BKMA vs Shirak Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 0-0

BKMA

52%

27%

21%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Shirak

Armenia: Premier League

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

BKMA is expected to come out on top against Shirak, with a predicted scoreline of 0-0. The model forecasts a closely contested match with a 52% chance of a home win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring with a 12.8% probability.

BKMA has a strong home record, scoring an average of 1.57 goals and conceding 0.86. Shirak, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 1.2 against similar opponents.

The model's selection is a home win, while the suggested picks include Over 1.5 (74.7%) and Under 3.5 (73.3%). BKMA has a 52% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 21% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The draw between BKMA and Shirak extends BKMA's run of consecutive draws, with their last five results reading DDLLD. In a stunning upset, the home team failed to secure a win, despite being the pre-match favourite with a 52% probability of success. The model had correctly identified BKMA as the favourite, but unfortunately, its call was incorrect. The model had selected the home win, but it was Shirak who held on for a 0-0 draw. The model's selection of BKMA to win was wrong. The suggested picks included Over 1.5, which was the model's selection but missed with a 74.7% probability, and Under 3.5, which hit with a 73.3% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BKMA win✗ Miss

52.4%

Avg Implied 37.3% · @ 2.42

Edge

+15.1%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.47

10Bet

2.45

Superbet

2.45

Pinnacle

2.45

BetVictor

2.45

Draw✓ Hit

26.8%

Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.05

Edge

-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

3.20

Betfair

3.10

10Bet

3.10

Dafabet

3.10

BetVictor

3.10

Shirak win✗ Miss

20.8%

Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.73

Edge

-12.3%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.82

Superbet

2.80

William Hil

2.80

Dafabet

2.80

Marathonbet

2.77

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.3

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.13	1.60	1.20	1.20	1.07	2.00
vs Stronger (21)	0.95	1.86	1.09	1.55	0.80	2.20
vs Similar (9)	1.56	1.00	1.50	0.25	1.60	1.60
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-10pp vs league)

This opponent (Shirak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shirak

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	1.90	0.93	1.36	0.56	2.38
vs Stronger (21)	0.57	2.05	0.60	1.10	0.55	2.91
vs Similar (9)	1.11	1.56	1.75	2.00	0.60	1.20
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-10pp vs league)

This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

74.7%

@ 1.33+5.7%

Under 1.5

25.3%

@ 2.97-5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.36

10Bet

1.35

Pinnacle

1.35

1xBet

1.32

Marathonbet

1.32

Under

Betfair

3.10

Pinnacle

3.01

10Bet

3.00

Superbet

2.95

Marathonbet

2.88

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

48.5%

@ 2.04+3.8%

Under 2.5

51.5%

@ 1.65-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.15

Pinnacle

2.14

Betfair

2.10

Marathonbet

2.08

1xBet

2.08

Under

10Bet

1.70

Superbet

1.69

Pinnacle

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Betano

1.67

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

26.7%

@ 3.69+1.8%

Under 3.5

73.3%

@ 1.22-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

4.10

Marathonbet

3.68

1xBet

3.68

10Bet

3.65

Superbet

3.35

Under

10Bet

1.25

Superbet

1.23

Betfair

1.22

Marathonbet

1.20

1xBet

1.20

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

51.1%

@ 1.79+0.4%

48.9%

@ 1.84-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betfair

1.87

William Hil

1.85

Marathonbet

1.80

1xBet

1.80

Superbet

1.80

Superbet

1.90

Betfair

1.87

1xBet

1.87

William Hil

1.85

10Bet

1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.8%@ 5.70+5.3%

1-0

10.9%@ 6.67+4.5%

2-0

10.0%@ 10.17+5.8%

2-1

9.6%@ 8.91+4.8%

0-0 ✓

8.5%@ 7.75+3.0%

0-1

5.9%@ 7.48+0.2%

1-2

5.6%@ 9.64+1.2%

3-0

5.5%@ 22.36+3.6%

BKMA goals ↓

	Shirak goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	5.9%	3.4%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11%	13%	5.6%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10%	9.6%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.5%	5.3%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.3%	2.2%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA goals (down), columns = Shirak goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Ararat-Armenia

2.22

FC Noah

2.07

Pyunik Yerevan

2.04

Alashkert

1.96

FC Urartu

1.81

Sardarapat

1.26

Syunik

1.15

Van

1.15

BKMA

0.85

Gandzasar

0.78

Shirak

0.48

Ararat

0.48

BKMA is 0.37 points better than Shirak in terms of average points per game (0.85 vs 0.48).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

FC Noah

2.26

Ararat-Armenia

1.85

FC Urartu

1.59

Alashkert

1.56

Pyunik Yerevan

1.37

Sardarapat

1.17

BKMA

1.11

Syunik

1.07

Van

1.00

Ararat

0.78

Gandzasar

0.74

Shirak

0.63

BKMA is 0.48 goals better than Shirak in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Pyunik Yerevan

