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BKMA vs Van Result & Analysis

Date: 30/11/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 7-1
BKMA
BKMA
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

BKMA win✓ Hit
49.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Van win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

BKMABKMA

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W12L03L13L01L20W14L14L01LH·WES20/09A·VAN24/09A·FC 28/09A·FC 05/10H·SHI21/10A·ALA25/10H·ARA29/10A·ARA02/11H·PYU06/11A·WES10/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.801.212.070.881.56
vs Stronger (20)0.702.250.782.560.642.00
vs Similar (10)1.700.902.001.201.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L12L02L02L21W12L02L06L41W22DA·FC 19/09H·BKM24/09H·FC 30/09A·SHI03/10H·ALA20/10A·ARA24/10H·ARA28/10A·PYU02/11H·WES07/11H·FC 12/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.932.131.441.690.362.64
vs Stronger (14)0.432.930.572.710.293.14
vs Similar (15)1.201.531.881.000.432.14
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
BKMA goals ↓
Van goals →
01234
07.1%5.5%3.7%1.4%0.4%
19.0%12%6.3%2.4%0.7%
28.6%9.7%5.4%2.0%0.6%
34.9%5.5%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.1%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BKMA goals (down), columns = Van goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.28
FC Noah
2.22
Ararat-Armenia
2.08
FC Urartu
1.39
Alashkert
1.25
Ararat
1.25
West Armenia
1.03
Shirak
0.92
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.75
BKMA is 0.14 points worse than Van in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.89).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pyunik Yerevan
2.33
Ararat-Armenia
2.03
FC Noah
1.92
Alashkert
1.50
FC Urartu
1.36
West Armenia
1.19
Ararat
1.08
Van
0.89
BKMA
0.89
Shirak
0.78
BKMA and Van are level in goals scored per game (both 0.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pyunik Yerevan
0.78
FC Noah
0.92
Ararat-Armenia
0.94
Shirak
1.28
FC Urartu
1.36
Ararat
1.39
Alashkert
1.56
Van
1.86
BKMA
1.86
West Armenia
2.03
BKMA and Van are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.86).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BKMABKMA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D02L12L00D00D01L13L01LH·WES20/09A·VAN24/09A·FC 28/09A·FC 05/10H·SHI21/10A·ALA25/10H·ARA29/10A·ARA02/11H·PYU06/11A·WES10/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.360.930.380.88
vs Stronger (20)0.301.150.221.000.361.27
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.600.800.400.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D01L10W10W00D02L01L01LA·FC 19/09H·BKM24/09H·FC 30/09A·SHI03/10H·ALA20/10A·ARA24/10H·ARA28/10A·PYU02/11H·WES07/11H·FC 12/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.730.310.500.291.00
vs Stronger (14)0.140.930.000.570.291.29
vs Similar (15)0.400.600.500.500.290.71
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BKMA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BKMABKMA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D12L01L01L01L20W13L01L00DH·WES20/09A·VAN24/09A·FC 28/09A·FC 05/10H·SHI21/10A·ALA25/10H·ARA29/10A·ARA02/11H·PYU06/11A·WES10/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.861.140.500.69
vs Stronger (20)0.401.100.561.560.270.73
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.400.401.000.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Van) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VanVan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D02L01L11D02L02L04L40W21WA·FC 19/09H·BKM24/09H·FC 30/09A·SHI03/10H·ALA20/10A·ARA24/10H·ARA28/10A·PYU02/11H·WES07/11H·FC 12/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.401.121.190.071.64
vs Stronger (14)0.292.000.572.140.001.86
vs Similar (15)0.800.931.380.500.141.43
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (BKMA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BKMA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BKMA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (27)
€12m
ARA (26)
€8m
PY (24)
€6m
ALA (24)
€5m
FU (27)
€5m
ARA (26)
€3m
SHI (23)
€3m
BKM (20)
€2m
VAN (21)
€2m
BKMA and Van have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (10)
€5m
ARA (9)
€3m
ALA (10)
€3m
FU (11)
€2m
PY (7)
€2m
SHI (6)
€1m
BKM (5)
€1m
VAN (6)
€1m
ARA (4)
€0m
BKMA and Van have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (5)
€3m
PY (7)
€2m
ARA (6)
€2m
ARA (10)
€1m
ALA (5)
€1m
SHI (5)
€1m
FU (4)
€1m
BKM (6)
€1m
VAN (3)
€0m
BKMA and Van have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FN (12)
€4m
ARA (11)
€4m
FU (12)
€2m
PY (10)
€2m
ALA (9)
€2m
ARA (12)
€2m
SHI (12)
€1m
VAN (12)
€1m
BKM (9)
€1m
BKMA and Van have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
BKM wins
1
Draws
1
VAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BKMA vs Van · H/A from BKM
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23AVan Vs BKM1-2
26/04/23HBKM Vs Van5-1
03/12/22AVan Vs BKM0-1
15/10/22HBKM Vs Van0-3
07/08/22AVan Vs BKM2-2

BKMABKMA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/23AWest Armenia Vs BKM1-0
06/11/23HBKM Vs Pyunik Yerevan1-4
02/11/23AArarat-Armenia Vs BKM4-1
29/10/23HBKM Vs Ararat2-0
25/10/23AAlashkert Vs BKM1-0
21/10/23HBKM Vs Shirak1-3
05/10/23AFC Noah Vs BKM3-0
28/09/23AFC Urartu Vs BKM2-1
24/09/23AVan Vs BKM1-2
20/09/23HBKM Vs West Armenia0-4

VanVan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23HVAN Vs FC Urartu2-2
07/11/23HVAN Vs West Armenia4-1
02/11/23APyunik Yerevan Vs VAN6-0
28/10/23HVAN Vs Ararat-Armenia0-2
24/10/23AArarat Vs VAN2-1
20/10/23HVAN Vs Alashkert2-1
03/10/23AShirak Vs VAN2-0
30/09/23HVAN Vs FC Noah0-2
24/09/23HVAN Vs BKMA1-2
19/09/23AFC Urartu Vs VAN3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BKMA
BKMA
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.92
HomeDLLWL0.83
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%21%27%
AVG goals2.543.082.04
Over 1.5 %68%79%58%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %22%38%8%
Scored0.921.080.77
Conceded1.622.001.27
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet16%8%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Van
Van
Armenia: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD0.88
HomeLWLWD1.08
AwayLLLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%31%17%
AVG goals2.802.882.71
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored0.941.150.71
Conceded1.861.732.00
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet18%15%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Pyunik YerevanPyunik Yerevan3682
67%
2.3
8428+56
3.1
86%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.30.8
-
2FC NoahFC Noah3680
72%
2.2
6933+36
2.8
67%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5341.90.9
-
3Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia3675
64%
2.1
7334+39
3.0
83%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.00.9
-
4FC UrartuFC Urartu3650
36%
1.4
4949+0
2.7
81%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
5AlashkertAlashkert3645
36%
1.2
5456-2
3.1
81%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.51.6
-
6AraratArarat3645
36%
1.2
3950-11
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.11.4
-
7West ArmeniaWest Armenia3637
31%
1.0
4373-30
3.2
78%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
8ShirakShirak3633
22%
0.9
2846-18
2.1
56%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.3
-
9VanVan3632
22%
0.9
3267-35
2.8
75%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
10BKMABKMA3627
19%
0.8
3267-35
2.8
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.9
-
Armenia: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: Premier League stats & trends →

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