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BKMA vs Pyunik Yerevan Result & Analysis

Date: 23/10/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
BKMA
BKMA
Vs
13%
23%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

BKMA win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan win✓ Hit
64.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BKMABKMA

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L52W12L22D01L14L21W02L10W61WH·SHI02/08A·WES09/08H·FC 25/08A·ARA30/08H·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.001.531.401.93
vs Stronger (20)1.201.950.781.781.552.09
vs Similar (10)1.201.301.331.171.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W14L20W31W41W02L30W31W31WH·ALA18/08H·CEL22/08A·CEL29/08H·SHI01/09A·WES13/09H·BKM20/09A·FC 24/09H·ARA28/09A·ARA03/10A·VAN06/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.832.200.731.470.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.380.852.000.500.861.14
vs Weaker (17)2.180.822.330.892.000.75
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.3%
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-2 ✓
9.7%
0-3
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-3
6.4%
0-4
4.0%
BKMA goals ↓
Pyunik Yerevan goals →
01234
07.2%11%12%8.1%4.0%
13.9%11%9.7%6.4%3.2%
21.9%3.9%3.8%2.5%1.3%
30.5%1.0%1.0%0.7%0.3%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA goals (down), columns = Pyunik Yerevan goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Noah
2.50
Ararat-Armenia
2.20
FC Urartu
1.97
Pyunik Yerevan
1.77
Van
1.73
BKMA
1.20
Shirak
1.10
Ararat
1.00
West Armenia
0.96
Alashkert
0.79
Gandzasar
0.25
BKMA is 0.57 points worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.77).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Noah
3.07
Ararat-Armenia
2.50
FC Urartu
2.07
Pyunik Yerevan
1.97
Van
1.87
BKMA
1.47
Ararat
1.14
Shirak
0.93
West Armenia
0.89
Alashkert
0.72
Gandzasar
0.46
BKMA is 0.50 goals worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.97).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Noah
0.67
Ararat-Armenia
0.93
FC Urartu
1.10
Van
1.20
Pyunik Yerevan
1.23
Shirak
1.72
Alashkert
1.79
BKMA
1.80
Ararat
2.03
West Armenia
2.48
Gandzasar
2.50
BKMA is 0.57 goals worse than Pyunik Yerevan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.23).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMABKMA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W01L12L01L11D11D01L00D31WH·SHI02/08A·WES09/08H·FC 25/08A·ARA30/08H·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.330.600.730.73
vs Stronger (20)0.500.850.110.890.820.82
vs Similar (10)0.600.300.670.170.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D20W11D00D20W01L20WH·ALA18/08H·CEL22/08A·CEL29/08H·SHI01/09A·WES13/09H·BKM20/09A·FC 24/09H·ARA28/09A·ARA03/10A·VAN06/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.330.800.330.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.310.670.170.140.43
vs Weaker (17)1.000.350.890.441.120.25
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMABKMA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D11D10W00D03L10W01L10W30WH·SHI02/08A·WES09/08H·FC 25/08A·ARA30/08H·VAN13/09A·PYU20/09H·FC 25/09A·ARA29/09H·ALA07/10A·GAN19/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.670.930.671.20
vs Stronger (20)0.701.100.670.890.731.27
vs Similar (10)0.601.000.671.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik Yerevan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L20W11D30W02L10W30W11DH·ALA18/08H·CEL22/08A·CEL29/08H·SHI01/09A·WES13/09H·BKM20/09A·FC 24/09H·ARA28/09A·ARA03/10A·VAN06/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.400.400.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.541.330.330.710.71
vs Weaker (17)1.180.471.440.440.880.50
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik Yerevan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Pyunik Yerevan · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusuf Otubanjo33%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Artak Dashyan33%
Luka Juričić20%
Juninho17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Anton Bratkov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Miljković60%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan33%
Anton Bratkov33%
Mikhail Kovalenko25%
Sergiy Vakulenko25%
Alexander Karapetyan20%
Luka Juričić20%
David Yurchenko17%
Eugeniu Cociuc17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander GonzÃĄlez33%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan17%
Yusuf Otubanjo0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Aras Özbiliz0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Dame Diop0%
Artak Dashyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Luka Juričić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artak Dashyan67%
Aras Özbiliz33%
Luka Juričić20%
Yusuf Otubanjo17%
Dame Diop17%
Alexander GonzÃĄlez0%
Juninho0%
Nikita Baranov0%
Stefan Spirovski0%
Roman Karasyuk0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Mikhail Kovalenko0%
David Yurchenko0%
Eugeniu Cociuc0%
Alexander Karapetyan0%
Hovhannes Harutyunyan0%
Sergiy Vakulenko0%
Grenik Petrosyan0%
Anton Bratkov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
GAN (25)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
BKMA's squad is €4m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€2m vs €6m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
GAN (8)
€1m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
BKMA's attack is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
GAN (5)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
BKMA's midfield is €1m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
GAN (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
BKMA's defence is €2m less valuable than Pyunik Yerevan's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
BKM wins
2
Draws
6
PY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BKMA vs Pyunik Yerevan · H/A from BKM
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/24APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM4-1
14/05/24HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan0-3
16/03/24APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM3-1
06/11/23HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-4
16/09/23APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM3-0
26/05/23HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1
01/04/23APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM3-0
13/11/22HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-1

BKMABKMA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AGandzasar Vs BKM1-6
07/10/24HBKM Vs Alashkert1-0
29/09/24AArarat-Armenia Vs BKM2-0
25/09/24HBKM Vs FC Urartu2-1
20/09/24APyunik Yerevan Vs BKM4-1
13/09/24HBKM Vs Van0-1
30/08/24AArarat Vs BKM2-2
25/08/24HBKM Vs FC Noah1-2
09/08/24AWest Armenia Vs BKM2-5
02/08/24HBKM Vs Shirak0-2

Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AVan Vs PY1-3
03/10/24AArarat-Armenia Vs PY1-3
28/09/24HPY Vs Ararat3-0
24/09/24AFC Noah Vs PY2-0
20/09/24HPY Vs BKMA4-1
13/09/24AWest Armenia Vs PY1-3
01/09/24HPY Vs Shirak2-0
29/08/24ACelje Vs PY4-1
22/08/24HPY Vs Celje1-0
18/08/24HPY Vs Alashkert0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW0.84
HomeLLLWW0.92
AwayWDLLW0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.922.882.96
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.081.001.16
Conceded1.841.881.80
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Pyunik Yerevan
Pyunik Yerevan
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.18
HomeLWWWW2.44
AwayLWLWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals2.963.122.80
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %60%68%52%
Over 3.5 %42%44%40%
Scored2.122.401.84
Conceded0.840.720.96
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC NoahFC Noah3075
80%
2.5
9220+72
3.7
90%
80%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5343.10.7
-
2Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3066
70%
2.2
7528+47
3.4
93%
80%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.50.9
-
3FC UrartuFC Urartu3059
60%
2.0
6233+29
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.11.1
-
4Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3053
57%
1.8
5937+22
3.2
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5VanVan3052
50%
1.7
5636+20
3.1
87%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
6BKMABKMA3036
33%
1.2
4454-10
3.3
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.8
-
7ShirakShirak2932
31%
1.1
2750-23
2.7
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
8AraratArarat2929
28%
1.0
3359-26
3.2
86%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.12.0
-
9West ArmeniaWest Armenia2726
30%
1.0
2467-43
3.4
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.5
-
10AlashkertAlashkert2923
17%
0.8
2152-31
2.5
76%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3120.71.8
-
11GandzasarGandzasar287
4%
0.2
1370-57
3.0
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Armenia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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