0.67

FC Noah

0.70

Alashkert

0.85

Ararat-Armenia

0.93

FC Urartu

0.96

Sardarapat

1.42

Van

1.48

Gandzasar

1.52

Syunik

1.55

BKMA

1.56

Shirak

1.89

Ararat

2.33

BKMA is 0.33 goals better than Shirak in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	74.7%	1.33	Betfair 1.36	10Bet 1.35	Pinnacle 1.35	1xBet 1.32	Marathonbet 1.32	+5.7%	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	73.3%	1.22	10Bet 1.25	Superbet 1.23	Betfair 1.22	Marathonbet 1.20	1xBet 1.20	-1.8%	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (27)

€12m

ARA (26)

€8m

PY (24)

€6m

FU (27)

€5m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (10)

€5m

ARA (9)

€3m

FU (11)

€2m

PY (7)

€2m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (5)

€3m

PY (7)

€2m

ARA (6)

€2m

FU (4)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FN (12)

€4m

ARA (11)

€4m

FU (12)

€2m

PY (10)

€2m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

BKMA vs Shirak · H/A from BKM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/04/26	A	Shirak Vs BKM	1-1
12/04/26	H	BKM Vs Shirak	0-0
16/08/25	H	BKM Vs Shirak	2-1
18/04/25	H	BKM Vs Shirak	3-2
08/03/25	A	Shirak Vs BKM	0-0
02/08/24	H	BKM Vs Shirak	0-2
23/04/24	H	BKM Vs Shirak	0-0
22/02/24	A	Shirak Vs BKM	1-0

BKMA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/05/26	A	Ararat Vs BKM	1-1
17/05/26	H	BKM Vs Ararat-Armenia	2-3
09/05/26	A	Pyunik Yerevan Vs BKM	2-0
02/05/26	H	BKM Vs Alashkert	2-2
23/04/26	A	Van Vs BKM	1-2
19/04/26	H	BKM Vs Gandzasar	1-1
16/04/26	A	Shirak Vs BKM	1-1
12/04/26	H	BKM Vs Shirak	0-0
05/04/26	A	FC Noah Vs BKM	2-0
20/03/26	H	BKM Vs FC Urartu	0-1

Shirak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
26/05/26	A	Alashkert Vs SHI	2-0
18/05/26	H	SHI Vs FC Urartu	0-0
08/05/26	A	Van Vs SHI	1-0
01/05/26	H	SHI Vs Ararat	0-2
26/04/26	A	Gandzasar Vs SHI	3-2
20/04/26	H	SHI Vs Ararat-Armenia	0-4
16/04/26	H	SHI Vs BKMA	1-1
12/04/26	A	BKMA Vs SHI	0-0
06/04/26	H	SHI Vs Pyunik Yerevan	0-1
22/03/26	A	FC Noah Vs SHI	3-0

📊 9. Overall Statistics

BKMA

Armenia: Premier League

Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDLLD	1.04
Home	LDDDL	1.20
Away	LDWLD	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	24%	28%	20%
AVG goals	2.90	2.72	3.08
Over 1.5 %	82%	76%	88%
Over 2.5 %	54%	52%	56%
Over 3.5 %	34%	32%	36%
Scored	1.26	1.32	1.20
Conceded	1.64	1.40	1.88
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
Clean Sheet	18%	28%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Shirak

Armenia: Premier League

Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLDL	0.78
Home	LDLLD	0.92
Away	LDLLL	0.65

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	21%	15%
AVG goals	2.58	2.00	3.12
Over 1.5 %	66%	54%	77%
Over 2.5 %	50%	33%	65%
Over 3.5 %	32%	21%	42%
Scored	0.80	0.79	0.81
Conceded	1.78	1.21	2.31
BTTS	40%	29%	50%
Clean Sheet	24%	38%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Ararat-Armenia	3	9	100%	3.0	8	4	+4	4.0	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	3	2	4	2.7	1.3	-
2	Alashkert	2	6	100%	3.0	6	0	+6	3.0	100%	100%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	0.0	-
3	FC Noah	2	6	100%	3.0	7	3	+4	5.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	5	3	4	3.5	1.5	-
4	Sardarapat	2	6	100%	3.0	6	2	+4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	1.0	-
5	Pyunik Yerevan	2	4	50%	2.0	5	2	+3	3.5	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	2.5	1.0	-
6	FC Urartu	3	4	33%	1.3	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	100%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.3	-
7	Shirak	3	4	33%	1.3	4	4	+0	2.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	-
8	Gandzasar	3	3	33%	1.0	6	6	+0	4.0	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	2.0	-
9	Ararat	3	3	33%	1.0	3	6	-3	3.0	100%	100%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	-
10	BKMA	3	1	0%	0.3	1	5	-4	2.0	67%	67%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	1.7	-
11	Syunik	3	0	0%	0.0	1	9	-8	3.3	100%	100%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	3.0	-
12	Van	3	0	0%	0.0	1	9	-8	3.3	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	3.0	-

Armenia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches

BKMA vs Shirak Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BKMA

Shirak

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

BKMA

Shirak

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature