild ÃstbÃļ0%
Anders Baertelsen0%
Kristoffer Haugen0%
Sondre Flem BjÃļrshol0%
Viljar Vevatne0%
Joe Bell0%
Henrik SÃĶlebakke Falchener0%
Ä―ubomÃr Belko0%
Ruben Alte0%
Hilmir Rafn Mikaelsson0%
Simen Kvia-Egeskog0%
Jakob Segadal Hansen0%
Ola Visted0%
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad0%
Vetle Auklend0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →